Santa Barbara
W-L: (18-14) PR = 95.6919Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A SAFRS 98-67 1108 A San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 85-74 1111 A Sacra St BS (10-21, 94.5) 92-87 1117 H Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 74-78 1122 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 64-77 1124 A NOBEL 84-49 1128 A Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 72-70 1129 A Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 74-71 1204 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 84-77 1206 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) **-84 1213 H Utah Valley WAC U (25- 8, 96.6) 53-68 1217 H Green Bay HL (18-15, 95.3) 64-67 1222 A Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 79-61 101 H CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 84-95 103 H Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 65-74 108 H UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 86-93 116 A CS Baker BW ( 9-24, 94.2) 75-69 117 A Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 77-62 122 A Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) **-67 124 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 74-71 129 A UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 62-48 131 A CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 83-69 205 H UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 75-85 207 A UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 84-79 212 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 76-68 214 H Cal Poly BW (14-19, 95.2) 79-89 219 H Northridge BW (20-14, 95.8) 83-85 221 H Hawaii BW (24- 9, 96.4) 75-78 226 A CA Riverside BW (10-22, 94.7) 70-59 228 H UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 60-64 307 H UC San Diego BW (23-11, 96.1) 63-64 311 H UC Davis BW (19-13, 95.9) 73-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 A San Jose St 85-74 11 0 1.63
1111 A Sacra St 92-87 5 1 0.80
1117 H Loyola Marym 74-78 -4 0 - -2.13
1122 H Nevada 64-77 -13 -1 -0.77
1128 A Lehigh 72-70 2 1 0.70
1129 A Seattle 74-71 3 -1 + 2.57
1204 A LB St 84-77 7 1 1.04
1206 A CS Baker **-84 25 1 0.53
1213 H Utah Valley 53-68 -15 -1 -1.14
1217 H Green Bay 64-67 -3 0 - -2.37
1222 A Portland 79-61 18 0 1.87
101 H CS Fullerton 84-95 -11 0 - -2.10
103 H Northridge 65-74 -9 0 -1.92
108 H UC Davis 86-93 -7 0 -1.81
116 A CS Baker 75-69 6 1 0.53
117 A Hawaii 77-62 15 -1 + 2.67
122 A Cal Poly **-67 40 0 1.56
124 A LB St 74-71 3 1 1.04
129 A UC San Diego 62-48 14 0 + 2.41
131 A CS Fullerton 83-69 14 0 1.92
205 H UC Davis 75-85 -10 0 -1.81
207 A UC Irvine 84-79 5 0 + 2.43
212 A CA Riverside 76-68 8 1 1.03
214 H Cal Poly 79-89 -10 0 - -2.46
219 H Northridge 83-85 -2 0 -1.92
221 H Hawaii 75-78 -3 -1 -1.35
226 A CA Riverside 70-59 11 1 1.03
228 H UC Irvine 60-64 -4 0 -1.59
307 H UC San Diego 63-64 -1 0 -0.61
311 H UC Davis 73-79 -6 0 -1.81
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1117 H Loyola Marym 74-78 -4 0 - -2.13 1217 H Green Bay 64-67 -3 0 - -2.37 101 H CS Fullerton 84-95 -11 0 - -2.10 214 H Cal Poly 79-89 -10 0 - -2.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1129 A Seattle 74-71 3 -1 + 2.57 117 A Hawaii 77-62 15 -1 + 2.67 129 A UC San Diego 62-48 14 0 + 2.41 207 A UC Irvine 84-79 5 0 + 2.43 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 85-74 -4.59 2.88 0.01 1.10 6.37
3 A Sacra St (10-21, 94.5) 92-87 -5.41 2.06 0.01 1.10 4.56
3 H Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 74-78 -4.32 3.15 -0.01 1.10 -2.38
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 64-77 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 1.10 -1.64
3 A Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 72-70 -5.52 1.96 0.01 1.10 4.33
3 A Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 74-71 -3.65 3.82 0.01 1.10 8.44
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 84-77 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.10 5.09
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) **-84 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.10 3.95
3 H Utah Valley (25- 8, 96.6) 53-68 -3.34 4.14 -0.01 1.10 -1.84
3 H Green Bay (18-15, 95.3) 64-67 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.10 -2.52
3 A Portland (15-19, 95.6) 79-61 -4.35 3.13 0.01 1.10 6.91
3 H CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 84-95 -4.30 3.18 -0.01 1.10 -2.37
3 H Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 65-74 -4.12 3.36 -0.01 1.10 -2.27
3 H UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 86-93 -4.00 3.47 -0.01 1.10 -2.21
3 A CS Baker ( 9-24, 94.2) 75-69 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.10 3.95
3 A Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 77-62 -3.55 3.93 0.01 1.10 8.66
3 A Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) **-67 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.10 6.23
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 74-71 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.10 5.09
3 A UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 62-48 -3.81 3.67 0.01 1.10 8.10
3 A CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 83-69 -4.30 3.18 0.01 1.10 7.01
3 H UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 75-85 -4.00 3.47 -0.01 1.10 -2.21
3 A UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 84-79 -3.78 3.69 0.01 1.10 8.15
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 76-68 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.10 5.06
3 H Cal Poly (14-19, 95.2) 79-89 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.10 -2.57
3 H Northridge (20-14, 95.8) 83-85 -4.12 3.36 -0.01 1.10 -2.27
3 H Hawaii (24- 9, 96.4) 75-78 -3.55 3.93 -0.01 1.10 -1.96
3 A CA Riverside (10-22, 94.7) 70-59 -5.19 2.29 0.01 1.10 5.06
3 H UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 60-64 -3.78 3.69 -0.01 1.10 -2.09
3 H UC San Diego (23-11, 96.1) 63-64 -3.81 3.67 -0.01 1.10 -2.10
3 H UC Davis (19-13, 95.9) 73-79 -4.00 3.47 -0.01 1.10 -2.21
------
66.33
|
winning pts = 96.9607 losing points = -30.6317
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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