No Carolina
W-L: (24- 9) PR = 98.1931Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Ce Arkansas AS (22-12, 95.5) 94-54 1107 A Kansas B12 (24-11, 98.4) 87-74 1111 A Radford BSO (16-17, 94.5) 89-74 1114 A NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) 97-53 1118 A Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 73-61 1125 A St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 85-70 1127 H Michigan St B10 (27- 8, 98.7) 58-74 1202 A Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 67-64 1207 A Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 81-61 1213 A SC Upstate BSO (13-19, 94.1) 80-62 1216 A Ea Tenn St SO E (23-11, 95.4) 77-58 1220 A Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 71-70 1222 A Ea Carolina AME (12-19, 95.1) 99-51 1230 A Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 79-66 103 H SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 83-97 110 A Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 87-84 114 H Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 90-95 117 H California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 78-84 121 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 91-69 124 A Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 85-80 131 A Georgia Tech ACC (11-20, 95.8) 91-75 202 A Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 87-77 207 A Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 71-68 210 H Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 66-75 214 A Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 79-65 217 H NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 58-82 221 A Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 77-64 223 A Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 77-74 228 A Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 89-82 303 A Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 67-63 307 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 61-76 312 H Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 79-80 319 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 78-82
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Ce Arkansas 94-54 40 3 0.00
1107 A Kansas 87-74 13 0 + 2.25
1111 A Radford 89-74 15 4 0.00
1114 A NC Center 97-53 44 5 0.00
1118 A Navy 73-61 12 3 0.00
1125 A St. Bonnies 85-70 15 2 0.00
1127 H Michigan St 58-74 -16 -1 -1.49
1202 A Kentucky 67-64 3 0 1.81
1207 A Georgetown 81-61 20 1 0.70
1213 A SC Upstate 80-62 18 4 0.00
1216 A Ea Tenn St 77-58 19 3 0.00
1220 A Ohio St 71-70 1 0 0.60
1222 A Ea Carolina 99-51 48 3 0.00
1230 A Florida St 79-66 13 1 1.03
103 H SMU 83-97 -14 1 - -2.83
110 A Wake Forest 87-84 3 1 0.87
114 H Stanford 90-95 -5 1 - -3.02
117 H California 78-84 -6 1 - -3.06
121 A Notre D 91-69 22 2 0.40
124 A Virginia 85-80 5 0 + 2.45
131 A Georgia Tech 91-75 16 2 0.00
202 A Syracuse 87-77 10 1 0.58
207 A Duke 71-68 3 -2 + 3.54
210 H Miami (Fl) 66-75 -9 0 - -2.24
214 A Pittsburgh 79-65 14 2 0.20
217 H NC State 58-82 -24 1 - -2.61
221 A Syracuse 77-64 13 1 0.58
223 A Louisville 77-74 3 0 1.85
228 A Va Tech 89-82 7 1 1.19
303 A Clemson 67-63 4 0 1.65
307 H Duke 61-76 -15 -2 -0.48
312 H Clemson 79-80 -1 0 -1.37
319 H VCU 78-82 -4 1 - -2.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H SMU 83-97 -14 1 - -2.83 114 H Stanford 90-95 -5 1 - -3.02 117 H California 78-84 -6 1 - -3.06 210 H Miami (Fl) 66-75 -9 0 - -2.24 217 H NC State 58-82 -24 1 - -2.61 319 H VCU 78-82 -4 1 - -2.62 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 A Kansas 87-74 13 0 + 2.25 124 A Virginia 85-80 5 0 + 2.45 207 A Duke 71-68 3 -2 + 3.54 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Ce Arkansas (22-12, 95.5) 94-54 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.00 6.14
3 A Kansas (24-11, 98.4) 87-74 -1.47 6.01 0.01 1.00 12.04
3 A Radford (16-17, 94.5) 89-74 -5.37 2.10 0.01 1.00 4.23
3 A NC Center (14-18, 93.6) 97-53 -6.34 1.14 0.01 1.00 2.29
3 A Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 73-61 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.00 6.06
3 A St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 85-70 -4.13 3.35 0.01 1.00 6.72
3 H Michigan St (27- 8, 98.7) 58-74 -1.19 6.29 -0.01 1.00 -0.60
3 A Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 67-64 -1.91 5.57 0.01 1.00 11.16
3 A Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 81-61 -3.02 4.46 0.01 1.00 8.94
3 A SC Upstate (13-19, 94.1) 80-62 -5.80 1.67 0.01 1.00 3.37
3 A Ea Tenn St (23-11, 95.4) 77-58 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.00 6.06
3 A Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 71-70 -2.12 5.36 0.01 1.00 10.75
3 A Ea Carolina (12-19, 95.1) 99-51 -4.84 2.63 0.01 1.00 5.29
3 A Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 79-66 -2.68 4.79 0.01 1.00 9.61
3 H SMU (20-14, 97.4) 83-97 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 1.00 -1.27
3 A Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 87-84 -2.85 4.63 0.01 1.00 9.27
3 H Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 90-95 -2.71 4.76 -0.01 1.00 -1.36
3 H California (22-12, 97.1) 78-84 -2.76 4.72 -0.01 1.00 -1.38
3 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) 91-69 -3.32 4.16 0.01 1.00 8.34
3 A Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 85-80 -1.26 6.21 0.01 1.00 12.45
3 A Georgia Tech (11-20, 95.8) 91-75 -4.13 3.35 0.01 1.00 6.71
3 A Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 87-77 -3.13 4.34 0.01 1.00 8.71
3 A Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 71-68 -0.17 7.30 0.01 1.00 14.63
3 H Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 66-75 -1.93 5.54 -0.01 1.00 -0.97
3 A Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 79-65 -3.52 3.96 0.01 1.00 7.94
3 H NC State (20-14, 97.6) 58-82 -2.30 5.17 -0.01 1.00 -1.16
3 A Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 77-64 -3.13 4.34 0.01 1.00 8.71
3 A Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 77-74 -1.87 5.61 0.01 1.00 11.23
3 A Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 89-82 -2.53 4.95 0.01 1.00 9.92
3 A Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 67-63 -2.07 5.41 0.01 1.00 10.84
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 61-76 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 1.00 -0.09
3 H Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 79-80 -2.07 5.41 -0.01 1.00 -1.04
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 78-82 -2.32 5.16 -0.01 1.00 -1.16
------
192.40
|
winning pts = 201.4382 losing points = -9.0409
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------