UT Arlington
W-L: (18-14) PR = 95.6997Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A UNTDA 91-40 1108 H New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 56-74 1110 A ARLGT **-61 1115 A Missouri St CUSA (17-17, 95.3) 67-49 1118 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 84-76 1121 H Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 67-71 1122 A Weber St BS (15-17, 95.1) 74-73 1129 A SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 66-61 1202 H Arkansas St SB A (20-12, 95.7) 63-83 1211 A UTRGV SL (18-14, 95.3) 58-50 1217 H Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 60-76 1222 A Oral Roberts SM (10-24, 94.2) 69-57 1229 H Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 63-69 101 A Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 63-51 103 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 86-77 110 A Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 82-72 116 A Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 56-52 117 H Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 74-86 121 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 71-64 129 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 80-61 131 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 77-87 205 H Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 84-87 207 H Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 60-81 212 H Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 63-67 214 H So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 73-78 219 A Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 63-50 221 H Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 54-66 226 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 56-68 305 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 65-60 307 A Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 64-57 312 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 69-63 313 H Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 65-67
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 H New Mexico 56-74 -18 -2 -0.48
1115 A Missouri St 67-49 18 0 1.60
1118 A Evansville 84-76 8 1 0.82
1121 H Campbell 67-71 -4 0 - -2.37
1122 A Weber St 74-73 1 1 0.42
1129 A SF Austin 66-61 5 -1 + 2.63
1202 H Arkansas St 63-83 -20 0 -1.97
1211 A UTRGV 58-50 8 0 1.64
1217 H Stanford 60-76 -16 -1 -0.52
1222 A Oral Roberts 69-57 12 1 0.51
1229 H Tarleton St 63-69 -6 1 - -2.53
101 A Cal Baptist 63-51 12 -1 + 2.73
103 A So Utah 86-77 9 1 0.87
110 A Abilene Chr 82-72 10 1 1.41
116 A Utah Tech 56-52 4 0 + 2.01
117 H Utah Valley 74-86 -12 -1 -1.15
121 A Tarleton St 71-64 7 1 1.49
129 A So Utah 80-61 19 1 0.87
131 H Cal Baptist 77-87 -10 -1 -1.29
205 H Utah Tech 84-87 -3 0 - -2.01
207 H Utah Valley 60-81 -21 -1 -1.15
212 H Abilene Chr 63-67 -4 1 - -2.61
214 H So Utah 73-78 -5 1 - -3.15
219 A Utah Tech 63-50 13 0 + 2.01
221 H Utah Valley 54-66 -12 -1 -1.15
226 H Cal Baptist 56-68 -12 -1 -1.29
305 A Tarleton St 65-60 5 1 1.49
307 A Abilene Chr 64-57 7 1 1.41
312 A So Utah 69-63 6 1 0.87
313 H Utah Valley 65-67 -2 -1 -1.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 H Campbell 67-71 -4 0 - -2.37 1229 H Tarleton St 63-69 -6 1 - -2.53 205 H Utah Tech 84-87 -3 0 - -2.01 212 H Abilene Chr 63-67 -4 1 - -2.61 214 H So Utah 73-78 -5 1 - -3.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1129 A SF Austin 66-61 5 -1 + 2.63 101 A Cal Baptist 63-51 12 -1 + 2.73 116 A Utah Tech 56-52 4 0 + 2.01 219 A Utah Tech 63-50 13 0 + 2.01 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 56-74 -2.67 4.81 -0.01 1.10 -1.47
3 A Missouri St (17-17, 95.3) 67-49 -4.61 2.87 0.01 1.10 6.34
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 84-76 -5.39 2.09 0.01 1.10 4.61
3 H Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 67-71 -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.10 -2.51
3 A Weber St (15-17, 95.1) 74-73 -4.79 2.68 0.01 1.10 5.93
3 A SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 66-61 -3.58 3.89 0.01 1.10 8.59
3 H Arkansas St (20-12, 95.7) 63-83 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 1.10 -2.29
3 A UTRGV (18-14, 95.3) 58-50 -4.57 2.91 0.01 1.10 6.42
3 H Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 60-76 -2.71 4.76 -0.01 1.10 -1.50
3 A Oral Roberts (10-24, 94.2) 69-57 -5.70 1.77 0.01 1.10 3.92
3 H Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 63-69 -4.72 2.76 -0.01 1.10 -2.60
3 A Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 63-51 -3.48 4.00 0.01 1.10 8.82
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 86-77 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.10 4.72
3 A Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 82-72 -4.80 2.68 0.01 1.10 5.92
3 A Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 56-52 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.10 7.23
3 H Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 74-86 -3.34 4.14 -0.01 1.10 -1.84
3 A Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 71-64 -4.72 2.76 0.01 1.10 6.10
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 80-61 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.10 4.72
3 H Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 77-87 -3.48 4.00 -0.01 1.10 -1.92
3 H Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 84-87 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.10 -2.32
3 H Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 60-81 -3.34 4.14 -0.01 1.10 -1.84
3 H Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 63-67 -4.80 2.68 -0.01 1.10 -2.64
3 H So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 73-78 -5.34 2.14 -0.01 1.10 -2.94
3 A Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 63-50 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.10 7.23
3 H Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 54-66 -3.34 4.14 -0.01 1.10 -1.84
3 H Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 56-68 -3.48 4.00 -0.01 1.10 -1.92
3 A Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 65-60 -4.72 2.76 0.01 1.10 6.10
3 A Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 64-57 -4.80 2.68 0.01 1.10 5.92
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 69-63 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.10 4.72
3 H Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 65-67 -3.34 4.14 -0.01 1.10 -1.84
------
67.81
|
winning pts = 97.2918 losing points = -29.4851
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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