Towson 
W-L: (19-15) PR = 95.4831
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1103 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 67-56
1108 H Houston B12 (30- 7, 98.9) 48-65
1111 A WILSO **-62
1114 A Norfolk St MEAC N (14-19, 93.7) 51-41
1118 H Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 75-81
1124 A Rhode Island A10 (16-16, 95.6) 62-55
1125 A Liberty CUSA (26- 8, 96.5) 72-69
1126 H UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 73-87
1203 A Cornell IVY (14-14, 95.1) 93-80
1207 H UCF B12 (21-12, 97.8) 61-86
1216 H Kansas B12 (24-11, 98.4) 49-73
1219 A NDMAR **-60
1222 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-19, 94.4) 72-47
1229 H Will&Mary CA (21-12, 95.7) 70-84
1231 H Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 62-63
103 H Monmouth CA (19-15, 95.3) 48-62
108 H Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 67-78
110 A Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) 87-78
116 A Col of Charl CA ( 0- 3, 93.0) 61-52
119 A Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 59-58
122 A Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 72-59
124 H NC A&T CA (11-19, 94.3) 73-80
129 H UNC-Wilm CA (27- 7, 96.3) 73-82
131 A Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 82-50
207 H Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 49-71
212 A Stony Brook CA (17-15, 95.0) 69-57
215 H Monmouth CA (19-15, 95.3) 71-72
222 H Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 62-68
226 A Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 58-56
228 A Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 71-67
303 A Stony Brook CA (17-15, 95.0) 69-57
307 A Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 74-68
308 A Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 81-56
309 H Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 65-68
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Loyola-MD 67-56 11 2 0.23
1108 H Houston 48-65 -17 -3 0.00
1114 A Norfolk St 51-41 10 2 0.26
1118 H Jam Madison 75-81 -6 0 - -2.23
1124 A Rhode Island 62-55 7 0 + 2.15
1125 A Liberty 72-69 3 -1 + 3.04
1126 H UC San Diego 73-87 -14 -1 -1.40
1203 A Cornell 93-80 13 0 1.65
1207 H UCF 61-86 -25 -2 0.00
1216 H Kansas 49-73 -24 -3 0.00
1222 A Sacred Heart 72-47 25 1 0.89
1229 H Will&Mary 70-84 -14 0 -1.82
1231 H Hampton 62-63 -1 1 -1.99
103 H Monmouth 48-62 -14 0 - -2.18
108 H Hofstra 67-78 -11 -1 -1.37
110 A Northeastern 87-78 9 1 0.63
116 A Col of Charl 61-52 9 2 0.00
119 A Drexel 59-58 1 0 0.59
122 A Elon 72-59 13 1 1.41
124 H NC A&T 73-80 -7 1 - -3.15
129 H UNC-Wilm 73-82 -9 -1 -1.21
131 A Hampton 82-50 32 1 1.03
207 H Hofstra 49-71 -22 -1 -1.37
212 A Stony Brook 69-57 12 0 1.54
215 H Monmouth 71-72 -1 0 -1.18
222 H Drexel 62-68 -6 0 - -2.43
226 A Elon 58-56 2 1 1.41
228 A Campbell 71-67 4 0 1.87
303 A Stony Brook 69-57 12 0 1.54
307 A Hampton 74-68 6 1 1.03
308 A Charlotte 81-56 25 0 + 2.43
309 H Hofstra 65-68 -3 -1 -1.37
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1118 H Jam Madison 75-81 -6 0 - -2.23
103 H Monmouth 48-62 -14 0 - -2.18
124 H NC A&T 73-80 -7 1 - -3.15
222 H Drexel 62-68 -6 0 - -2.43
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1124 A Rhode Island 62-55 7 0 + 2.15
1125 A Liberty 72-69 3 -1 + 3.04
308 A Charlotte 81-56 25 0 + 2.43
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 67-56 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.03 2.65
3 H Houston (30- 7, 98.9) 48-65 -1.03 6.45 -0.01 1.03 -0.53
3 A Norfolk St (14-19, 93.7) 51-41 -6.17 1.31 0.01 1.03 2.72
3 H Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 75-81 -4.64 2.84 -0.01 1.03 -2.40
3 A Rhode Island (16-16, 95.6) 62-55 -4.28 3.20 0.01 1.03 6.62
3 A Liberty (26- 8, 96.5) 72-69 -3.38 4.09 0.01 1.03 8.47
3 H UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 73-87 -3.81 3.67 -0.01 1.03 -1.97
3 A Cornell (14-14, 95.1) 93-80 -4.78 2.70 0.01 1.03 5.58
3 H UCF (21-12, 97.8) 61-86 -2.10 5.37 -0.01 1.03 -1.09
3 H Kansas (24-11, 98.4) 49-73 -1.47 6.01 -0.01 1.03 -0.76
3 A Sacred Heart (14-19, 94.4) 72-47 -5.54 1.94 0.01 1.03 4.02
3 H Will&Mary (21-12, 95.7) 70-84 -4.23 3.25 -0.01 1.03 -2.19
3 H Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 62-63 -5.40 2.08 -0.01 1.03 -2.79
3 H Monmouth (19-15, 95.3) 48-62 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 1.03 -2.37
3 H Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 67-78 -3.78 3.70 -0.01 1.03 -1.95
3 A Northeastern ( 7-24, 94.1) 87-78 -5.79 1.68 0.01 1.03 3.49
3 A Col of Charl ( 0- 3, 93.0) 61-52 -6.90 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 59-58 -4.83 2.64 0.01 1.03 5.47
3 A Elon (14-18, 94.9) 72-59 -5.01 2.46 0.01 1.03 5.10
3 H NC A&T (11-19, 94.3) 73-80 -5.56 1.92 -0.01 1.03 -2.87
3 H UNC-Wilm (27- 7, 96.3) 73-82 -3.61 3.86 -0.01 1.03 -1.87
3 A Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 82-50 -5.40 2.08 0.01 1.03 4.31
3 H Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 49-71 -3.78 3.70 -0.01 1.03 -1.95
3 A Stony Brook (17-15, 95.0) 69-57 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.03 5.37
3 H Monmouth (19-15, 95.3) 71-72 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 1.03 -2.37
3 H Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 62-68 -4.83 2.64 -0.01 1.03 -2.50
3 A Elon (14-18, 94.9) 58-56 -5.01 2.46 0.01 1.03 5.10
3 A Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 71-67 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.03 6.05
3 A Stony Brook (17-15, 95.0) 69-57 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.03 5.37
3 A Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 74-68 -5.40 2.08 0.01 1.03 4.31
3 A Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 81-56 -4.00 3.48 0.01 1.03 7.20
3 H Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 65-68 -3.78 3.70 -0.01 1.03 -1.95
------
54.33
|
winning pts = 83.9065 losing points = -29.5730
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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