Stonehill
W-L: (12-21) PR = 93.4000Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A THOMA **-48 1107 H DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 64-72 1111 H Rhode Island A10 (16-16, 95.6) 57-80 1114 H Fairfield MAAC (22-13, 95.1) 71-73 1115 H Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 63-74 1117 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 57-96 1121 A Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 74-70 1126 H UMass Lowell AE (15-18, 93.9) 64-75 1130 H Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) 62-76 1202 H Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) 65-77 1212 A NOVTJ **-60 1217 H New Hamp. AE ( 9-21, 93.3) 58-59 1222 H Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 48-77 102 H New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 55-70 104 A Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 69-60 108 H Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 69-76 110 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 85-82 117 A Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 62-57 119 H St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 61-63 123 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 63-66 126 A Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 61-59 129 A FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 58-57 131 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 65-54 205 H FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 58-74 207 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 54-61 212 H Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 55-68 214 H Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 57-68 219 H New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 51-64 221 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 77-68 226 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) **-77 228 H Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 72-75 304 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 81-71 307 H Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 51-56
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H DePaul 64-72 -8 -3 0.00
1111 H Rhode Island 57-80 -23 -2 0.00
1114 H Fairfield 71-73 -2 -2 -0.36
1115 H Loyola-MD 63-74 -11 0 -1.71
1117 H Iowa St 57-96 -39 -5 0.00
1121 A Lafayette 74-70 4 0 + 2.40
1126 H UMass Lowell 64-75 -11 0 -1.53
1130 H Quinnipiac 62-76 -14 -2 -0.25
1202 H Bryant 65-77 -12 0 - -2.08
1217 H New Hamp. 58-59 -1 0 -1.14
1222 H Syracuse 48-77 -29 -3 0.00
102 H New Haven 55-70 -15 0 -1.59
104 A Wagner 69-60 9 0 + 2.47
108 H Ce Connecticut 69-76 -7 -1 -1.06
110 A Chicago St 85-82 3 0 1.83
117 A Mercyhurst 62-57 5 -1 + 2.62
119 H St Francis 61-63 -2 0 - -2.47
123 H LIU 63-66 -3 -2 -0.21
126 A Ce Connecticut 61-59 2 -1 + 2.96
129 A FDU 58-57 1 0 0.95
131 A Le Moyne 65-54 11 -1 + 2.68
205 H FDU 58-74 -16 0 - -2.07
207 H LIU 54-61 -7 -2 -0.21
212 H Chicago St 55-68 -13 0 - -2.19
214 H Wagner 57-68 -11 0 -1.55
219 H New Haven 51-64 -13 0 -1.59
221 A Le Moyne 77-68 9 -1 + 2.68
226 A St Francis **-77 26 0 1.55
228 H Mercyhurst 72-75 -3 -1 -1.40
304 A Le Moyne 81-71 10 -1 + 2.68
307 H Mercyhurst 51-56 -5 -1 -1.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1202 H Bryant 65-77 -12 0 - -2.08 119 H St Francis 61-63 -2 0 - -2.47 205 H FDU 58-74 -16 0 - -2.07 212 H Chicago St 55-68 -13 0 - -2.19 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 A Lafayette 74-70 4 0 + 2.40 104 A Wagner 69-60 9 0 + 2.47 117 A Mercyhurst 62-57 5 -1 + 2.62 126 A Ce Connecticut 61-59 2 -1 + 2.96 131 A Le Moyne 65-54 11 -1 + 2.68 221 A Le Moyne 77-68 9 -1 + 2.68 304 A Le Moyne 81-71 10 -1 + 2.68 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 64-72 -3.24 4.24 -0.01 1.06 -1.73
3 H Rhode Island (16-16, 95.6) 57-80 -4.28 3.20 -0.01 1.06 -2.28
3 H Fairfield (22-13, 95.1) 71-73 -4.85 2.63 -0.01 1.06 -2.59
3 H Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 63-74 -6.20 1.28 -0.01 1.06 -3.31
3 H Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 57-96 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.06 -0.64
3 A Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 74-70 -6.11 1.36 0.01 1.06 2.92
3 H UMass Lowell (15-18, 93.9) 64-75 -6.02 1.46 -0.01 1.06 -3.21
3 H Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) 62-76 -4.74 2.74 -0.01 1.06 -2.53
3 H Bryant (10-25, 93.3) 65-77 -6.57 1.00 -0.01 1.06 -3.50
3 H New Hamp. ( 9-21, 93.3) 58-59 -6.63 1.00 -0.01 1.06 -3.54
3 H Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 48-77 -3.13 4.34 -0.01 1.06 -1.67
3 H New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 55-70 -6.08 1.40 -0.01 1.06 -3.24
3 A Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 69-60 -6.04 1.44 0.01 1.06 3.08
3 H Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 69-76 -5.55 1.92 -0.01 1.06 -2.96
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 85-82 -6.68 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 62-57 -5.89 1.59 0.01 1.06 3.40
3 H St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 61-63 -6.96 1.00 -0.01 1.06 -3.71
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 63-66 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.06 -2.51
3 A Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 61-59 -5.55 1.92 0.01 1.06 4.12
3 A FDU (11-21, 93.3) 58-57 -6.56 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 65-54 -5.83 1.64 0.01 1.06 3.52
3 H FDU (11-21, 93.3) 58-74 -6.56 1.00 -0.01 1.06 -3.50
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 54-61 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.06 -2.51
3 H Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 55-68 -6.68 1.00 -0.01 1.06 -3.56
3 H Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 57-68 -6.04 1.44 -0.01 1.06 -3.22
3 H New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 51-64 -6.08 1.40 -0.01 1.06 -3.24
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 77-68 -5.83 1.64 0.01 1.06 3.52
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) **-77 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 72-75 -5.89 1.59 -0.01 1.06 -3.14
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 81-71 -5.83 1.64 0.01 1.06 3.52
3 H Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 51-56 -5.89 1.59 -0.01 1.06 -3.14
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-29.18
|
winning pts = 30.5502 losing points = -59.7317
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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