St. John's
W-L: (30- 7) PR = 98.6969Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) **-74 1108 H Alabama SEC A (25-10, 98.5) 96-** 1115 A Will&Mary CA (21-12, 95.7) 93-60 1120 A Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 97-49 1124 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 82-83 1125 A Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 96-81 1126 H Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 74-85 1206 A Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 63-58 1213 A Iona MAAC (19-13, 95.1) 91-64 1216 A DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 79-66 1220 H Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 66-78 1223 A Harvard IVY (17-12, 95.2) 85-59 1231 A Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 95-83 103 H Providence BE (15-18, 96.9) 71-77 106 A Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 84-70 110 A Creighton BE (16-18, 97.0) 90-73 113 A Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 92-68 117 A Villanova BE (24- 9, 98.1) 86-79 120 A Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 65-60 124 A Xavier BE (15-18, 97.0) 88-83 128 A Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 92-70 203 A DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 68-56 206 A Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 81-72 209 A Xavier BE (15-18, 97.0) 87-82 214 A Providence BE (15-18, 96.9) 79-69 218 A Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 76-70 221 A Creighton BE (16-18, 97.0) 81-52 225 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 40-72 228 A Villanova BE (24- 9, 98.1) 89-57 303 A Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 72-69 306 A Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 72-65 312 A Providence BE (15-18, 96.9) 85-72 313 A Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 78-68 314 A Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 72-52 320 A No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 79-53 322 A Kansas B12 (24-11, 98.4) 67-65 327 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 75-80
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Quinnipiac **-74 34 4 0.00
1108 H Alabama 96-** -7 0 - -2.16
1115 A Will&Mary 93-60 33 3 0.00
1120 A Bucknell 97-49 48 5 0.00
1124 H Iowa St 82-83 -1 0 -0.99
1125 A Baylor 96-81 15 2 0.48
1126 H Auburn 74-85 -11 1 - -2.99
1206 A Ole Miss 63-58 5 2 0.18
1213 A Iona 91-64 27 4 0.00
1216 A DePaul 79-66 13 2 0.00
1220 H Kentucky 66-78 -12 1 - -2.71
1223 A Harvard 85-59 26 3 0.00
1231 A Georgetown 95-83 12 2 0.19
103 H Providence 71-77 -6 2 - -3.77
106 A Butler 84-70 14 2 0.25
110 A Creighton 90-73 17 2 0.31
113 A Marquette 92-68 24 2 0.00
117 A Villanova 86-79 7 1 1.38
120 A Seton Hall 65-60 5 1 0.87
124 A Xavier 88-83 5 2 0.27
128 A Butler 92-70 22 2 0.25
203 A DePaul 68-56 12 2 0.00
206 A Connecticut 81-72 9 0 + 2.44
209 A Xavier 87-82 5 2 0.27
214 A Providence 79-69 10 2 0.25
218 A Marquette 76-70 6 2 0.00
221 A Creighton 81-52 29 2 0.31
225 H Connecticut 40-72 -32 0 -1.58
228 A Villanova 89-57 32 1 1.38
303 A Georgetown 72-69 3 2 0.19
306 A Seton Hall 72-65 7 1 0.87
312 A Providence 85-72 13 2 0.25
313 A Seton Hall 78-68 10 1 0.87
314 A Connecticut 72-52 20 0 + 2.44
320 A No Iowa 79-53 26 2 0.00
322 A Kansas 67-65 2 0 1.75
327 H Duke 75-80 -5 -1 -0.98
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 H Alabama 96-** -7 0 - -2.16 1126 H Auburn 74-85 -11 1 - -2.99 1220 H Kentucky 66-78 -12 1 - -2.71 103 H Providence 71-77 -6 2 - -3.77 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Connecticut 81-72 9 0 + 2.44 314 A Connecticut 72-52 20 0 + 2.44 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) **-74 -4.74 2.74 0.01 0.89 4.90
3 H Alabama (25-10, 98.5) 96-** -1.36 6.12 -0.01 0.89 -0.61
3 A Will&Mary (21-12, 95.7) 93-60 -4.23 3.25 0.01 0.89 5.81
3 A Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 97-49 -6.13 1.34 0.01 0.89 2.42
3 H Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 82-83 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 0.89 -0.53
3 A Baylor (17-17, 97.2) 96-81 -2.74 4.74 0.01 0.89 8.48
3 H Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 74-85 -2.19 5.29 -0.01 0.89 -0.98
3 A Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 63-58 -3.03 4.45 0.01 0.89 7.95
3 A Iona (19-13, 95.1) 91-64 -4.77 2.71 0.01 0.89 4.85
3 A DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 79-66 -3.24 4.24 0.01 0.89 7.58
3 H Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 66-78 -1.91 5.57 -0.01 0.89 -0.85
3 A Harvard (17-12, 95.2) 85-59 -4.68 2.79 0.01 0.89 5.00
3 A Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 95-83 -3.02 4.46 0.01 0.89 7.97
3 H Providence (15-18, 96.9) 71-77 -2.97 4.51 -0.01 0.89 -1.33
3 A Butler (16-16, 96.9) 84-70 -2.96 4.52 0.01 0.89 8.08
3 A Creighton (16-18, 97.0) 90-73 -2.90 4.58 0.01 0.89 8.19
3 A Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 92-68 -3.43 4.05 0.01 0.89 7.24
3 A Villanova (24- 9, 98.1) 86-79 -1.83 5.65 0.01 0.89 10.09
3 A Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 65-60 -2.35 5.13 0.01 0.89 9.17
3 A Xavier (15-18, 97.0) 88-83 -2.95 4.53 0.01 0.89 8.10
3 A Butler (16-16, 96.9) 92-70 -2.96 4.52 0.01 0.89 8.08
3 A DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 68-56 -3.24 4.24 0.01 0.89 7.58
3 A Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 81-72 -0.77 6.71 0.01 0.89 11.98
3 A Xavier (15-18, 97.0) 87-82 -2.95 4.53 0.01 0.89 8.10
3 A Providence (15-18, 96.9) 79-69 -2.97 4.51 0.01 0.89 8.06
3 A Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 76-70 -3.43 4.05 0.01 0.89 7.24
3 A Creighton (16-18, 97.0) 81-52 -2.90 4.58 0.01 0.89 8.19
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 40-72 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 0.89 -0.35
3 A Villanova (24- 9, 98.1) 89-57 -1.83 5.65 0.01 0.89 10.09
3 A Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 72-69 -3.02 4.46 0.01 0.89 7.97
3 A Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 72-65 -2.35 5.13 0.01 0.89 9.17
3 A Providence (15-18, 96.9) 85-72 -2.97 4.51 0.01 0.89 8.06
3 A Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 78-68 -2.35 5.13 0.01 0.89 9.17
3 A Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 72-52 -0.77 6.71 0.01 0.89 11.98
3 A No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 79-53 -3.66 3.82 0.01 0.89 6.83
3 A Kansas (24-11, 98.4) 67-65 -1.47 6.01 0.01 0.89 10.74
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 75-80 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.89 -0.08
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234.34
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winning pts = 239.0791 losing points = -4.7374
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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