Tenn St
W-L: (24-10) PR = 95.4603Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A FISK **-50 1108 H Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 79-87 1111 A OAKWD **-76 1116 H We Kentucky CUSA (18-14, 95.7) 82-95 1120 H Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 60-89 1125 A UNC-Ash BSO (16-17, 94.8) 75-73 1129 A TNWES 98-77 1130 A Chattanooga SO U (13-19, 94.2) 70-64 1203 H Alabama A&M SWAC (18-15, 94.5) 53-80 1213 A UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 63-60 1218 A UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 78-71 1218 A UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 78-71 1220 H SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 82-91 1230 A Tenn Tech OV (14-18, 94.1) 88-76 103 A Little Rock OV (13-20, 94.0) 84-79 108 A We Illinois OV ( 5-27, 92.7) 90-68 110 H Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) 70-74 116 A Morehead St OV (20-14, 94.8) **-** 117 A So Indiana OV ( 7-24, 93.2) 73-67 122 H SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 66-74 124 A Lindenwood OV (19-15, 94.4) 96-86 129 A Little Rock OV (13-20, 94.0) 70-63 202 H Tenn Tech OV (14-18, 94.1) 85-90 205 A Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) 77-68 207 A We Illinois OV ( 5-27, 92.7) 83-56 212 A So Indiana OV ( 7-24, 93.2) 73-71 214 H Morehead St OV (20-14, 94.8) 86-94 219 A Lindenwood OV (19-15, 94.4) 89-80 221 A SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 80-53 226 A SE MO St OV (20-14, 94.8) 79-71 228 A UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 67-42 306 A UT Martin OV (22-12, 95.1) 68-55 307 A Morehead St OV (20-14, 94.8) 93-67 320 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 74-**
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 H Belmont 79-87 -8 -1 -0.72
1116 H We Kentucky 82-95 -13 0 -1.80
1120 H Tennessee 60-89 -29 -3 0.00
1125 A UNC-Ash 75-73 2 1 1.30
1130 A Chattanooga 70-64 6 1 0.74
1203 H Alabama A&M 53-80 -27 1 - -2.93
1213 A UNLV 63-60 3 -1 + 2.95
1218 A UT Martin 78-71 7 0 1.61
1218 A UT Martin 78-71 7 0 1.61
1220 H SE MO St 82-91 -9 1 - -2.65
1230 A Tenn Tech 88-76 12 1 0.64
103 A Little Rock 84-79 5 1 0.57
108 A We Illinois 90-68 22 3 0.00
110 H Ea Illinois 70-74 -4 1 - -3.40
116 A Morehead St **-** 5 1 1.32
117 A So Indiana 73-67 6 2 0.00
122 H SIUE 66-74 -8 1 - -2.98
124 A Lindenwood 96-86 10 1 0.98
129 A Little Rock 70-63 7 1 0.57
202 H Tenn Tech 85-90 -5 1 - -3.38
205 A Ea Illinois 77-68 9 1 0.62
207 A We Illinois 83-56 27 3 0.00
212 A So Indiana 73-71 2 2 0.00
214 H Morehead St 86-94 -8 1 - -2.70
219 A Lindenwood 89-80 9 1 0.98
221 A SIUE 80-53 27 1 1.04
226 A SE MO St 79-71 8 1 1.37
228 A UT Martin 67-42 25 0 1.61
306 A UT Martin 68-55 13 0 1.61
307 A Morehead St 93-67 26 1 1.32
320 H Iowa St 74-** -34 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1203 H Alabama A&M 53-80 -27 1 - -2.93 1220 H SE MO St 82-91 -9 1 - -2.65 110 H Ea Illinois 70-74 -4 1 - -3.40 122 H SIUE 66-74 -8 1 - -2.98 202 H Tenn Tech 85-90 -5 1 - -3.38 214 H Morehead St 86-94 -8 1 - -2.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 A UNLV 63-60 3 -1 + 2.95 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 79-87 -3.15 4.32 -0.01 1.06 -1.68
3 H We Kentucky (18-14, 95.7) 82-95 -4.23 3.24 -0.01 1.06 -2.26
3 H Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 60-89 -1.59 5.88 -0.01 1.06 -0.85
3 A UNC-Ash (16-17, 94.8) 75-73 -5.15 2.33 0.01 1.06 4.99
3 A Chattanooga (13-19, 94.2) 70-64 -5.71 1.77 0.01 1.06 3.78
3 H Alabama A&M (18-15, 94.5) 53-80 -5.36 2.11 -0.01 1.06 -2.86
3 A UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 63-60 -3.50 3.97 0.01 1.06 8.48
3 A UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 78-71 -4.84 2.64 0.01 1.06 5.65
3 A UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 78-71 -4.84 2.64 0.01 1.06 5.65
3 H SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 82-91 -5.08 2.39 -0.01 1.06 -2.71
3 A Tenn Tech (14-18, 94.1) 88-76 -5.81 1.66 0.01 1.06 3.57
3 A Little Rock (13-20, 94.0) 84-79 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.06 3.42
3 A We Illinois ( 5-27, 92.7) 90-68 -7.24 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Ea Illinois (14-20, 94.1) 70-74 -5.82 1.65 -0.01 1.06 -3.11
3 A Morehead St (20-14, 94.8) **-** -5.13 2.35 0.01 1.06 5.02
3 A So Indiana ( 7-24, 93.2) 73-67 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 66-74 -5.41 2.07 -0.01 1.06 -2.88
3 A Lindenwood (19-15, 94.4) 96-86 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.06 4.30
3 A Little Rock (13-20, 94.0) 70-63 -5.88 1.60 0.01 1.06 3.42
3 H Tenn Tech (14-18, 94.1) 85-90 -5.81 1.66 -0.01 1.06 -3.10
3 A Ea Illinois (14-20, 94.1) 77-68 -5.82 1.65 0.01 1.06 3.54
3 A We Illinois ( 5-27, 92.7) 83-56 -7.24 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A So Indiana ( 7-24, 93.2) 73-71 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Morehead St (20-14, 94.8) 86-94 -5.13 2.35 -0.01 1.06 -2.74
3 A Lindenwood (19-15, 94.4) 89-80 -5.47 2.01 0.01 1.06 4.30
3 A SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 80-53 -5.41 2.07 0.01 1.06 4.43
3 A SE MO St (20-14, 94.8) 79-71 -5.08 2.39 0.01 1.06 5.12
3 A UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 67-42 -4.84 2.64 0.01 1.06 5.65
3 A UT Martin (22-12, 95.1) 68-55 -4.84 2.64 0.01 1.06 5.65
3 A Morehead St (20-14, 94.8) 93-67 -5.13 2.35 0.01 1.06 5.02
3 H Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 74-** -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.06 -0.64
------
67.72
|
winning pts = 90.5607 losing points = -22.8360
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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