Troy
W-L: (23-11) PR = 96.0090Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) **-97 1107 A Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 64-61 1111 A PENCC **-56 1114 H Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 63-74 1116 H Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 85-94 1118 A San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) **-71 1120 H USC B10 (18-14, 97.3) 85-** 1124 H Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 68-75 1126 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 74-64 1201 H We Georgia AS (14-18, 94.4) **-93 1206 A LAGRA **-47 1214 A UAB AME (20-12, 96.2) 86-85 1220 A Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 70-63 1231 A TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) **-80 103 A So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 59-49 107 H Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) 74-86 110 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 90-70 114 A So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 91-65 117 A Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) 99-74 121 A Old Dominion SB (12-21, 94.7) 83- 4 124 A Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 83-78 129 H Jam Madison SB J (18-15, 95.3) 64-73 131 H App State SB A (19-14, 95.5) 44-66 204 A Georgia St SB (10-23, 94.2) 74-63 207 A Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 79-69 211 H TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 62-74 214 H So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 65-69 218 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) 77-76 221 H So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 54-65 224 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 78-59 227 A LA-Monroe SB U ( 4-28, 93.1) 80-65 308 A So Miss SB (20-16, 95.3) 78-70 309 A Georgia So SB G (22-16, 95.2) 77-61 319 H Nebraska B10 (28- 7, 98.6) 47-76
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Kent State **-97 6 0 + 2.24
1107 A Furman 64-61 3 1 1.37
1114 H Loyola Marym 63-74 -11 0 - -2.44
1116 H Northridge 85-94 -9 0 - -2.24
1118 A San Diego St **-71 37 -1 + 3.39
1120 H USC 85-** -22 -1 -0.72
1124 H Toledo 68-75 -7 0 - -2.32
1126 A St Francis 74-64 10 3 0.00
1201 H We Georgia **-93 31 2 0.40
1214 A UAB 86-85 1 0 1.24
1220 A Marshall 70-63 7 0 1.64
1231 A TX St-SM **-80 20 1 1.37
103 A So Alabama 59-49 10 0 1.66
107 H Arkansas St 74-86 -12 0 - -2.28
110 A Louisiana 90-70 20 2 0.46
114 A So Miss 91-65 26 1 1.34
117 A Arkansas St 99-74 25 0 1.74
121 A Old Dominion 83- 4 79 1 0.68
124 A Georgia So 83-78 5 1 1.24
129 H Jam Madison 64-73 -9 1 - -2.76
131 H App State 44-66 -22 1 - -2.56
204 A Georgia St 74-63 11 2 0.19
207 A Akron 79-69 10 -1 + 2.87
211 H TX St-SM 62-74 -12 1 - -2.65
214 H So Miss 65-69 -4 1 - -2.68
218 A LA-Monroe 77-76 1 3 -1.00
221 H So Alabama 54-65 -11 0 - -2.36
224 A Louisiana 78-59 19 2 0.46
227 A LA-Monroe 80-65 15 3 0.00
308 A So Miss 78-70 8 1 1.34
309 A Georgia So 77-61 16 1 1.24
319 H Nebraska 47-76 -29 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 H Loyola Marym 63-74 -11 0 - -2.44 1116 H Northridge 85-94 -9 0 - -2.24 1124 H Toledo 68-75 -7 0 - -2.32 107 H Arkansas St 74-86 -12 0 - -2.28 129 H Jam Madison 64-73 -9 1 - -2.76 131 H App State 44-66 -22 1 - -2.56 211 H TX St-SM 62-74 -12 1 - -2.65 214 H So Miss 65-69 -4 1 - -2.68 221 H So Alabama 54-65 -11 0 - -2.36 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 A Kent State **-97 6 0 + 2.24 1118 A San Diego St **-71 37 -1 + 3.39 207 A Akron 79-69 10 -1 + 2.87 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Kent State (24-10, 96.2) **-97 -3.66 3.81 0.01 1.03 7.89
3 A Furman (23-13, 95.4) 64-61 -4.53 2.95 0.01 1.03 6.10
3 H Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 63-74 -4.32 3.15 -0.01 1.03 -2.24
3 H Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 85-94 -4.12 3.36 -0.01 1.03 -2.13
3 A San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) **-71 -2.51 4.96 0.01 1.03 10.26
3 H USC (18-14, 97.3) 85-** -2.60 4.88 -0.01 1.03 -1.35
3 H Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 68-75 -4.20 3.27 -0.01 1.03 -2.17
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 74-64 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 H We Georgia (14-18, 94.4) **-93 -5.49 1.99 -0.01 1.03 4.09
3 A UAB (20-12, 96.2) 86-85 -3.66 3.81 0.01 1.03 7.89
3 A Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 70-63 -4.26 3.22 0.01 1.03 6.66
3 A TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) **-80 -4.53 2.94 0.01 1.03 6.09
3 A So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 59-49 -4.24 3.23 0.01 1.03 6.69
3 H Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) 74-86 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 1.03 -2.15
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 90-70 -5.44 2.03 0.01 1.03 4.21
3 A So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 91-65 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.03 6.04
3 A Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) 99-74 -4.16 3.32 0.01 1.03 6.86
3 A Old Dominion (12-21, 94.7) 83- 4 -5.22 2.25 0.01 1.03 4.67
3 A Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 83-78 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.03 5.83
3 H Jam Madison (18-15, 95.3) 64-73 -4.64 2.84 -0.01 1.03 -2.40
3 H App State (19-14, 95.5) 44-66 -4.44 3.04 -0.01 1.03 -2.29
3 A Georgia St (10-23, 94.2) 74-63 -5.71 1.76 0.01 1.03 3.66
3 A Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 79-69 -3.03 4.45 0.01 1.03 9.19
3 H TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 62-74 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.03 -2.34
3 H So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 65-69 -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.03 -2.36
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) 77-76 -6.76 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 H So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 54-65 -4.24 3.23 -0.01 1.03 -2.19
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 78-59 -5.44 2.03 0.01 1.03 4.21
3 A LA-Monroe ( 4-28, 93.1) 80-65 -6.76 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A So Miss (20-16, 95.3) 78-70 -4.56 2.92 0.01 1.03 6.04
3 A Georgia So (22-16, 95.2) 77-61 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.03 5.83
3 H Nebraska (28- 7, 98.6) 47-76 -1.33 6.15 -0.01 1.03 -0.69
------
96.16
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winning pts = 118.4744 losing points = -22.3112
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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