St Thomas MN
W-L: (24-10) PR = 95.7893Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Saint Marys WC (27- 6, 97.8) 58-84 1108 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 83-76 1110 H Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 71-81 1113 A Green Bay HL (18-15, 95.3) 80-61 1115 A SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 84-72 1121 A No Colorado BS (20-12, 95.6) 73-72 1122 H CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 80-88 1123 A Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 76-66 1129 A LAWRE 87-52 1203 H Montana St BS (18-14, 95.5) 74-82 1207 A Weber St BS (15-17, 95.1) 88-65 1211 A STJNM 80-56 1213 A UNC-Ash BSO (16-17, 94.8) 80-59 1220 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 92-78 1228 A NCUMN **-59 104 A Denver SM (14-18, 94.9) 92-88 107 A So Dakota SM (16-15, 94.8) 99-86 110 A Oral Roberts SM (10-24, 94.2) 82-71 115 A No Dakota SM (17-18, 94.9) 91-80 117 H No Dakota St SM (26- 8, 96.1) 65-68 122 A So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 74-69 124 A So Dakota SM (16-15, 94.8) 90-78 129 H No Dakota SM (17-18, 94.9) 80-81 201 A Kansas City SM ( 4-27, 92.9) 99-64 204 A So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 77-62 207 A Oral Roberts SM (10-24, 94.2) 92-75 212 H Omaha SM (16-17, 94.8) 94-98 214 A Kansas City SM ( 4-27, 92.9) **-64 221 H Denver SM (14-18, 94.9) 80-82 226 A No Dakota St SM (26- 8, 96.1) 84-62 228 A Omaha SM (16-17, 94.8) 68-53 305 A So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 80-67 307 H No Dakota SM (17-18, 94.9) 66-67 317 H Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 52-67
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Saint Marys 58-84 -26 -2 -0.03
1108 A Army 83-76 7 2 0.00
1110 H Wash St 71-81 -10 0 - -2.18
1113 A Green Bay 80-61 19 0 1.55
1115 A SE MO St 84-72 12 1 1.04
1121 A No Colorado 73-72 1 0 0.79
1122 H CS Fullerton 80-88 -8 0 - -2.20
1123 A Portland 76-66 10 0 1.78
1203 H Montana St 74-82 -8 0 - -2.29
1207 A Weber St 88-65 23 1 1.33
1213 A UNC-Ash 80-59 21 1 0.98
1220 A CA Riverside 92-78 14 1 0.93
104 A Denver 92-88 4 1 1.11
107 A So Dakota 99-86 13 1 1.03
110 A Oral Roberts 82-71 11 2 0.42
115 A No Dakota 91-80 11 1 1.11
117 H No Dakota St 65-68 -3 0 -1.72
122 A So Dakota St 74-69 5 1 0.95
124 A So Dakota 90-78 12 1 1.03
129 H No Dakota 80-81 -1 1 -1.91
201 A Kansas City 99-64 35 3 0.00
204 A So Dakota St 77-62 15 1 0.95
207 A Oral Roberts 92-75 17 2 0.42
212 H Omaha 94-98 -4 1 - -2.99
214 A Kansas City **-64 40 3 0.00
221 H Denver 80-82 -2 1 - -2.91
226 A No Dakota St 84-62 22 0 + 2.30
228 A Omaha 68-53 15 1 1.03
305 A So Dakota St 80-67 13 1 0.95
307 H No Dakota 66-67 -1 1 -1.91
317 H Seattle 52-67 -15 0 -1.55
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1110 H Wash St 71-81 -10 0 - -2.18 1122 H CS Fullerton 80-88 -8 0 - -2.20 1203 H Montana St 74-82 -8 0 - -2.29 212 H Omaha 94-98 -4 1 - -2.99 221 H Denver 80-82 -2 1 - -2.91 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 A No Dakota St 84-62 22 0 + 2.30 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Saint Marys (27- 6, 97.8) 58-84 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.06 -1.14
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) 83-76 -6.35 1.12 0.01 1.06 2.42
3 H Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 71-81 -4.28 3.20 -0.01 1.06 -2.28
3 A Green Bay (18-15, 95.3) 80-61 -4.57 2.91 0.01 1.06 6.22
3 A SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 84-72 -5.08 2.39 0.01 1.06 5.12
3 A No Colorado (20-12, 95.6) 73-72 -4.33 3.15 0.01 1.06 6.73
3 H CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 80-88 -4.30 3.18 -0.01 1.06 -2.29
3 A Portland (15-19, 95.6) 76-66 -4.35 3.13 0.01 1.06 6.69
3 H Montana St (18-14, 95.5) 74-82 -4.39 3.08 -0.01 1.06 -2.34
3 A Weber St (15-17, 95.1) 88-65 -4.79 2.68 0.01 1.06 5.73
3 A UNC-Ash (16-17, 94.8) 80-59 -5.15 2.33 0.01 1.06 4.99
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 92-78 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.06 4.90
3 A Denver (14-18, 94.9) 92-88 -5.01 2.46 0.01 1.06 5.27
3 A So Dakota (16-15, 94.8) 99-86 -5.09 2.39 0.01 1.06 5.11
3 A Oral Roberts (10-24, 94.2) 82-71 -5.70 1.77 0.01 1.06 3.80
3 A No Dakota (17-18, 94.9) 91-80 -5.01 2.47 0.01 1.06 5.28
3 H No Dakota St (26- 8, 96.1) 65-68 -3.82 3.65 -0.01 1.06 -2.04
3 A So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 74-69 -5.17 2.31 0.01 1.06 4.94
3 A So Dakota (16-15, 94.8) 90-78 -5.09 2.39 0.01 1.06 5.11
3 H No Dakota (17-18, 94.9) 80-81 -5.01 2.47 -0.01 1.06 -2.67
3 A Kansas City ( 4-27, 92.9) 99-64 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 77-62 -5.17 2.31 0.01 1.06 4.94
3 A Oral Roberts (10-24, 94.2) 92-75 -5.70 1.77 0.01 1.06 3.80
3 H Omaha (16-17, 94.8) 94-98 -5.09 2.38 -0.01 1.06 -2.72
3 A Kansas City ( 4-27, 92.9) **-64 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Denver (14-18, 94.9) 80-82 -5.01 2.46 -0.01 1.06 -2.67
3 A No Dakota St (26- 8, 96.1) 84-62 -3.82 3.65 0.01 1.06 7.80
3 A Omaha (16-17, 94.8) 68-53 -5.09 2.38 0.01 1.06 5.10
3 A So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 80-67 -5.17 2.31 0.01 1.06 4.94
3 H No Dakota (17-18, 94.9) 66-67 -5.01 2.47 -0.01 1.06 -2.67
3 H Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 52-67 -3.65 3.82 -0.01 1.06 -1.95
------
80.37
|
winning pts = 103.1538 losing points = -22.7879
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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