Mass
W-L: (17-16) PR = 95.4834Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) 72-78 1108 A UAlbany AE (11-21, 93.5) 83-62 1113 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 94-80 1116 A Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 84-77 1121 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 65-69 1122 H Green Bay HL (18-15, 95.3) 75-79 1124 A Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 73-65 1203 A Harvard IVY (17-12, 95.2) 78-71 1206 A UMass Lowell AE (15-18, 93.9) 80-60 1210 A Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 76-74 1213 A Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) **-95 1220 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 59-69 1222 A MA-BO 91-40 1230 H Ea Michigan MA (10-21, 94.7) 74-80 103 H Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) **-** 106 H Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 83-86 110 A Ball St MA (12-19, 94.3) 79-71 113 A We Michigan MA (10-21, 94.6) 85-82 117 H No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 68-70 120 A Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 84-82 123 A Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 68-67 127 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 84-86 131 A Ea Michigan MA (10-21, 94.7) 70-67 203 A Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 95-89 207 H Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 213 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 92-99 217 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 77-86 221 H Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 82-86 224 H Ball St MA (12-19, 94.3) 73-74 228 H Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 62-81 303 A Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 94-82 312 A Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 87-83 313 H Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 67-77
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Marshall 72-78 -6 0 -1.85
1108 A UAlbany 83-62 21 2 0.05
1113 A Le Moyne 94-80 14 1 0.60
1116 A Ce Connecticut 84-77 7 1 0.87
1121 H Charlotte 65-69 -4 0 -1.59
1122 H Green Bay 75-79 -4 0 - -2.16
1124 A Oregon State 73-65 8 -1 + 2.58
1203 A Harvard 78-71 7 0 1.74
1206 A UMass Lowell 80-60 20 2 0.41
1210 A Boston Col 76-74 2 0 + 2.24
1213 A Florida St **-95 8 -2 + 3.74
1220 H Kent State 59-69 -10 -1 -1.26
1230 H Ea Michigan 74-80 -6 1 - -2.81
103 H Bowling Grn **-** -1 0 -1.04
106 H Ohio 83-86 -3 0 - -2.25
110 A Ball St 79-71 8 1 0.85
113 A We Michigan 85-82 3 1 1.14
117 H No Illinois 68-70 -2 1 - -3.32
120 A Toledo 84-82 2 0 + 2.22
123 A Buffalo 68-67 1 0 0.88
127 H Miami (OH) 84-86 -2 -2 -0.10
131 A Ea Michigan 70-67 3 1 1.21
203 A Ce Michigan 95-89 6 1 1.01
213 H Akron 92-99 -7 -1 -0.62
217 H Miami (OH) 77-86 -9 -2 -0.10
221 H Buffalo 82-86 -4 0 - -2.14
224 H Ball St 73-74 -1 1 - -2.17
228 H Bowling Grn 62-81 -19 0 - -2.04
303 A Ohio 94-82 12 0 1.77
312 A Miami (OH) 87-83 4 -2 + 3.92
313 H Toledo 67-77 -10 0 -1.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1122 H Green Bay 75-79 -4 0 - -2.16 1230 H Ea Michigan 74-80 -6 1 - -2.81 106 H Ohio 83-86 -3 0 - -2.25 117 H No Illinois 68-70 -2 1 - -3.32 221 H Buffalo 82-86 -4 0 - -2.14 224 H Ball St 73-74 -1 1 - -2.17 228 H Bowling Grn 62-81 -19 0 - -2.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1124 A Oregon State 73-65 8 -1 + 2.58 1210 A Boston Col 76-74 2 0 + 2.24 1213 A Florida St **-95 8 -2 + 3.74 120 A Toledo 84-82 2 0 + 2.22 312 A Miami (OH) 87-83 4 -2 + 3.92 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Marshall (19-13, 95.6) 72-78 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.06 -2.27
3 A UAlbany (11-21, 93.5) 83-62 -6.38 1.10 0.01 1.06 2.36
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 94-80 -5.83 1.64 0.01 1.06 3.52
3 A Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 84-77 -5.55 1.92 0.01 1.06 4.12
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 65-69 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.06 -2.13
3 H Green Bay (18-15, 95.3) 75-79 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.06 -2.44
3 A Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 73-65 -3.85 3.63 0.01 1.06 7.76
3 A Harvard (17-12, 95.2) 78-71 -4.68 2.79 0.01 1.06 5.97
3 A UMass Lowell (15-18, 93.9) 80-60 -6.02 1.46 0.01 1.06 3.13
3 A Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 76-74 -4.19 3.29 0.01 1.06 7.02
3 A Florida St (18-15, 97.2) **-95 -2.68 4.79 0.01 1.06 10.23
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 59-69 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.06 -1.96
3 H Ea Michigan (10-21, 94.7) 74-80 -5.21 2.26 -0.01 1.06 -2.78
3 H Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) **-** -4.44 3.03 -0.01 1.06 -2.37
3 H Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 83-86 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.06 -2.48
3 A Ball St (12-19, 94.3) 79-71 -5.57 1.90 0.01 1.06 4.08
3 A We Michigan (10-21, 94.6) 85-82 -5.29 2.19 0.01 1.06 4.68
3 H No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 68-70 -5.73 1.75 -0.01 1.06 -3.06
3 A Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 84-82 -4.20 3.27 0.01 1.06 6.99
3 A Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 68-67 -4.55 2.93 0.01 1.06 6.26
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 84-86 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.06 -1.34
3 A Ea Michigan (10-21, 94.7) 70-67 -5.21 2.26 0.01 1.06 4.84
3 A Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 95-89 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.06 4.40
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 92-99 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.06 -1.62
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 77-86 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.06 -1.34
3 H Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 82-86 -4.55 2.93 -0.01 1.06 -2.43
3 H Ball St (12-19, 94.3) 73-74 -5.57 1.90 -0.01 1.06 -2.97
3 H Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 62-81 -4.44 3.03 -0.01 1.06 -2.37
3 A Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 94-82 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.06 6.03
3 A Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 87-83 -2.50 4.97 0.01 1.06 10.61
3 H Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 67-77 -4.20 3.27 -0.01 1.06 -2.24
------
58.19
|
winning pts = 91.9867 losing points = -33.8008
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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