Connecticut
W-L: (33- 6) PR = 99.1296Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 79-55 1107 A UMass Lowell AE (15-18, 93.9) **-47 1110 A Columbia IVY (16-12, 95.1) 89-62 1115 A BYU B12 (23-12, 98.2) 86-84 1119 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 67-71 1123 A Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) 72-49 1128 A Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 74-61 1202 A Kansas B12 (24-11, 98.4) 61-56 1205 A Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 83-59 1209 A Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 77-73 1212 A Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 71-63 1216 A Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 79-60 1221 A DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 72-54 1231 A Xavier BE (15-18, 97.0) 90-67 104 A Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 73-57 107 A Providence BE (15-18, 96.9) **-98 110 A DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 72-60 113 A Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 69-64 124 A Villanova BE (24- 9, 98.1) 75-67 127 A Providence BE (15-18, 96.9) 87-81 131 A Creighton BE (16-18, 97.0) 85-58 203 A Xavier BE (15-18, 97.0) 92-60 206 H St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 72-81 211 A Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 80-70 214 A Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 79-75 218 H Creighton BE (16-18, 97.0) 84-91 221 A Villanova BE (24- 9, 98.1) 73-63 225 A St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 72-40 228 A Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 71-67 307 H Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 62-68 312 A Xavier BE (15-18, 97.0) 93-68 313 A Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 67-51 314 H St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 52-72 320 A Furman SO F (23-13, 95.4) 82-71 322 A UCLA B10 (24-12, 98.0) 73-57 327 A Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 67-63 329 A Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 73-72 404 A Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 71-62 406 A Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 63-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A New Haven 79-55 24 5 0.00
1107 A UMass Lowell **-47 63 5 0.00
1110 A Columbia 89-62 27 4 0.00
1115 A BYU 86-84 2 1 1.05
1119 H Arizona 67-71 -4 -1 -1.24
1123 A Bryant 72-49 23 6 0.00
1128 A Illinois 74-61 13 0 1.55
1202 A Kansas 61-56 5 1 1.31
1205 A Ea Texas A&M 83-59 24 5 0.00
1209 A Florida 77-73 4 0 1.71
1212 A Texas 71-63 8 1 0.66
1216 A Butler 79-60 19 2 0.00
1221 A DePaul 72-54 18 2 0.00
1231 A Xavier 90-67 23 2 0.00
104 A Marquette 73-57 16 3 0.00
107 A Providence **-98 5 2 0.00
110 A DePaul 72-60 12 2 0.00
113 A Seton Hall 69-64 5 2 0.43
124 A Villanova 75-67 8 1 0.95
127 A Providence 87-81 6 2 0.00
131 A Creighton 85-58 27 2 0.00
203 A Xavier 92-60 32 2 0.00
206 H St. John's 72-81 -9 0 - -2.44
211 A Butler 80-70 10 2 0.00
214 A Georgetown 79-75 4 2 0.00
218 H Creighton 84-91 -7 2 -- -4.00
221 A Villanova 73-63 10 1 0.95
225 A St. John's 72-40 32 0 1.58
228 A Seton Hall 71-67 4 2 0.43
307 H Marquette 62-68 -6 3 -- -4.00
312 A Xavier 93-68 25 2 0.00
313 A Georgetown 67-51 16 2 0.00
314 H St. John's 52-72 -20 0 - -2.44
320 A Furman 82-71 11 4 0.00
322 A UCLA 73-57 16 1 0.92
327 A Michigan St 67-63 4 0 1.59
329 A Duke 73-72 1 -1 1.61
404 A Illinois 71-62 9 0 1.55
406 A Michigan 63-69 -6 -1 -1.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H Creighton 84-91 -7 2 -- -4.00 307 H Marquette 62-68 -6 3 -- -4.00 206 H St. John's 72-81 -9 0 - -2.44 314 H St. John's 52-72 -20 0 - -2.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 79-55 -6.08 1.40 0.01 0.85 2.38
3 A UMass Lowell (15-18, 93.9) **-47 -6.02 1.46 0.01 0.85 2.49
3 A Columbia (16-12, 95.1) 89-62 -4.75 2.72 0.01 0.85 4.63
3 A BYU (23-12, 98.2) 86-84 -1.73 5.74 0.01 0.85 9.74
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 67-71 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 0.85 -0.00
3 A Bryant (10-25, 93.3) 72-49 -6.57 1.00 0.01 0.85 1.71
3 A Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 74-61 -1.23 6.25 0.01 0.85 10.59
3 A Kansas (24-11, 98.4) 61-56 -1.47 6.01 0.01 0.85 10.19
3 A Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 83-59 -5.67 1.81 0.01 0.85 3.07
3 A Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 77-73 -1.07 6.40 0.01 0.85 10.85
3 A Texas (21-15, 97.8) 71-63 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.85 9.09
3 A Butler (16-16, 96.9) 79-60 -2.96 4.52 0.01 0.85 7.66
3 A DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 72-54 -3.24 4.24 0.01 0.85 7.19
3 A Xavier (15-18, 97.0) 90-67 -2.95 4.53 0.01 0.85 7.69
3 A Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 73-57 -3.43 4.05 0.01 0.85 6.87
3 A Providence (15-18, 96.9) **-98 -2.97 4.51 0.01 0.85 7.65
3 A DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 72-60 -3.24 4.24 0.01 0.85 7.19
3 A Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 69-64 -2.35 5.13 0.01 0.85 8.70
3 A Villanova (24- 9, 98.1) 75-67 -1.83 5.65 0.01 0.85 9.57
3 A Providence (15-18, 96.9) 87-81 -2.97 4.51 0.01 0.85 7.65
3 A Creighton (16-18, 97.0) 85-58 -2.90 4.58 0.01 0.85 7.77
3 A Xavier (15-18, 97.0) 92-60 -2.95 4.53 0.01 0.85 7.69
3 H St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 72-81 -1.20 6.27 -0.01 0.85 -0.51
3 A Butler (16-16, 96.9) 80-70 -2.96 4.52 0.01 0.85 7.66
3 A Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 79-75 -3.02 4.46 0.01 0.85 7.56
3 H Creighton (16-18, 97.0) 84-91 -2.90 4.58 -0.01 0.85 -1.23
3 A Villanova (24- 9, 98.1) 73-63 -1.83 5.65 0.01 0.85 9.57
3 A St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 72-40 -1.20 6.27 0.01 0.85 10.64
3 A Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 71-67 -2.35 5.13 0.01 0.85 8.70
3 H Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 62-68 -3.43 4.05 -0.01 0.85 -1.45
3 A Xavier (15-18, 97.0) 93-68 -2.95 4.53 0.01 0.85 7.69
3 A Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 67-51 -3.02 4.46 0.01 0.85 7.56
3 H St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 52-72 -1.20 6.27 -0.01 0.85 -0.51
3 A Furman (23-13, 95.4) 82-71 -4.53 2.95 0.01 0.85 5.00
3 A UCLA (24-12, 98.0) 73-57 -1.86 5.61 0.01 0.85 9.52
3 A Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 67-63 -1.19 6.29 0.01 0.85 10.66
3 A Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 73-72 -0.17 7.30 0.01 0.85 12.38
3 A Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 71-62 -1.23 6.25 0.01 0.85 10.59
3 A Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 63-69 -0.14 7.34 0.01 0.85 -0.05
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254.14
|
winning pts = 257.9078 losing points = -3.7713
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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