UAB
W-L: (20-12) PR = 96.2363Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 3-30, 92.4) **-55 1107 H NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 70-94 1111 H Alabama St SWAC (10-22, 93.8) 74-77 1114 A High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 91-74 1117 A RHODE **-56 1121 A So Alabama SB U (21-12, 95.7) 80-72 1124 A So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 81-73 1125 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-20, 94.7) 75-59 1201 H Middle Tenn CUSA (16-16, 95.4) 61-76 1205 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 74-69 1214 H Troy SB (23-11, 96.0) 85-86 1217 A Cleveland St HL (11-22, 94.3) **-77 1221 A UNC-Ash BSO (16-17, 94.8) 72-47 1231 H Wichita St AME (24-12, 96.6) 70-75 104 A So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) **-61 107 H Florida Atl AME (18-14, 96.1) 71-76 111 A Ea Carolina AME (12-19, 95.1) 87-85 114 A Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 82-69 118 H Tulsa AME (30- 8, 97.1) 77-99 122 H So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) 69-82 128 A Texas-SA AME ( 5-25, 94.2) 83-73 131 A No Texas AME (18-14, 96.0) 72-68 205 H Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 80-90 208 A Rice AME (13-18, 95.2) 71-65 211 A Tulsa AME (30- 8, 97.1) 68-63 215 H Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 54-55 218 A Temple AME (17-16, 95.7) 76-71 222 A Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 78-67 301 H No Texas AME (18-14, 96.0) 58-62 304 A Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 80-74 308 A Ea Carolina AME (12-19, 95.1) 90-83 313 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 78-83
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Miss Val St **-55 51 4 0.00
1107 H NC State 70-94 -24 -1 -0.65
1111 H Alabama St 74-77 -3 2 -- -4.00
1114 A High Point 91-74 17 0 + 2.11
1121 A So Alabama 80-72 8 1 1.43
1124 A So Illinois 81-73 8 1 1.26
1125 A TX-El Paso 75-59 16 2 0.47
1201 H Middle Tenn 61-76 -15 1 - -2.81
1205 A Drake 74-69 5 1 0.92
1214 H Troy 85-86 -1 0 -1.24
1217 A Cleveland St **-77 24 2 0.09
1221 A UNC-Ash 72-47 25 1 0.53
1231 H Wichita St 70-75 -5 0 -1.60
104 A So Florida **-61 48 -1 + 2.87
107 H Florida Atl 71-76 -5 0 - -2.16
111 A Ea Carolina 87-85 2 1 0.83
114 A Tulane 82-69 13 0 1.73
118 H Tulsa 77-99 -22 -1 -1.19
122 H So Florida 69-82 -13 -1 -1.15
128 A Texas-SA 83-73 10 2 0.00
131 A No Texas 72-68 4 0 1.77
205 H Memphis 80-90 -10 0 - -2.32
208 A Rice 71-65 6 1 0.99
211 A Tulsa 68-63 5 -1 + 2.83
215 H Tulane 54-55 -1 0 -1.29
218 A Temple 76-71 5 1 1.43
222 A Memphis 78-67 11 0 1.70
301 H No Texas 58-62 -4 0 - -2.25
304 A Charlotte 80-74 6 0 1.68
308 A Ea Carolina 90-83 7 1 0.83
313 H Charlotte 78-83 -5 0 - -2.34
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 H Alabama St 74-77 -3 2 -- -4.00 1201 H Middle Tenn 61-76 -15 1 - -2.81 107 H Florida Atl 71-76 -5 0 - -2.16 205 H Memphis 80-90 -10 0 - -2.32 301 H No Texas 58-62 -4 0 - -2.25 313 H Charlotte 78-83 -5 0 - -2.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 A High Point 91-74 17 0 + 2.11 104 A So Florida **-61 48 -1 + 2.87 211 A Tulsa 68-63 5 -1 + 2.83 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Miss Val St ( 3-30, 92.4) **-55 -7.48 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H NC State (20-14, 97.6) 70-94 -2.30 5.17 -0.01 1.06 -1.23
3 H Alabama St (10-22, 93.8) 74-77 -6.13 1.35 -0.01 1.06 -3.27
3 A High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 91-74 -3.56 3.92 0.01 1.06 8.37
3 A So Alabama (21-12, 95.7) 80-72 -4.24 3.23 0.01 1.06 6.91
3 A So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 81-73 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.06 6.54
3 A TX-El Paso (11-20, 94.7) 75-59 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.06 4.87
3 H Middle Tenn (16-16, 95.4) 61-76 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.06 -2.38
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) 74-69 -4.76 2.72 0.01 1.06 5.81
3 H Troy (23-11, 96.0) 85-86 -3.89 3.59 -0.01 1.06 -2.08
3 A Cleveland St (11-22, 94.3) **-77 -5.59 1.89 0.01 1.06 4.05
3 A UNC-Ash (16-17, 94.8) 72-47 -5.15 2.33 0.01 1.06 4.99
3 H Wichita St (24-12, 96.6) 70-75 -3.25 4.22 -0.01 1.06 -1.74
3 A So Florida (24-10, 97.1) **-61 -2.80 4.67 0.01 1.06 9.97
3 H Florida Atl (18-14, 96.1) 71-76 -3.82 3.66 -0.01 1.06 -2.04
3 A Ea Carolina (12-19, 95.1) 87-85 -4.84 2.63 0.01 1.06 5.63
3 A Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 82-69 -3.94 3.53 0.01 1.06 7.55
3 H Tulsa (30- 8, 97.1) 77-99 -2.84 4.63 -0.01 1.06 -1.52
3 H So Florida (24-10, 97.1) 69-82 -2.80 4.67 -0.01 1.06 -1.50
3 A Texas-SA ( 5-25, 94.2) 83-73 -5.73 1.74 0.01 1.06 3.73
3 A No Texas (18-14, 96.0) 72-68 -3.90 3.57 0.01 1.06 7.63
3 H Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 80-90 -3.98 3.50 -0.01 1.06 -2.12
3 A Rice (13-18, 95.2) 71-65 -4.68 2.80 0.01 1.06 5.98
3 A Tulsa (30- 8, 97.1) 68-63 -2.84 4.63 0.01 1.06 9.89
3 H Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 54-55 -3.94 3.53 -0.01 1.06 -2.10
3 A Temple (17-16, 95.7) 76-71 -4.24 3.24 0.01 1.06 6.91
3 A Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 78-67 -3.98 3.50 0.01 1.06 7.48
3 H No Texas (18-14, 96.0) 58-62 -3.90 3.57 -0.01 1.06 -2.08
3 A Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 80-74 -4.00 3.48 0.01 1.06 7.43
3 A Ea Carolina (12-19, 95.1) 90-83 -4.84 2.63 0.01 1.06 5.63
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 78-83 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.06 -2.13
------
97.33
|
winning pts = 121.5222 losing points = -24.1933
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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