UC Davis
W-L: (19-13) PR = 95.8955Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A MENLO 96-69 1105 A No Dakota St SM (26- 8, 96.1) 80-68 1109 H Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 63-67 1114 A Sacra St BS (10-21, 94.5) 77-73 1118 A Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 75-71 1121 H Colorado B12 (17-16, 97.1) 79-95 1124 A Louisiana SB (11-23, 94.5) 77-56 1205 H Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 69-75 1213 H Oregon B10 (12-20, 96.6) 62-** 1217 H Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 78-79 1221 A Idaho St BS (14-20, 94.7) 93-83 1228 A PUC **-52 101 A Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 89-80 103 H CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 79-81 108 A Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 93-86 110 H Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 78-84 116 A CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 74-69 117 A UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 75-72 122 H UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 74-80 124 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 74-66 129 H Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 78-94 131 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 80-72 205 A Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 85-75 207 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 67-58 212 H UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 51-68 214 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 71-54 219 H CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 92-93 221 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 78-73 226 H Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 73-77 305 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 76-70 307 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 69-79 311 A Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 79-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1105 A No Dakota St 80-68 12 0 + 2.19
1109 H Portland 63-67 -4 0 - -2.35
1114 A Sacra St 77-73 4 1 0.60
1118 A Nevada 75-71 4 -1 + 3.05
1121 H Colorado 79-95 -16 -1 -0.81
1124 A Louisiana 77-56 21 1 0.57
1205 H Hawaii 69-75 -6 0 -1.55
1213 H Oregon 62-** -42 -1 -1.33
1217 H Seattle 78-79 -1 0 -0.66
1221 A Idaho St 93-83 10 1 0.78
101 A Northridge 89-80 9 0 1.89
103 H CS Baker 79-81 -2 2 - -3.70
108 A Santa Barbara 93-86 7 0 1.81
110 H Cal Poly 78-84 -6 1 - -2.66
116 A CS Fullerton 74-69 5 0 1.71
117 A UC Irvine 75-72 3 0 + 2.23
122 H UC San Diego 74-80 -6 0 -1.81
124 A CA Riverside 74-66 8 1 0.83
129 H Northridge 78-94 -16 0 - -2.13
131 A CS Baker 80-72 8 2 0.32
205 A Santa Barbara 85-75 10 0 1.81
207 A Cal Poly 67-58 9 1 1.36
212 H UC San Diego 51-68 -17 0 -1.81
214 A LB St 71-54 17 1 0.84
219 H CS Fullerton 92-93 -1 0 -1.31
221 A CA Riverside 78-73 5 1 0.83
226 H Hawaii 73-77 -4 0 -1.55
305 A LB St 76-70 6 1 0.84
307 H UC Irvine 69-79 -10 0 -1.79
311 A Santa Barbara 79-73 6 0 1.81
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1109 H Portland 63-67 -4 0 - -2.35 103 H CS Baker 79-81 -2 2 - -3.70 110 H Cal Poly 78-84 -6 1 - -2.66 129 H Northridge 78-94 -16 0 - -2.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1105 A No Dakota St 80-68 12 0 + 2.19 1118 A Nevada 75-71 4 -1 + 3.05 117 A UC Irvine 75-72 3 0 + 2.23 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A No Dakota St (26- 8, 96.1) 80-68 -3.82 3.65 0.01 1.10 8.06
3 H Portland (15-19, 95.6) 63-67 -4.35 3.13 -0.01 1.10 -2.40
3 A Sacra St (10-21, 94.5) 77-73 -5.41 2.06 0.01 1.10 4.56
3 A Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 75-71 -2.96 4.51 0.01 1.10 9.95
3 H Colorado (17-16, 97.1) 79-95 -2.81 4.67 -0.01 1.10 -1.55
3 A Louisiana (11-23, 94.5) 77-56 -5.44 2.03 0.01 1.10 4.49
3 H Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 69-75 -3.55 3.93 -0.01 1.10 -1.96
3 H Oregon (12-20, 96.6) 62-** -3.33 4.15 -0.01 1.10 -1.84
3 H Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 78-79 -3.65 3.82 -0.01 1.10 -2.02
3 A Idaho St (14-20, 94.7) 93-83 -5.24 2.24 0.01 1.10 4.95
3 A Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 89-80 -4.12 3.36 0.01 1.10 7.41
3 H CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 79-81 -5.69 1.78 -0.01 1.10 -3.14
3 A Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 93-86 -4.21 3.27 0.01 1.10 7.21
3 H Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 78-84 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.10 -2.57
3 A CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 74-69 -4.30 3.18 0.01 1.10 7.01
3 A UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 75-72 -3.78 3.69 0.01 1.10 8.15
3 H UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 74-80 -3.81 3.67 -0.01 1.10 -2.10
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 74-66 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.10 5.06
3 H Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 78-94 -4.12 3.36 -0.01 1.10 -2.27
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 80-72 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.10 3.95
3 A Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 85-75 -4.21 3.27 0.01 1.10 7.21
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 67-58 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.10 6.23
3 H UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 51-68 -3.81 3.67 -0.01 1.10 -2.10
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 71-54 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.10 5.09
3 H CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 92-93 -4.30 3.18 -0.01 1.10 -2.37
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 78-73 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.10 5.06
3 H Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 73-77 -3.55 3.93 -0.01 1.10 -1.96
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 76-70 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.10 5.09
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 69-79 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.10 -2.09
3 A Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 79-73 -4.21 3.27 0.01 1.10 7.21
------
78.36
|
winning pts = 106.7087 losing points = -28.3478
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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