Texas 
W-L: (21-15) PR = 97.7839
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1104 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 60-75
1108 A Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 97-60
1112 A FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 93-58
1115 A Kansas City SM ( 4-27, 92.9) 71-55
1118 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) 99-65
1124 H Arizona St B12 (17-16, 97.4) 86-87
1125 A CHAMI **-78
1126 A NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) **-97
1203 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 69-88
1208 A Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) 95-69
1212 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 63-71
1216 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 95-53
1222 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC ( 9-23, 93.0) 94-71
103 H Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) 98-**
106 H Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 71-85
110 A Alabama SEC A (25-10, 98.5) 92-88
114 A Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 80-64
117 H Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) 70-74
121 H Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 80-85
124 A Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 87-67
128 H Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 82-88
131 A Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 79-69
203 A So Carolina SEC (13-19, 96.4) 84-75
207 A Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 79-68
214 A Missouri SEC M (20-13, 97.4) 85-68
217 A LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 88-85
221 H Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 80-91
225 H Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 71-84
228 A Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) 76-70
304 H Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 85-**
307 H Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 85-88
311 H Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 66-76
317 A NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 68-66
319 A BYU B12 (23-12, 98.2) 79-71
321 A Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 74-68
326 H Purdue B10 (30- 9, 98.8) 77-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Duke 60-75 -15 -2 -0.07
1108 A Lafayette 97-60 37 4 0.00
1112 A FDU 93-58 35 4 0.00
1115 A Kansas City 71-55 16 5 0.00
1118 A Rider 99-65 34 5 0.00
1124 H Arizona St 86-87 -1 0 -1.43
1126 A NC State **-97 5 0 1.82
1203 H Virginia 69-88 -19 -1 -1.16
1208 A Southern 95-69 26 3 0.00
1212 H Connecticut 63-71 -8 -1 -0.66
1216 A Le Moyne 95-53 42 4 0.00
1222 A MD-Ea Shore 94-71 23 5 0.00
103 H Miss St 98-** -3 1 - -3.09
106 H Tennessee 71-85 -14 -1 -1.49
110 A Alabama 92-88 4 -1 + 2.77
114 A Vanderbilt 80-64 16 -1 + 2.76
117 H Texas A&M 70-74 -4 0 - -2.03
121 H Kentucky 80-85 -5 0 -1.80
124 A Georgia 87-67 20 0 2.00
128 H Auburn 82-88 -6 0 - -2.08
131 A Oklahoma 79-69 10 0 1.69
203 A So Carolina 84-75 9 1 0.60
207 A Ole Miss 79-68 11 1 1.10
214 A Missouri 85-68 17 0 1.64
217 A LSU 88-85 3 1 1.05
221 H Georgia 80-91 -11 0 - -2.02
225 H Florida 71-84 -13 -1 -0.97
228 A Texas A&M 76-70 6 0 1.99
304 H Arkansas 85-** -20 -1 -1.30
307 H Oklahoma 85-88 -3 0 - -2.33
311 H Ole Miss 66-76 -10 1 - -2.92
317 A NC State 68-66 2 0 1.82
319 A BYU 79-71 8 0 + 2.39
321 A Gonzaga 74-68 6 -1 + 2.75
326 H Purdue 77-79 -2 -1 -1.03
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
103 H Miss St 98-** -3 1 - -3.09
117 H Texas A&M 70-74 -4 0 - -2.03
128 H Auburn 82-88 -6 0 - -2.08
221 H Georgia 80-91 -11 0 - -2.02
307 H Oklahoma 85-88 -3 0 - -2.33
311 H Ole Miss 66-76 -10 1 - -2.92
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
110 A Alabama 92-88 4 -1 + 2.77
114 A Vanderbilt 80-64 16 -1 + 2.76
319 A BYU 79-71 8 0 + 2.39
321 A Gonzaga 74-68 6 -1 + 2.75
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 60-75 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.94 -0.09
3 A Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 97-60 -6.11 1.36 0.01 0.94 2.59
3 A FDU (11-21, 93.3) 93-58 -6.56 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Kansas City ( 4-27, 92.9) 71-55 -6.96 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) 99-65 -6.73 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 H Arizona St (17-16, 97.4) 86-87 -2.53 4.94 -0.01 0.94 -1.20
3 A NC State (20-14, 97.6) **-97 -2.30 5.17 0.01 0.94 9.78
3 H Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 69-88 -1.26 6.21 -0.01 0.94 -0.60
3 A Southern (16-18, 94.7) 95-69 -5.22 2.26 0.01 0.94 4.28
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 63-71 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 0.94 -0.37
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 95-53 -5.83 1.64 0.01 0.94 3.12
3 A MD-Ea Shore ( 9-23, 93.0) 94-71 -6.90 1.00 0.01 0.94 1.91
3 H Miss St (13-19, 96.7) 98-** -3.20 4.28 -0.01 0.94 -1.51
3 H Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 71-85 -1.59 5.88 -0.01 0.94 -0.76
3 A Alabama (25-10, 98.5) 92-88 -1.36 6.12 0.01 0.94 11.56
3 A Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 80-64 -1.37 6.11 0.01 0.94 11.54
3 H Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) 70-74 -2.13 5.34 -0.01 0.94 -1.01
3 H Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 80-85 -1.91 5.57 -0.01 0.94 -0.90
3 A Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 87-67 -2.13 5.35 0.01 0.94 10.11
3 H Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 82-88 -2.19 5.29 -0.01 0.94 -1.04
3 A Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 79-69 -2.44 5.04 0.01 0.94 9.52
3 A So Carolina (13-19, 96.4) 84-75 -3.52 3.95 0.01 0.94 7.47
3 A Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 79-68 -3.03 4.45 0.01 0.94 8.40
3 A Missouri (20-13, 97.4) 85-68 -2.48 4.99 0.01 0.94 9.44
3 A LSU (15-17, 96.8) 88-85 -3.07 4.41 0.01 0.94 8.33
3 H Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 80-91 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 0.94 -1.01
3 H Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 71-84 -1.07 6.40 -0.01 0.94 -0.51
3 A Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) 76-70 -2.13 5.34 0.01 0.94 10.10
3 H Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 85-** -1.40 6.07 -0.01 0.94 -0.67
3 H Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 85-88 -2.44 5.04 -0.01 0.94 -1.16
3 H Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 66-76 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 0.94 -1.43
3 A NC State (20-14, 97.6) 68-66 -2.30 5.17 0.01 0.94 9.78
3 A BYU (23-12, 98.2) 79-71 -1.73 5.74 0.01 0.94 10.85
3 A Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 74-68 -1.37 6.10 0.01 0.94 11.53
3 H Purdue (30- 9, 98.8) 77-79 -1.14 6.34 -0.01 0.94 -0.54
------
133.22
|
winning pts = 146.0090 losing points = -12.7914
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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