UTRGV
W-L: (18-14) PR = 95.3308Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 81-96 1108 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 95-72 1111 H Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 65-85 1117 A SWADV **-53 1122 H Missouri St CUSA (17-17, 95.3) 67-74 1124 H Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 73-87 1203 H SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 60-73 1207 A Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 63-50 1211 H UT Arlington WAC U (18-14, 95.7) 50-58 1216 A Lamar SL L (12-19, 94.4) 83-72 1220 A CBIB **-51 1229 H New Orleans SL U (15-18, 95.1) 69-85 1231 H Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 69-71 103 H TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 59-63 105 A Incarn Word SL (12-19, 94.4) 80-67 110 H Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 69-77 112 H Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 63-64 119 A Soea LA SL S ( 9-22, 94.1) 68-65 124 A Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 68-51 126 A TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 64-55 131 A Incarn Word SL (12-19, 94.4) **-93 202 A Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 74-57 207 A New Orleans SL U (15-18, 95.1) 95-76 209 A Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 92-72 214 H SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 57-66 216 A Lamar SL L (12-19, 94.4) 70-65 221 A Soea LA SL S ( 9-22, 94.1) 96-75 223 H McNeese SL M (26- 7, 96.8) 68-75 228 A Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 63-55 302 A Nowestern St SL (10-22, 94.1) 74-62 309 A Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 86-68 310 H McNeese SL M (26- 7, 96.8) 35-84
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Baylor 81-96 -15 -2 -0.18
1108 A So Utah 95-72 23 1 1.24
1111 H Boise St 65-85 -20 -2 -0.29
1122 H Missouri St 67-74 -7 0 - -2.05
1124 H Illinois 73-87 -14 -3 0.00
1203 H SF Austin 60-73 -13 -1 -1.02
1207 A Austin Peay 63-50 13 0 + 2.20
1211 H UT Arlington 50-58 -8 0 -1.64
1216 A Lamar 83-72 11 1 1.13
1229 H New Orleans 69-85 -16 0 - -2.21
1231 H Nicholls 69-71 -2 1 - -2.56
103 H TX A&M-CC 59-63 -4 0 - -2.10
105 A Incarn Word 80-67 13 1 1.07
110 H Ea Texas A&M 69-77 -8 1 - -3.11
112 H Nowestern St 63-64 -1 1 - -2.28
119 A Soea LA 68-65 3 1 0.82
124 A Houston Chr 68-51 17 1 0.90
126 A TX A&M-CC 64-55 9 0 1.92
131 A Incarn Word **-93 13 1 1.07
202 A Houston Chr 74-57 17 1 0.90
207 A New Orleans 95-76 19 0 1.81
209 A Nicholls 92-72 20 1 1.46
214 H SF Austin 57-66 -9 -1 -1.02
216 A Lamar 70-65 5 1 1.13
221 A Soea LA 96-75 21 1 0.82
223 H McNeese 68-75 -7 -1 -0.55
228 A Ea Texas A&M 63-55 8 1 0.91
302 A Nowestern St 74-62 12 1 0.74
309 A Nicholls 86-68 18 1 1.46
310 H McNeese 35-84 -49 -1 -0.55
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1122 H Missouri St 67-74 -7 0 - -2.05 1229 H New Orleans 69-85 -16 0 - -2.21 1231 H Nicholls 69-71 -2 1 - -2.56 103 H TX A&M-CC 59-63 -4 0 - -2.10 110 H Ea Texas A&M 69-77 -8 1 - -3.11 112 H Nowestern St 63-64 -1 1 - -2.28 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1207 A Austin Peay 63-50 13 0 + 2.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Baylor (17-17, 97.2) 81-96 -2.74 4.74 -0.01 1.10 -1.51
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 95-72 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.10 4.72
3 H Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 65-85 -2.85 4.62 -0.01 1.10 -1.57
3 H Missouri St (17-17, 95.3) 67-74 -4.61 2.87 -0.01 1.10 -2.54
3 H Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 73-87 -1.23 6.25 -0.01 1.10 -0.68
3 H SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 60-73 -3.58 3.89 -0.01 1.10 -1.98
3 A Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 63-50 -4.38 3.09 0.01 1.10 6.83
3 H UT Arlington (18-14, 95.7) 50-58 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.10 -2.32
3 A Lamar (12-19, 94.4) 83-72 -5.45 2.02 0.01 1.10 4.48
3 H New Orleans (15-18, 95.1) 69-85 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 1.10 -2.63
3 H Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 69-71 -5.12 2.36 -0.01 1.10 -2.82
3 H TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 59-63 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.10 -2.57
3 A Incarn Word (12-19, 94.4) 80-67 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.10 4.35
3 H Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 69-77 -5.67 1.81 -0.01 1.10 -3.13
3 H Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 63-64 -5.84 1.64 -0.01 1.10 -3.22
3 A Soea LA ( 9-22, 94.1) 68-65 -5.76 1.72 0.01 1.10 3.80
3 A Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 68-51 -5.68 1.79 0.01 1.10 3.97
3 A TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 64-55 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.10 6.22
3 A Incarn Word (12-19, 94.4) **-93 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.10 4.35
3 A Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 74-57 -5.68 1.79 0.01 1.10 3.97
3 A New Orleans (15-18, 95.1) 95-76 -4.77 2.71 0.01 1.10 5.98
3 A Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 92-72 -5.12 2.36 0.01 1.10 5.22
3 H SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 57-66 -3.58 3.89 -0.01 1.10 -1.98
3 A Lamar (12-19, 94.4) 70-65 -5.45 2.02 0.01 1.10 4.48
3 A Soea LA ( 9-22, 94.1) 96-75 -5.76 1.72 0.01 1.10 3.80
3 H McNeese (26- 7, 96.8) 68-75 -3.11 4.37 -0.01 1.10 -1.72
3 A Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 63-55 -5.67 1.81 0.01 1.10 4.00
3 A Nowestern St (10-22, 94.1) 74-62 -5.84 1.64 0.01 1.10 3.62
3 A Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 86-68 -5.12 2.36 0.01 1.10 5.22
3 H McNeese (26- 7, 96.8) 35-84 -3.11 4.37 -0.01 1.10 -1.72
------
44.64
|
winning pts = 75.0114 losing points = -30.3729
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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