Tarleton St
W-L: (13-18) PR = 95.1844Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 76-96 1105 H LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 60-96 1108 A TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 85-77 1111 A Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 76-62 1114 H Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 81-94 1117 A ANGEL 77-54 1120 A Rice AME (13-18, 95.2) 90-74 1128 A MIDST 67-57 1201 H Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 58-76 1203 A HPAYN **-54 1216 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) 88-64 1219 A Florida A&M SWAC (14-16, 94.5) 78-54 1229 A UT Arlington WAC U (18-14, 95.7) 69-63 101 H Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 85-91 103 A Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 81-76 108 H Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 80-84 116 H So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) **-** 117 H Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 71-75 121 H UT Arlington WAC U (18-14, 95.7) 64-71 129 H Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 55-83 131 H Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 59-65 205 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 55-56 207 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 62-59 214 H Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 59-73 216 A Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 65-62 219 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 78-74 221 H Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 72-80 226 H Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 72-79 228 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 67-82 305 H UT Arlington WAC U (18-14, 95.7) 60-65 311 H Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 78-84
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H SMU 76-96 -20 -2 0.00
1105 H LSU 60-96 -36 -2 -0.37
1108 A TX A&M-CC 85-77 8 0 + 2.07
1111 A Merrimack 76-62 14 0 + 2.32
1114 H Baylor 81-94 -13 -2 -0.03
1120 A Rice 90-74 16 0 + 2.05
1201 H Cincinnati 58-76 -18 -2 0.00
1216 A Miss Val St 88-64 24 3 0.00
1219 A Florida A&M 78-54 24 1 1.31
1229 A UT Arlington 69-63 6 -1 + 2.53
101 H Utah Valley 85-91 -6 -1 -0.63
103 A Cal Baptist 81-76 5 -1 + 3.25
108 H Abilene Chr 80-84 -4 0 - -2.09
116 H So Utah **-** -1 1 -1.64
117 H Utah Tech 71-75 -4 -1 -1.49
121 H UT Arlington 64-71 -7 -1 -1.49
129 H Utah Valley 55-83 -28 -1 -0.63
131 H Utah Tech 59-65 -6 -1 -1.49
205 H Cal Baptist 55-56 -1 -1 0.23
207 A So Utah 62-59 3 1 1.38
214 H Abilene Chr 59-73 -14 0 - -2.09
216 A Abilene Chr 65-62 3 0 1.93
219 A So Utah 78-74 4 1 1.38
221 H Utah Tech 72-80 -8 -1 -1.49
226 H Utah Valley 72-79 -7 -1 -0.63
228 H Cal Baptist 67-82 -15 -1 -0.77
305 H UT Arlington 60-65 -5 -1 -1.49
311 H Abilene Chr 78-84 -6 0 - -2.09
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 108 H Abilene Chr 80-84 -4 0 - -2.09 214 H Abilene Chr 59-73 -14 0 - -2.09 311 H Abilene Chr 78-84 -6 0 - -2.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 A TX A&M-CC 85-77 8 0 + 2.07 1111 A Merrimack 76-62 14 0 + 2.32 1120 A Rice 90-74 16 0 + 2.05 1229 A UT Arlington 69-63 6 -1 + 2.53 103 A Cal Baptist 81-76 5 -1 + 3.25 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H SMU (20-14, 97.4) 76-96 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.18 -1.50
3 H LSU (15-17, 96.8) 60-96 -3.07 4.41 -0.01 1.18 -1.82
3 A TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 85-77 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.18 6.67
3 A Merrimack (22-12, 95.5) 76-62 -4.40 3.07 0.01 1.18 7.27
3 H Baylor (17-17, 97.2) 81-94 -2.74 4.74 -0.01 1.18 -1.62
3 A Rice (13-18, 95.2) 90-74 -4.68 2.80 0.01 1.18 6.62
3 H Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 58-76 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.18 -1.50
3 A Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) 88-64 -7.48 1.00 0.01 1.18 2.38
3 A Florida A&M (14-16, 94.5) 78-54 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.18 4.87
3 A UT Arlington (18-14, 95.7) 69-63 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.18 7.75
3 H Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 85-91 -3.34 4.14 -0.01 1.18 -1.97
3 A Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 81-76 -3.48 4.00 0.01 1.18 9.45
3 H Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 80-84 -4.80 2.68 -0.01 1.18 -2.83
3 H So Utah (10-23, 94.6) **-** -5.34 2.14 -0.01 1.18 -3.15
3 H Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 71-75 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.18 -2.48
3 H UT Arlington (18-14, 95.7) 64-71 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.18 -2.48
3 H Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 55-83 -3.34 4.14 -0.01 1.18 -1.97
3 H Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 59-65 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.18 -2.48
3 H Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 55-56 -3.48 4.00 -0.01 1.18 -2.06
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 62-59 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.18 5.06
3 H Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 59-73 -4.80 2.68 -0.01 1.18 -2.83
3 A Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 65-62 -4.80 2.68 0.01 1.18 6.34
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 78-74 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.18 5.06
3 H Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 72-80 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.18 -2.48
3 H Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 72-79 -3.34 4.14 -0.01 1.18 -1.97
3 H Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 67-82 -3.48 4.00 -0.01 1.18 -2.06
3 H UT Arlington (18-14, 95.7) 60-65 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.18 -2.48
3 H Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 78-84 -4.80 2.68 -0.01 1.18 -2.83
------
20.95
|
winning pts = 61.4736 losing points = -40.5210
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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