St Louis
W-L: (29- 6) PR = 97.6324Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 92-67 1106 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) **-86 1110 A Lindenwood OV (19-15, 94.4) **-66 1115 A Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 78-64 1121 A PFW HL (16-16, 95.2) 91-60 1127 A Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 71-70 1128 H Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 77-78 1202 A Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 91-70 1207 A Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) **-65 1213 A San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 85-75 1217 A Beth-Cook SWAC (17-15, 95.0) **-53 1221 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-21, 93.3) 93-79 1228 A PRIN **-33 1231 A St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) **-79 107 A VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 71-62 110 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 84-72 114 A Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 78-56 117 A Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 88-63 120 A Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 81-77 123 A St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 97-62 127 A George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 79-76 130 A Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) **-71 203 A Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 91-82 207 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 82-58 213 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 86-59 217 H Rhode Island A10 (16-16, 95.6) 76-81 220 A VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 88-75 224 H Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 62-77 228 A Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 91-76 304 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 79-65 307 H George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 57-86 313 A George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 88-81 314 H Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 69-70 319 A Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) **-77 321 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 72-95
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A SE MO St 92-67 25 3 0.00
1106 A Chicago St **-86 22 4 0.00
1110 A Lindenwood **-66 43 3 0.00
1115 A Grand Canyon 78-64 14 1 1.09
1121 A PFW 91-60 31 2 0.00
1127 A Santa Clara 71-70 1 0 0.88
1128 H Stanford 77-78 -1 0 -1.46
1202 A Loyola Marym 91-70 21 2 0.00
1207 A Ce Michigan **-65 42 3 0.00
1213 A San Fran 85-75 10 1 0.54
1217 A Beth-Cook **-53 59 3 0.00
1221 A New Hamp. 93-79 14 4 0.00
1231 A St Joseph's **-79 23 1 0.87
107 A VCU 71-62 9 0 1.96
110 A La Salle 84-72 12 3 0.00
114 A Fordham 78-56 22 2 0.00
117 A Richmond 88-63 25 2 0.00
120 A Duquesne 81-77 4 2 0.32
123 A St. Bonnies 97-62 35 2 0.15
127 A George Wash 79-76 3 2 0.41
130 A Dayton **-71 31 1 1.33
203 A Davidson 91-82 9 1 0.53
207 A La Salle 82-58 24 3 0.00
213 A Loyola Chic 86-59 27 3 0.00
217 H Rhode Island 76-81 -5 2 -- -4.00
220 A VCU 88-75 13 0 1.96
224 H Dayton 62-77 -15 1 - -2.69
228 A Duquesne 91-76 15 2 0.32
304 A Loyola Chic 79-65 14 3 0.00
307 H George Mason 57-86 -29 1 - -3.06
313 A George Wash 88-81 7 2 0.41
314 H Dayton 69-70 -1 1 -1.69
319 A Georgia **-77 25 0 + 2.15
321 H Michigan 72-95 -23 -2 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Rhode Island 76-81 -5 2 -- -4.00 224 H Dayton 62-77 -15 1 - -2.69 307 H George Mason 57-86 -29 1 - -3.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Georgia **-77 25 0 + 2.15 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 92-67 -5.08 2.39 0.01 0.97 4.67
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) **-86 -6.68 1.00 0.01 0.97 1.96
3 A Lindenwood (19-15, 94.4) **-66 -5.47 2.01 0.01 0.97 3.92
3 A Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 78-64 -3.19 4.29 0.01 0.97 8.34
3 A PFW (16-16, 95.2) 91-60 -4.74 2.74 0.01 0.97 5.34
3 A Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 71-70 -2.40 5.07 0.01 0.97 9.87
3 H Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 77-78 -2.71 4.76 -0.01 0.97 -1.32
3 A Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 91-70 -4.32 3.15 0.01 0.97 6.14
3 A Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) **-65 -5.42 2.06 0.01 0.97 4.02
3 A San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 85-75 -3.74 3.74 0.01 0.97 7.28
3 A Beth-Cook (17-15, 95.0) **-53 -4.90 2.58 0.01 0.97 5.03
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-21, 93.3) 93-79 -6.63 1.00 0.01 0.97 1.96
3 A St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) **-79 -3.41 4.07 0.01 0.97 7.92
3 A VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 71-62 -2.32 5.16 0.01 0.97 10.04
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 84-72 -4.91 2.57 0.01 0.97 5.01
3 A Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 78-56 -4.51 2.97 0.01 0.97 5.78
3 A Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 88-63 -4.38 3.09 0.01 0.97 6.03
3 A Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 81-77 -3.95 3.52 0.01 0.97 6.86
3 A St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 97-62 -4.13 3.35 0.01 0.97 6.52
3 A George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 79-76 -3.86 3.61 0.01 0.97 7.03
3 A Dayton (24-12, 96.9) **-71 -2.95 4.52 0.01 0.97 8.81
3 A Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 91-82 -3.75 3.73 0.01 0.97 7.26
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 82-58 -4.91 2.57 0.01 0.97 5.01
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 86-59 -4.97 2.50 0.01 0.97 4.88
3 H Rhode Island (16-16, 95.6) 76-81 -4.28 3.20 -0.01 0.97 -2.08
3 A VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 88-75 -2.32 5.16 0.01 0.97 10.04
3 H Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 62-77 -2.95 4.52 -0.01 0.97 -1.44
3 A Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 91-76 -3.95 3.52 0.01 0.97 6.86
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 79-65 -4.97 2.50 0.01 0.97 4.88
3 H George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 57-86 -3.31 4.16 -0.01 0.97 -1.61
3 A George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 88-81 -3.86 3.61 0.01 0.97 7.03
3 H Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 69-70 -2.95 4.52 -0.01 0.97 -1.44
3 A Georgia (23-11, 97.8) **-77 -2.13 5.35 0.01 0.97 10.40
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 72-95 -0.14 7.34 -0.01 0.97 -0.07
------
170.91
|
winning pts = 178.8767 losing points = -7.9664
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------