UMBC
W-L: (24- 9) PR = 94.8966Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A PSUYR 74-53 1108 H Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 71-77 1111 A Morgan State MEAC M (13-17, 93.6) 81-79 1116 A Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) 71-70 1119 H George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 52-89 1124 A NDMAR **-52 1129 A Delaware St MEAC D ( 8-24, 92.7) 71-57 1203 H Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 81-90 1206 A Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 73-66 1209 H Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 79-83 1212 H Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 60-63 1221 H So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) 69-94 1229 A Coppin St MEAC C ( 7-24, 93.0) 93-59 108 A Maine AE ( 8-24, 93.2) 69-62 110 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-21, 93.3) 75-74 115 H Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) 74-79 119 A Binghamton AE ( 8-23, 92.7) 78-60 122 A NJ Tech AE (16-17, 94.2) 87-74 124 A UMass Lowell AE (15-18, 93.9) 79-56 129 H Vermont AE (22-12, 94.8) 55-64 131 A UAlbany AE (11-21, 93.5) 68-65 205 A Binghamton AE ( 8-23, 92.7) 79-62 212 A Maine AE ( 8-24, 93.2) 78-62 214 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-21, 93.3) 85-63 219 A Vermont AE (22-12, 94.8) 75-62 221 A UAlbany AE (11-21, 93.5) 66-62 226 A Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) 70-58 228 A UMass Lowell AE (15-18, 93.9) 84-60 303 A NJ Tech AE (16-17, 94.2) 91-52 307 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-21, 93.3) 84-69 310 A UMass Lowell AE (15-18, 93.9) 91-69 314 A Vermont AE (22-12, 94.8) 74-59 317 H Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 83-86
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 H Dayton 71-77 -6 -2 0.00
1111 A Morgan State 81-79 2 1 0.70
1116 A Wagner 71-70 1 1 -0.03
1119 H George Wash 52-89 -37 -1 -0.87
1129 A Delaware St 71-57 14 2 0.00
1203 H Georgetown 81-90 -9 -2 -0.03
1206 A Bucknell 73-66 7 1 0.88
1209 H Buffalo 79-83 -4 0 -1.56
1212 H Army 60-63 -3 1 - -3.36
1221 H So Florida 69-94 -25 -2 0.00
1229 A Coppin St 93-59 34 2 0.07
108 A Maine 69-62 7 2 0.29
110 A New Hamp. 75-74 1 2 -0.62
115 H Bryant 74-79 -5 2 - -3.58
119 A Binghamton 78-60 18 2 0.00
122 A NJ Tech 87-74 13 1 1.32
124 A UMass Lowell 79-56 23 1 1.00
129 H Vermont 55-64 -9 0 - -2.13
131 A UAlbany 68-65 3 1 0.63
205 A Binghamton 79-62 17 2 0.00
212 A Maine 78-62 16 2 0.29
214 A New Hamp. 85-63 22 2 0.38
219 A Vermont 75-62 13 0 1.89
221 A UAlbany 66-62 4 1 0.63
226 A Bryant 70-58 12 2 0.44
228 A UMass Lowell 84-60 24 1 1.00
303 A NJ Tech 91-52 39 1 1.32
307 A New Hamp. 84-69 15 2 0.38
310 A UMass Lowell 91-69 22 1 1.00
314 A Vermont 74-59 15 0 1.89
317 H Howard 83-86 -3 0 -1.96
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1212 H Army 60-63 -3 1 - -3.36 115 H Bryant 74-79 -5 2 - -3.58 129 H Vermont 55-64 -9 0 - -2.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 71-77 -2.95 4.52 -0.01 1.06 -1.58
3 A Morgan State (13-17, 93.6) 81-79 -6.32 1.16 0.01 1.06 2.49
3 A Wagner (14-17, 93.9) 71-70 -6.04 1.44 0.01 1.06 3.08
3 H George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 52-89 -3.86 3.61 -0.01 1.06 -2.06
3 A Delaware St ( 8-24, 92.7) 71-57 -7.25 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 81-90 -3.02 4.46 -0.01 1.06 -1.61
3 A Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 73-66 -6.13 1.34 0.01 1.06 2.88
3 H Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 79-83 -4.55 2.93 -0.01 1.06 -2.43
3 H Army (11-21, 93.5) 60-63 -6.35 1.12 -0.01 1.06 -3.39
3 H So Florida (24-10, 97.1) 69-94 -2.80 4.67 -0.01 1.06 -1.50
3 A Coppin St ( 7-24, 93.0) 93-59 -6.94 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A Maine ( 8-24, 93.2) 69-62 -6.72 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-21, 93.3) 75-74 -6.63 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Bryant (10-25, 93.3) 74-79 -6.57 1.00 -0.01 1.06 -3.50
3 A Binghamton ( 8-23, 92.7) 78-60 -7.19 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A NJ Tech (16-17, 94.2) 87-74 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.06 3.82
3 A UMass Lowell (15-18, 93.9) 79-56 -6.02 1.46 0.01 1.06 3.13
3 H Vermont (22-12, 94.8) 55-64 -5.12 2.36 -0.01 1.06 -2.73
3 A UAlbany (11-21, 93.5) 68-65 -6.38 1.10 0.01 1.06 2.36
3 A Binghamton ( 8-23, 92.7) 79-62 -7.19 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A Maine ( 8-24, 93.2) 78-62 -6.72 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-21, 93.3) 85-63 -6.63 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A Vermont (22-12, 94.8) 75-62 -5.12 2.36 0.01 1.06 5.04
3 A UAlbany (11-21, 93.5) 66-62 -6.38 1.10 0.01 1.06 2.36
3 A Bryant (10-25, 93.3) 70-58 -6.57 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A UMass Lowell (15-18, 93.9) 84-60 -6.02 1.46 0.01 1.06 3.13
3 A NJ Tech (16-17, 94.2) 91-52 -5.69 1.78 0.01 1.06 3.82
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-21, 93.3) 84-69 -6.63 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 A UMass Lowell (15-18, 93.9) 91-69 -6.02 1.46 0.01 1.06 3.13
3 A Vermont (22-12, 94.8) 74-59 -5.12 2.36 0.01 1.06 5.04
3 H Howard (24-11, 95.0) 83-86 -4.95 2.53 -0.01 1.06 -2.64
------
40.34
|
winning pts = 61.7805 losing points = -21.4419
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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