St Joseph's
W-L: (25-12) PR = 96.4916Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 85-76 1108 A Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 76-65 1112 H Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 59-94 1117 H Pennsylvania IVY (18-12, 95.8) 74-83 1120 H UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 85-99 1125 A RUT-C **-61 1130 A Princeton IVY ( 9-19, 94.5) 60-58 1206 A Temple AME (17-16, 95.7) 70-69 1209 A Coppin St MEAC C ( 7-24, 93.0) 87-65 1211 H Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 63-71 1218 A Delaware St MEAC D ( 8-24, 92.7) 67-51 1218 A Delaware St MEAC D ( 8-24, 92.7) 67-51 1222 H Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 62-68 1228 A ARCAD 87-65 1231 H St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 79-** 103 H Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 56-62 107 A Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 97-90 111 A Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 67-65 114 A St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 68-64 119 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 72-79 124 A Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 81-74 127 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 85-64 131 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 67-58 204 A George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 76-73 207 H George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 52-60 210 H Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 64-68 218 A St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 71-65 221 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 75-61 225 A George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 81-63 228 A Rhode Island A10 (16-16, 95.6) 61-55 304 A Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 70-67 307 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 88-76 313 A Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 70-58 314 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 64-77 318 A Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 69-64 322 A California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 76-75 324 H New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 69-84
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Lafayette 85-76 9 3 0.00
1108 A Drexel 76-65 11 1 0.59
1112 H Va Tech 59-94 -35 -1 -1.13
1117 H Pennsylvania 74-83 -9 1 - -2.70
1120 H UNLV 85-99 -14 0 - -2.10
1130 A Princeton 60-58 2 2 0.00
1206 A Temple 70-69 1 1 0.18
1209 A Coppin St 87-65 22 4 0.00
1211 H Syracuse 63-71 -8 0 -1.73
1218 A Delaware St 67-51 16 4 0.00
1218 A Delaware St 67-51 16 4 0.00
1222 H Coastal Car 62-68 -6 1 - -3.19
1231 H St Louis 79-** -23 -1 -0.87
103 H Davidson 56-62 -6 0 - -2.35
107 A Duquesne 97-90 7 1 1.46
111 A Richmond 67-65 2 1 1.04
114 A St. Bonnies 68-64 4 1 1.29
119 H VCU 72-79 -7 -1 -0.92
124 A Dayton 81-74 7 0 + 2.47
127 A Loyola Chic 85-64 21 2 0.45
131 A La Salle 67-58 9 1 0.51
204 A George Wash 76-73 3 0 1.55
207 H George Mason 52-60 -8 0 -1.92
210 H Fordham 64-68 -4 1 - -3.11
218 A St. Bonnies 71-65 6 1 1.29
221 A Loyola Chic 75-61 14 2 0.45
225 A George Mason 81-63 18 0 + 2.10
228 A Rhode Island 61-55 6 1 1.14
304 A Davidson 70-67 3 0 1.67
307 A La Salle 88-76 12 1 0.51
313 A Davidson 70-58 12 0 1.67
314 H VCU 64-77 -13 -1 -0.92
318 A Colorado St 69-64 5 0 + 2.21
322 A California 76-75 1 -1 1.66
324 H New Mexico 69-84 -15 -1 -1.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1117 H Pennsylvania 74-83 -9 1 - -2.70 1120 H UNLV 85-99 -14 0 - -2.10 1222 H Coastal Car 62-68 -6 1 - -3.19 103 H Davidson 56-62 -6 0 - -2.35 210 H Fordham 64-68 -4 1 - -3.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 124 A Dayton 81-74 7 0 + 2.47 225 A George Mason 81-63 18 0 + 2.10 318 A Colorado St 69-64 5 0 + 2.21 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 85-76 -6.11 1.36 0.01 0.94 2.59
3 A Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 76-65 -4.83 2.64 0.01 0.94 5.01
3 H Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 59-94 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 0.94 -1.20
3 H Pennsylvania (18-12, 95.8) 74-83 -4.10 3.37 -0.01 0.94 -1.94
3 H UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 85-99 -3.50 3.97 -0.01 0.94 -1.66
3 A Princeton ( 9-19, 94.5) 60-58 -5.43 2.05 0.01 0.94 3.89
3 A Temple (17-16, 95.7) 70-69 -4.24 3.24 0.01 0.94 6.12
3 A Coppin St ( 7-24, 93.0) 87-65 -6.94 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 H Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 63-71 -3.13 4.34 -0.01 0.94 -1.48
3 A Delaware St ( 8-24, 92.7) 67-51 -7.25 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Delaware St ( 8-24, 92.7) 67-51 -7.25 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 H Coastal Car (19-14, 95.3) 62-68 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 0.94 -2.17
3 H St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 79-** -2.27 5.21 -0.01 0.94 -1.07
3 H Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 56-62 -3.75 3.73 -0.01 0.94 -1.77
3 A Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 97-90 -3.95 3.52 0.01 0.94 6.66
3 A Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 67-65 -4.38 3.09 0.01 0.94 5.86
3 A St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 68-64 -4.13 3.35 0.01 0.94 6.34
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 72-79 -2.32 5.16 -0.01 0.94 -1.10
3 A Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 81-74 -2.95 4.52 0.01 0.94 8.55
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 85-64 -4.97 2.50 0.01 0.94 4.74
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 67-58 -4.91 2.57 0.01 0.94 4.86
3 A George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 76-73 -3.86 3.61 0.01 0.94 6.83
3 H George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 52-60 -3.31 4.16 -0.01 0.94 -1.57
3 H Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 64-68 -4.51 2.97 -0.01 0.94 -2.13
3 A St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 71-65 -4.13 3.35 0.01 0.94 6.34
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 75-61 -4.97 2.50 0.01 0.94 4.74
3 A George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 81-63 -3.31 4.16 0.01 0.94 7.87
3 A Rhode Island (16-16, 95.6) 61-55 -4.28 3.20 0.01 0.94 6.05
3 A Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 70-67 -3.75 3.73 0.01 0.94 7.05
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 88-76 -4.91 2.57 0.01 0.94 4.86
3 A Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 70-58 -3.75 3.73 0.01 0.94 7.05
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 64-77 -2.32 5.16 -0.01 0.94 -1.10
3 A Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 69-64 -3.21 4.26 0.01 0.94 8.06
3 A California (22-12, 97.1) 76-75 -2.76 4.72 0.01 0.94 8.92
3 H New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 69-84 -2.67 4.81 -0.01 0.94 -1.26
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109.67
|
winning pts = 128.1201 losing points = -18.4490
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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