Kentucky
W-L: (22-14) PR = 97.9937Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 77-51 1107 A Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) **-59 1111 H Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 88-96 1114 A Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) 99-53 1118 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 66-83 1121 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 88-46 1126 A Tenn Tech OV (14-18, 94.1) **-54 1202 H No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 64-67 1205 H Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 59-94 1209 A NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) **-67 1213 A Indiana B10 (18-14, 97.3) 72-60 1220 A St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 78-66 1223 A Bellarmine AS (13-19, 94.4) 99-85 103 H Alabama SEC A (25-10, 98.5) 74-89 107 H Missouri SEC M (20-13, 97.4) 68-73 110 A Miss St SEC M (13-19, 96.7) 92-68 114 A LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 75-74 117 A Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 80-78 121 A Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 85-80 124 A Ole Miss SEC (15-20, 96.9) 72-63 127 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 55-80 131 A Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 85-77 204 A Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 94-78 207 A Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 74-71 214 H Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 83-92 217 H Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 78-86 221 H Auburn SEC A (22-16, 97.7) 74-75 224 A So Carolina SEC (13-19, 96.4) 72-63 228 A Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 91-77 303 H Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) 85-96 307 H Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 77-84 311 A LSU SEC (15-17, 96.8) 87-82 312 A Missouri SEC M (20-13, 97.4) 78-72 313 H Florida SEC (27- 8, 98.8) 63-71 320 A Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 89-84 322 H Iowa St B12 (28- 9, 98.7) 63-82
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Nicholls 77-51 26 3 0.00
1107 A Valparaiso **-59 48 2 0.00
1111 H Louisville 88-96 -8 0 -1.98
1114 A Ea Illinois 99-53 46 4 0.00
1118 H Michigan St 66-83 -17 -1 -1.29
1121 A Loyola-MD 88-46 42 4 0.00
1126 A Tenn Tech **-54 50 4 0.00
1202 H No Carolina 64-67 -3 0 -1.81
1205 H Gonzaga 59-94 -35 -1 -1.48
1209 A NC Center **-67 36 4 0.00
1213 A Indiana 72-60 12 1 1.33
1220 A St. John's 78-66 12 -1 + 2.71
1223 A Bellarmine 99-85 14 4 0.00
103 H Alabama 74-89 -15 -1 -1.46
107 H Missouri 68-73 -5 1 - -2.59
110 A Miss St 92-68 24 1 0.72
114 A LSU 75-74 1 1 -0.15
117 A Tennessee 80-78 2 0 + 2.32
121 A Texas 85-80 5 0 1.80
124 A Ole Miss 72-63 9 1 0.89
127 H Vanderbilt 55-80 -25 -1 -1.47
131 A Arkansas 85-77 8 -1 + 2.51
204 A Oklahoma 94-78 16 1 1.48
207 A Tennessee 74-71 3 0 + 2.32
214 H Florida 83-92 -9 -1 -1.18
217 H Georgia 78-86 -8 0 - -2.23
221 H Auburn 74-75 -1 0 -1.29
224 A So Carolina 72-63 9 2 0.39
228 A Vanderbilt 91-77 14 -1 + 2.55
303 H Texas A&M 85-96 -11 0 - -2.24
307 H Florida 77-84 -7 -1 -1.18
311 A LSU 87-82 5 1 0.85
312 A Missouri 78-72 6 1 1.43
313 H Florida 63-71 -8 -1 -1.18
320 A Santa Clara 89-84 5 0 1.51
322 H Iowa St 63-82 -19 -1 -1.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 107 H Missouri 68-73 -5 1 - -2.59 217 H Georgia 78-86 -8 0 - -2.23 303 H Texas A&M 85-96 -11 0 - -2.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 A St. John's 78-66 12 -1 + 2.71 117 A Tennessee 80-78 2 0 + 2.32 131 A Arkansas 85-77 8 -1 + 2.51 207 A Tennessee 74-71 3 0 + 2.32 228 A Vanderbilt 91-77 14 -1 + 2.55 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 77-51 -5.12 2.36 0.01 0.92 4.35
3 A Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) **-59 -4.26 3.22 0.01 0.92 5.92
3 H Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 88-96 -1.87 5.61 -0.01 0.92 -0.86
3 A Ea Illinois (14-20, 94.1) 99-53 -5.82 1.65 0.01 0.92 3.05
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 66-83 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 0.92 -0.55
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 88-46 -6.20 1.28 0.01 0.92 2.36
3 A Tenn Tech (14-18, 94.1) **-54 -5.81 1.66 0.01 0.92 3.07
3 H No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 64-67 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 0.92 -0.79
3 H Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 59-94 -1.37 6.10 -0.01 0.92 -0.63
3 A NC Center (14-18, 93.6) **-67 -6.34 1.14 0.01 0.92 2.10
3 A Indiana (18-14, 97.3) 72-60 -2.58 4.89 0.01 0.92 8.99
3 A St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 78-66 -1.20 6.27 0.01 0.92 11.52
3 A Bellarmine (13-19, 94.4) 99-85 -5.47 2.01 0.01 0.92 3.70
3 H Alabama (25-10, 98.5) 74-89 -1.36 6.12 -0.01 0.92 -0.63
3 H Missouri (20-13, 97.4) 68-73 -2.48 4.99 -0.01 0.92 -1.14
3 A Miss St (13-19, 96.7) 92-68 -3.20 4.28 0.01 0.92 7.87
3 A LSU (15-17, 96.8) 75-74 -3.07 4.41 0.01 0.92 8.10
3 A Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 80-78 -1.59 5.88 0.01 0.92 10.81
3 A Texas (21-15, 97.8) 85-80 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.92 9.85
3 A Ole Miss (15-20, 96.9) 72-63 -3.03 4.45 0.01 0.92 8.17
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 55-80 -1.37 6.11 -0.01 0.92 -0.63
3 A Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 85-77 -1.40 6.07 0.01 0.92 11.16
3 A Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 94-78 -2.44 5.04 0.01 0.92 9.25
3 A Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 74-71 -1.59 5.88 0.01 0.92 10.81
3 H Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 83-92 -1.07 6.40 -0.01 0.92 -0.50
3 H Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 78-86 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 0.92 -0.98
3 H Auburn (22-16, 97.7) 74-75 -2.19 5.29 -0.01 0.92 -1.01
3 A So Carolina (13-19, 96.4) 72-63 -3.52 3.95 0.01 0.92 7.27
3 A Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 91-77 -1.37 6.11 0.01 0.92 11.22
3 H Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) 85-96 -2.13 5.34 -0.01 0.92 -0.98
3 H Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 77-84 -1.07 6.40 -0.01 0.92 -0.50
3 A LSU (15-17, 96.8) 87-82 -3.07 4.41 0.01 0.92 8.10
3 A Missouri (20-13, 97.4) 78-72 -2.48 4.99 0.01 0.92 9.17
3 H Florida (27- 8, 98.8) 63-71 -1.07 6.40 -0.01 0.92 -0.50
3 A Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 89-84 -2.40 5.07 0.01 0.92 9.32
3 H Iowa St (28- 9, 98.7) 63-82 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 0.92 -0.55
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155.91
|
winning pts = 166.1613 losing points = -10.2504
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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