Toledo
W-L: (19-15) PR = 95.6956Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 74-76 1108 H Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 73-85 1111 A Wright St HL (23-12, 95.8) 81-71 1115 A Detroit HL (17-15, 95.2) 90-83 1119 A Youngstown St HL (15-17, 94.8) 92-75 1124 A Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 75-68 1126 H Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 72-87 1201 A CENTS **-58 1206 H Oakland HL (16-16, 95.4) 97-98 1213 H Robert Morris HL (22-11, 95.8) 70-75 1216 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 69-92 1220 A LOUR **-67 1230 A We Michigan MA (10-21, 94.6) 84-79 103 A Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 78-75 106 A No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 75-61 109 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 73-87 113 A Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) **-85 116 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 84-87 120 H Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 82-84 124 A Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 73-72 127 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 81-91 131 A Ball St MA (12-19, 94.3) 73-55 203 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 72-75 207 H Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 71-73 211 A We Michigan MA (10-21, 94.6) 90-79 214 H Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 70-80 221 A Ea Michigan MA (10-21, 94.7) 94-75 224 A No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 79-69 228 A Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 79-67 303 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 72-74 306 A Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 98-78 312 A Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 77-76 313 A Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 77-67 314 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 76-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H So Alabama 74-76 -2 0 - -2.05
1108 H Marshall 73-85 -12 0 - -2.06
1111 A Wright St 81-71 10 0 + 2.15
1115 A Detroit 90-83 7 0 1.51
1119 A Youngstown St 92-75 17 1 1.08
1124 A Troy 75-68 7 0 + 2.32
1126 H Belmont 72-87 -15 -1 -0.96
1206 H Oakland 97-98 -1 0 -1.34
1213 H Robert Morris 70-75 -5 0 -1.89
1216 H Michigan St 69-92 -23 -3 0.00
1230 A We Michigan 84-79 5 1 0.92
103 A Ce Michigan 78-75 3 1 0.80
106 A No Illinois 75-61 14 2 0.48
109 H Miami (OH) 73-87 -14 -2 -0.31
113 A Ohio **-85 16 0 1.56
116 H Kent State 84-87 -3 -1 -1.47
120 H Mass 82-84 -2 0 - -2.22
124 A Bowling Grn 73-72 1 0 0.77
127 H Akron 81-91 -10 -1 -0.84
131 A Ball St 73-55 18 1 0.64
203 H Kent State 72-75 -3 -1 -1.47
207 H Jam Madison 71-73 -2 0 - -2.44
211 A We Michigan 90-79 11 1 0.92
214 H Bowling Grn 70-80 -10 0 - -2.25
221 A Ea Michigan 94-75 19 1 1.00
224 A No Illinois 79-69 10 2 0.48
228 A Ohio 79-67 12 0 1.56
303 H Miami (OH) 72-74 -2 -2 -0.31
306 A Buffalo 98-78 20 0 1.67
312 A Bowling Grn 77-76 1 0 0.77
313 A Mass 77-67 10 0 1.80
314 H Akron 76-79 -3 -1 -0.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 H So Alabama 74-76 -2 0 - -2.05 1108 H Marshall 73-85 -12 0 - -2.06 120 H Mass 82-84 -2 0 - -2.22 207 H Jam Madison 71-73 -2 0 - -2.44 214 H Bowling Grn 70-80 -10 0 - -2.25 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 A Wright St 81-71 10 0 + 2.15 1124 A Troy 75-68 7 0 + 2.32 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 74-76 -4.24 3.23 -0.01 1.03 -2.19
3 H Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 73-85 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.03 -2.20
3 A Wright St (23-12, 95.8) 81-71 -4.07 3.41 0.01 1.03 7.06
3 A Detroit (17-15, 95.2) 90-83 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.03 5.75
3 A Youngstown St (15-17, 94.8) 92-75 -5.13 2.34 0.01 1.03 4.86
3 A Troy (23-11, 96.0) 75-68 -3.89 3.59 0.01 1.03 7.42
3 H Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 72-87 -3.15 4.32 -0.01 1.03 -1.63
3 H Oakland (16-16, 95.4) 97-98 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.03 -2.34
3 H Robert Morris (22-11, 95.8) 70-75 -4.08 3.39 -0.01 1.03 -2.11
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 69-92 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.03 -0.62
3 A We Michigan (10-21, 94.6) 84-79 -5.29 2.19 0.01 1.03 4.53
3 A Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 78-75 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.03 4.27
3 A No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 75-61 -5.73 1.75 0.01 1.03 3.62
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 73-87 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.03 -1.30
3 A Ohio (15-17, 95.2) **-85 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.03 5.84
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 84-87 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.03 -1.89
3 H Mass (17-16, 95.5) 82-84 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.03 -2.28
3 A Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 73-72 -4.44 3.03 0.01 1.03 6.28
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 81-91 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.03 -1.57
3 A Ball St (12-19, 94.3) 73-55 -5.57 1.90 0.01 1.03 3.95
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 72-75 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.03 -1.89
3 H Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 71-73 -4.64 2.84 -0.01 1.03 -2.40
3 A We Michigan (10-21, 94.6) 90-79 -5.29 2.19 0.01 1.03 4.53
3 H Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 70-80 -4.44 3.03 -0.01 1.03 -2.30
3 A Ea Michigan (10-21, 94.7) 94-75 -5.21 2.26 0.01 1.03 4.69
3 A No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 79-69 -5.73 1.75 0.01 1.03 3.62
3 A Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 79-67 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.03 5.84
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 72-74 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.03 -1.30
3 A Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 98-78 -4.55 2.93 0.01 1.03 6.06
3 A Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 77-76 -4.44 3.03 0.01 1.03 6.28
3 A Mass (17-16, 95.5) 77-67 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.03 6.33
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 76-79 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.03 -1.57
------
63.33
|
winning pts = 90.9260 losing points = -27.5999
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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