UC Irvine
W-L: (22-13) PR = 96.1168Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A BTHSD **-49 1107 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 61-69 1110 A LINCA 1115 A Weber St BS (15-17, 95.1) 79-70 1119 H Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 72-79 1122 H No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 69-70 1125 H NM St CUSA (16-16, 95.3) 45-57 1126 A So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 64-52 1130 A San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 72-63 1204 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 73-60 1206 A Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 85-71 1219 H Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 58-84 1221 A No Dakota St SM (26- 8, 96.1) 74-73 1222 A Norfolk St MEAC N (14-19, 93.7) 89-70 101 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 81-77 103 A CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 86-64 108 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 74-64 111 H Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 66-67 117 H UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 72-75 122 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 80-66 124 A UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 61-59 129 A Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 87-76 205 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 78-62 207 H Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 79-84 212 H Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 73-79 214 A CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 86-65 219 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 69-58 221 H UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 69-71 226 A Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 68-67 228 A Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 64-60 305 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) **-85 307 A UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 79-69 313 A Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 93-78 314 H Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 64-71 317 H UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 72-75
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Cal Baptist 61-69 -8 0 -1.70
1115 A Weber St 79-70 9 1 1.00
1119 H Utah Valley 72-79 -7 0 -1.56
1122 H No Iowa 69-70 -1 0 -0.89
1125 H NM St 45-57 -12 1 - -2.79
1126 A So Dakota St 64-52 12 1 0.62
1130 A San Jose St 72-63 9 1 1.20
1204 A CA Riverside 73-60 13 1 0.61
1206 A Northridge 85-71 14 0 1.67
1219 H Belmont 58-84 -26 -1 -1.38
1221 A No Dakota St 74-73 1 0 0.97
1222 A Norfolk St 89-70 19 2 0.00
101 A CS Baker 81-77 4 2 0.10
103 A CS Fullerton 86-64 22 1 1.49
108 A LB St 74-64 10 1 0.62
111 H Hawaii 66-67 -1 0 -0.78
117 H UC Davis 72-75 -3 0 - -2.23
122 A CA Riverside 80-66 14 1 0.61
124 A UC San Diego 61-59 2 0 1.99
129 A Hawaii 87-76 11 0 + 2.24
205 A CS Baker 78-62 16 2 0.10
207 H Santa Barbara 79-84 -5 0 - -2.43
212 H Cal Poly 73-79 -6 1 - -2.88
214 A CS Fullerton 86-65 21 1 1.49
219 A LB St 69-58 11 1 0.62
221 H UC San Diego 69-71 -2 0 - -2.03
226 A Northridge 68-67 1 0 0.67
228 A Santa Barbara 64-60 4 0 1.59
305 A Cal Poly **-85 22 1 1.14
307 A UC Davis 79-69 10 0 1.79
313 A Northridge 93-78 15 0 1.67
314 H Hawaii 64-71 -7 0 -1.78
317 H UNLV 72-75 -3 0 -1.73
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1125 H NM St 45-57 -12 1 - -2.79 117 H UC Davis 72-75 -3 0 - -2.23 207 H Santa Barbara 79-84 -5 0 - -2.43 212 H Cal Poly 73-79 -6 1 - -2.88 221 H UC San Diego 69-71 -2 0 - -2.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 129 A Hawaii 87-76 11 0 + 2.24 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 61-69 -3.48 4.00 -0.01 1.00 -1.74
3 A Weber St (15-17, 95.1) 79-70 -4.79 2.68 0.01 1.00 5.39
3 H Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 72-79 -3.34 4.14 -0.01 1.00 -1.67
3 H No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 69-70 -3.66 3.82 -0.01 1.00 -1.84
3 H NM St (16-16, 95.3) 45-57 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.00 -2.29
3 A So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 64-52 -5.17 2.31 0.01 1.00 4.64
3 A San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 72-63 -4.59 2.88 0.01 1.00 5.79
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 73-60 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.00 4.60
3 A Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 85-71 -4.12 3.36 0.01 1.00 6.74
3 H Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 58-84 -3.15 4.32 -0.01 1.00 -1.58
3 A No Dakota St (26- 8, 96.1) 74-73 -3.82 3.65 0.01 1.00 7.33
3 A Norfolk St (14-19, 93.7) 89-70 -6.17 1.31 0.01 1.00 2.63
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 81-77 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.00 3.59
3 A CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 86-64 -4.30 3.18 0.01 1.00 6.37
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 74-64 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.00 4.62
3 H Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 66-67 -3.55 3.93 -0.01 1.00 -1.78
3 H UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 72-75 -4.00 3.47 -0.01 1.00 -2.01
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 80-66 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.00 4.60
3 A UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 61-59 -3.81 3.67 0.01 1.00 7.37
3 A Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 87-76 -3.55 3.93 0.01 1.00 7.88
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 78-62 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.00 3.59
3 H Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 79-84 -4.21 3.27 -0.01 1.00 -2.11
3 H Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 73-79 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.00 -2.33
3 A CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 86-65 -4.30 3.18 0.01 1.00 6.37
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 69-58 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.00 4.62
3 H UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 69-71 -3.81 3.67 -0.01 1.00 -1.91
3 A Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 68-67 -4.12 3.36 0.01 1.00 6.74
3 A Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 64-60 -4.21 3.27 0.01 1.00 6.56
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) **-85 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.00 5.66
3 A UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 79-69 -4.00 3.47 0.01 1.00 6.97
3 A Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 93-78 -4.12 3.36 0.01 1.00 6.74
3 H Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 64-71 -3.55 3.93 -0.01 1.00 -1.78
3 H UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 72-75 -3.50 3.97 -0.01 1.00 -1.76
------
95.99
|
winning pts = 118.7887 losing points = -22.8020
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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