UCF
W-L: (21-12) PR = 97.7962Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 82-78 1108 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 93-** 1111 A Florida A&M SWAC (14-16, 94.5) 97-60 1114 A Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) 86-74 1117 A Oakland HL (16-16, 95.4) 87-83 1120 A Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 77-67 1125 A Quinnipiac MAAC (19-13, 95.2) **-91 1129 A VMI SO ( 6-26, 93.1) 82-57 1207 A Towson CA (19-15, 95.5) 86-61 1217 A Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) 81-63 1220 A Fl Gulf Co AS (16-18, 94.7) **-80 1223 A Florida Atl AME (18-14, 96.1) 85-80 103 A Kansas B12 (24-11, 98.4) 81-75 106 H Oklahoma St B12 (21-15, 97.4) 76-87 111 A Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 73-72 114 A Kansas St B12 (12-20, 96.7) 82-73 117 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 77-84 120 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 57-87 124 A Colorado B12 (17-16, 97.1) 95-86 127 A Arizona St B12 (17-16, 97.4) 79-76 131 A Texas Tech B12 (23-11, 98.2) 88-80 204 H Houston B12 (30- 7, 98.9) 55-79 208 H Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 72-92 214 H West Va B12 (22-13, 97.7) 67-74 217 A TCU B12 (24-12, 98.0) 82-71 221 A Utah B12 (10-22, 96.2) 73-71 224 A BYU B12 (23-12, 98.2) 97-84 228 H Baylor B12 (17-17, 97.2) 86-87 303 H Oklahoma St B12 (21-15, 97.4) **-** 306 H West Va B12 (22-13, 97.7) 62-77 311 A Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 66-65 312 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 59-81 320 H UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 71-75
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Hofstra 82-78 4 2 0.33
1108 H Vanderbilt 93-** -12 -1 -1.28
1111 A Florida A&M 97-60 37 3 0.00
1114 A Texas A&M 86-74 12 0 1.98
1117 A Oakland 87-83 4 2 0.00
1120 A Pittsburgh 77-67 10 1 0.60
1125 A Quinnipiac **-91 11 3 0.00
1129 A VMI 82-57 25 5 0.00
1207 A Towson 86-61 25 2 0.00
1217 A Mercer 81-63 18 3 0.00
1220 A Fl Gulf Co **-80 22 3 0.00
1223 A Florida Atl 85-80 5 2 0.30
103 A Kansas 81-75 6 -1 + 2.65
106 H Oklahoma St 76-87 -11 0 - -2.42
111 A Cincinnati 73-72 1 0 0.58
114 A Kansas St 82-73 9 1 0.92
117 H Arizona 77-84 -7 -2 0.00
120 H Iowa St 57-87 -30 -1 -1.09
124 A Colorado 95-86 9 1 1.31
127 A Arizona St 79-76 3 0 1.58
131 A Texas Tech 88-80 8 0 + 2.46
204 H Houston 55-79 -24 -1 -0.93
208 H Cincinnati 72-92 -20 0 - -2.44
214 H West Va 67-74 -7 0 - -2.15
217 A TCU 82-71 11 0 + 2.22
221 A Utah 73-71 2 2 0.38
224 A BYU 97-84 13 0 + 2.38
228 H Baylor 86-87 -1 1 -1.64
303 H Oklahoma St **-** -7 0 - -2.42
306 H West Va 62-77 -15 0 - -2.15
311 A Cincinnati 66-65 1 0 0.58
312 H Arizona 59-81 -22 -2 0.00
320 H UCLA 71-75 -4 0 -1.77
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 106 H Oklahoma St 76-87 -11 0 - -2.42 208 H Cincinnati 72-92 -20 0 - -2.44 214 H West Va 67-74 -7 0 - -2.15 303 H Oklahoma St **-** -7 0 - -2.42 306 H West Va 62-77 -15 0 - -2.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 A Kansas 81-75 6 -1 + 2.65 131 A Texas Tech 88-80 8 0 + 2.46 217 A TCU 82-71 11 0 + 2.22 224 A BYU 97-84 13 0 + 2.38 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 82-78 -3.78 3.70 0.01 1.00 7.42
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 93-** -1.37 6.11 -0.01 1.00 -0.69
3 A Florida A&M (14-16, 94.5) 97-60 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.00 4.13
3 A Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) 86-74 -2.13 5.34 0.01 1.00 10.71
3 A Oakland (16-16, 95.4) 87-83 -4.53 2.94 0.01 1.00 5.91
3 A Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 77-67 -3.52 3.96 0.01 1.00 7.94
3 A Quinnipiac (19-13, 95.2) **-91 -4.74 2.74 0.01 1.00 5.50
3 A VMI ( 6-26, 93.1) 82-57 -6.82 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 A Towson (19-15, 95.5) 86-61 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.00 6.14
3 A Mercer (19-13, 95.2) 81-63 -4.70 2.77 0.01 1.00 5.57
3 A Fl Gulf Co (16-18, 94.7) **-80 -5.17 2.30 0.01 1.00 4.63
3 A Florida Atl (18-14, 96.1) 85-80 -3.82 3.66 0.01 1.00 7.34
3 A Kansas (24-11, 98.4) 81-75 -1.47 6.01 0.01 1.00 12.04
3 H Oklahoma St (21-15, 97.4) 76-87 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 1.00 -1.26
3 A Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 73-72 -2.53 4.95 0.01 1.00 9.92
3 A Kansas St (12-20, 96.7) 82-73 -3.19 4.28 0.01 1.00 8.59
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 77-84 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 1.00 -0.01
3 H Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 57-87 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.00 -0.60
3 A Colorado (17-16, 97.1) 95-86 -2.81 4.67 0.01 1.00 9.36
3 A Arizona St (17-16, 97.4) 79-76 -2.53 4.94 0.01 1.00 9.91
3 A Texas Tech (23-11, 98.2) 88-80 -1.65 5.83 0.01 1.00 11.68
3 H Houston (30- 7, 98.9) 55-79 -1.03 6.45 -0.01 1.00 -0.52
3 H Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 72-92 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.00 -1.27
3 H West Va (22-13, 97.7) 67-74 -2.24 5.24 -0.01 1.00 -1.13
3 A TCU (24-12, 98.0) 82-71 -1.89 5.58 0.01 1.00 11.19
3 A Utah (10-22, 96.2) 73-71 -3.73 3.74 0.01 1.00 7.51
3 A BYU (23-12, 98.2) 97-84 -1.73 5.74 0.01 1.00 11.51
3 H Baylor (17-17, 97.2) 86-87 -2.74 4.74 -0.01 1.00 -1.37
3 H Oklahoma St (21-15, 97.4) **-** -2.51 4.96 -0.01 1.00 -1.26
3 H West Va (22-13, 97.7) 62-77 -2.24 5.24 -0.01 1.00 -1.13
3 A Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 66-65 -2.53 4.95 0.01 1.00 9.92
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 59-81 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 1.00 -0.01
3 H UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 71-75 -1.86 5.61 -0.01 1.00 -0.94
------
158.76
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winning pts = 168.9284 losing points = -10.1723
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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