Southern
W-L: (16-18) PR = 94.6800Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 77-** 1105 H Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 82-** 1110 A ECCLE **-51 1115 A CHMPB 1118 H Washington B10 (16-17, 96.9) **-99 1121 H San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 66-80 1129 A Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 75-73 1201 A LACOL **-48 1208 H Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 69-95 1210 H TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 83-86 1216 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 67-75 1221 H Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 67-** 1229 H Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 55-90 103 A TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) 84-73 105 H Prairie View SWAC (19-17, 94.6) 85-89 110 H Florida A&M SWAC (14-16, 94.5) 59-67 112 A Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) 77-73 117 A Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 71-53 124 H AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (12-20, 94.2) 74-75 128 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) 80-69 131 H Alcorn St SWAC AL (10-22, 93.8) 73-78 202 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) 96-91 207 A Alabama A&M SWAC (18-15, 94.5) 81-68 209 A Alabama St SWAC (10-22, 93.8) 69-68 214 A Prairie View SWAC (19-17, 94.6) 87-82 216 H TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) 73-74 221 A Grambling St SWAC (15-19, 94.1) 87-73 226 H Florida A&M SWAC (14-16, 94.5) 71-82 228 H Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) 79-82 303 A Alabama St SWAC (10-22, 93.8) 71-64 305 A Alabama A&M SWAC (18-15, 94.5) 88-85 312 A AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (12-20, 94.2) 84-81 313 A Florida A&M SWAC (14-16, 94.5) 73-70 314 H Prairie View SWAC (19-17, 94.6) 66-72
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Arkansas 77-** -32 -4 0.00
1105 H Marquette 82-** -18 -2 -0.22
1118 H Washington **-99 -191 -2 0.00
1121 H San Jose St 66-80 -14 -1 -1.38
1129 A Nowestern St 75-73 2 1 1.39
1208 H Texas 69-95 -26 -3 0.00
1210 H TX St-SM 83-86 -3 -1 -1.32
1216 H Cal Baptist 67-75 -8 -2 -0.27
1221 H Baylor 67-** -44 -2 0.00
1229 H Illinois 55-90 -35 -4 0.00
103 A TX Southern 84-73 11 1 1.35
105 H Prairie View 85-89 -4 0 - -2.10
110 H Florida A&M 59-67 -8 0 - -2.21
112 A Beth-Cook 77-73 4 0 + 2.33
117 A Grambling St 71-53 18 1 1.48
124 H AK-Pine Bl 74-75 -1 0 -1.49
128 A Miss Val St 80-69 11 2 0.00
131 H Alcorn St 73-78 -5 1 - -2.87
202 A Jackson St 96-91 5 1 1.30
207 A Alabama A&M 81-68 13 0 1.87
209 A Alabama St 69-68 1 1 0.10
214 A Prairie View 87-82 5 0 1.92
216 H TX Southern 73-74 -1 1 -1.67
221 A Grambling St 87-73 14 1 1.48
226 H Florida A&M 71-82 -11 0 - -2.21
228 H Beth-Cook 79-82 -3 0 -1.69
303 A Alabama St 71-64 7 1 1.10
305 A Alabama A&M 88-85 3 0 1.87
312 A AK-Pine Bl 84-81 3 0 1.53
313 A Florida A&M 73-70 3 0 1.81
314 H Prairie View 66-72 -6 0 - -2.10
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 105 H Prairie View 85-89 -4 0 - -2.10 110 H Florida A&M 59-67 -8 0 - -2.21 131 H Alcorn St 73-78 -5 1 - -2.87 226 H Florida A&M 71-82 -11 0 - -2.21 314 H Prairie View 66-72 -6 0 - -2.10 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 112 A Beth-Cook 77-73 4 0 + 2.33 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 77-** -1.40 6.07 -0.01 1.06 -0.75
3 H Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 82-** -3.43 4.05 -0.01 1.06 -1.83
3 H Washington (16-17, 96.9) **-99 -2.96 4.52 -0.01 1.06 -1.58
3 H San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 66-80 -4.59 2.88 -0.01 1.06 -2.45
3 A Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 75-73 -5.84 1.64 0.01 1.06 3.51
3 H Texas (21-15, 97.8) 69-95 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 1.06 -1.13
3 H TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 83-86 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.06 -2.42
3 H Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 67-75 -3.48 4.00 -0.01 1.06 -1.86
3 H Baylor (17-17, 97.2) 67-** -2.74 4.74 -0.01 1.06 -1.46
3 H Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 55-90 -1.23 6.25 -0.01 1.06 -0.66
3 A TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) 84-73 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.06 3.43
3 H Prairie View (19-17, 94.6) 85-89 -5.31 2.17 -0.01 1.06 -2.83
3 H Florida A&M (14-16, 94.5) 59-67 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.89
3 A Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) 77-73 -4.90 2.58 0.01 1.06 5.51
3 A Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 71-53 -5.75 1.72 0.01 1.06 3.69
3 H AK-Pine Bl (12-20, 94.2) 74-75 -5.70 1.78 -0.01 1.06 -3.04
3 A Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) 80-69 -7.48 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Alcorn St (10-22, 93.8) 73-78 -6.08 1.40 -0.01 1.06 -3.24
3 A Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) 96-91 -5.93 1.55 0.01 1.06 3.31
3 A Alabama A&M (18-15, 94.5) 81-68 -5.36 2.11 0.01 1.06 4.52
3 A Alabama St (10-22, 93.8) 69-68 -6.13 1.35 0.01 1.06 2.89
3 A Prairie View (19-17, 94.6) 87-82 -5.31 2.17 0.01 1.06 4.64
3 H TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) 73-74 -5.88 1.60 -0.01 1.06 -3.13
3 A Grambling St (15-19, 94.1) 87-73 -5.75 1.72 0.01 1.06 3.69
3 H Florida A&M (14-16, 94.5) 71-82 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.06 -2.89
3 H Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) 79-82 -4.90 2.58 -0.01 1.06 -2.61
3 A Alabama St (10-22, 93.8) 71-64 -6.13 1.35 0.01 1.06 2.89
3 A Alabama A&M (18-15, 94.5) 88-85 -5.36 2.11 0.01 1.06 4.52
3 A AK-Pine Bl (12-20, 94.2) 84-81 -5.70 1.78 0.01 1.06 3.80
3 A Florida A&M (14-16, 94.5) 73-70 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.06 4.40
3 H Prairie View (19-17, 94.6) 66-72 -5.31 2.17 -0.01 1.06 -2.83
------
15.34
|
winning pts = 52.9640 losing points = -37.6191
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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