TX St-SM
W-L: (19-13) PR = 95.3656Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 48-83 1105 A TAMUS **-55 1108 H Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 71-79 1112 A Texas-SA AME ( 5-25, 94.2) 80-69 1115 A TX Southern SWAC T (12-18, 94.0) 77-67 1118 A Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 63-49 1121 A Little Rock OV (13-20, 94.0) 65-56 1124 A TEXLU 93-41 1128 H Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 52-66 1129 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 74-78 1203 H Rice AME (13-18, 95.2) 72-77 1210 A Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) 86-83 1217 H Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) 70-89 1220 A So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 67-65 1231 H Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 80-** 103 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) 84-79 108 H So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 70-80 110 H Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) 82-83 114 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 59-54 117 A So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 74-67 122 H Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 70-72 124 H Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 57-82 128 A Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 72-68 131 A Old Dominion SB (12-21, 94.7) 81-64 204 A Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 77-71 207 A We Michigan MA (10-21, 94.6) 77-61 211 A Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 74-62 214 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) 95-84 219 A So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 90-82 221 H Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 54-67 227 A App State SB A (19-14, 95.5) 60-57 306 H So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 77-81
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Bowling Grn 48-83 -35 0 -1.92
1108 H Tulane 71-79 -8 -1 -1.42
1112 A Texas-SA 80-69 11 1 0.81
1115 A TX Southern 77-67 10 1 0.67
1118 A Abilene Chr 63-49 14 0 1.75
1121 A Little Rock 65-56 9 1 0.66
1128 H Seattle 52-66 -14 -1 -1.13
1129 H Lehigh 74-78 -4 1 - -2.99
1203 H Rice 72-77 -5 0 - -2.15
1210 A Southern 86-83 3 1 1.32
1217 H Arkansas St 70-89 -19 0 -1.64
1220 A So Alabama 67-65 2 0 + 2.30
1231 H Troy 80-** -20 -1 -1.37
103 A LA-Monroe 84-79 5 2 0.00
108 H So Miss 70-80 -10 0 - -2.03
110 H Arkansas St 82-83 -1 0 -0.64
114 A Louisiana 59-54 5 1 1.10
117 A So Miss 74-67 7 0 1.99
122 H Coastal Car 70-72 -2 0 - -2.07
124 H Jam Madison 57-82 -25 0 - -2.11
128 A Marshall 72-68 4 0 + 2.29
131 A Old Dominion 81-64 17 1 1.32
204 A Georgia So 77-71 6 0 1.88
207 A We Michigan 77-61 16 1 1.25
211 A Troy 74-62 12 -1 + 2.65
214 A LA-Monroe 95-84 11 2 0.00
219 A So Alabama 90-82 8 0 + 2.30
221 H Louisiana 54-67 -13 1 - -2.92
227 A App State 60-57 3 0 + 2.11
306 H So Miss 77-81 -4 0 - -2.03
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1129 H Lehigh 74-78 -4 1 - -2.99 1203 H Rice 72-77 -5 0 - -2.15 108 H So Miss 70-80 -10 0 - -2.03 122 H Coastal Car 70-72 -2 0 - -2.07 124 H Jam Madison 57-82 -25 0 - -2.11 221 H Louisiana 54-67 -13 1 - -2.92 306 H So Miss 77-81 -4 0 - -2.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 A So Alabama 67-65 2 0 + 2.30 128 A Marshall 72-68 4 0 + 2.29 211 A Troy 74-62 12 -1 + 2.65 219 A So Alabama 90-82 8 0 + 2.30 227 A App State 60-57 3 0 + 2.11 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 48-83 -4.44 3.03 -0.01 1.10 -2.45
3 H Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 71-79 -3.94 3.53 -0.01 1.10 -2.17
3 A Texas-SA ( 5-25, 94.2) 80-69 -5.73 1.74 0.01 1.10 3.86
3 A TX Southern (12-18, 94.0) 77-67 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.10 3.54
3 A Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 63-49 -4.80 2.68 0.01 1.10 5.92
3 A Little Rock (13-20, 94.0) 65-56 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.10 3.54
3 H Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 52-66 -3.65 3.82 -0.01 1.10 -2.02
3 H Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 74-78 -5.52 1.96 -0.01 1.10 -3.04
3 H Rice (13-18, 95.2) 72-77 -4.68 2.80 -0.01 1.10 -2.58
3 A Southern (16-18, 94.7) 86-83 -5.22 2.26 0.01 1.10 4.99
3 H Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) 70-89 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 1.10 -2.29
3 A So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 67-65 -4.24 3.23 0.01 1.10 7.14
3 H Troy (23-11, 96.0) 80-** -3.89 3.59 -0.01 1.10 -2.15
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) 84-79 -6.76 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 H So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 70-80 -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.10 -2.51
3 H Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) 82-83 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 1.10 -2.29
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 59-54 -5.44 2.03 0.01 1.10 4.49
3 A So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 74-67 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.10 6.45
3 H Coastal Car (19-14, 95.3) 70-72 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 1.10 -2.53
3 H Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 57-82 -4.64 2.84 -0.01 1.10 -2.56
3 A Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 72-68 -4.26 3.22 0.01 1.10 7.10
3 A Old Dominion (12-21, 94.7) 81-64 -5.22 2.25 0.01 1.10 4.98
3 A Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 77-71 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.10 6.22
3 A We Michigan (10-21, 94.6) 77-61 -5.29 2.19 0.01 1.10 4.83
3 A Troy (23-11, 96.0) 74-62 -3.89 3.59 0.01 1.10 7.91
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) 95-84 -6.76 1.00 0.01 1.10 2.22
3 A So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 90-82 -4.24 3.23 0.01 1.10 7.14
3 H Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 54-67 -5.44 2.03 -0.01 1.10 -3.00
3 A App State (19-14, 95.5) 60-57 -4.44 3.04 0.01 1.10 6.71
3 H So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 77-81 -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.10 -2.51
------
57.16
|
winning pts = 89.2701 losing points = -32.1095
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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