Pacific
W-L: (18-15) PR = 96.0530Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1105 A LIFEP 83-56 1108 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 77-78 1112 A LB St BW (11-22, 94.7) 69-66 1115 A CS Fullerton BW (16-17, 95.6) 85-73 1120 H Florida Atl AME (18-14, 96.1) 59-82 1124 A Stony Brook CA (17-15, 95.0) 86-58 1125 A Jacksonville AS (11-21, 94.3) 68-53 1129 A Sacra St BS (10-21, 94.5) 68-54 1203 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 80-65 1206 H California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 61-67 1213 A SIMPC **-50 1216 H BYU B12 (23-12, 98.2) 57-93 1221 A Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 95-82 1228 H San Diego WC (11-21, 95.1) 54-66 1230 H Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 71-80 102 A Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 84-53 104 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 74-69 108 H Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 89-90 110 A San Diego WC (11-21, 95.1) 77-70 114 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 69-85 117 A Oregon State WC (17-16, 96.1) 81-64 124 A Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 56-54 128 A Portland WC (15-19, 95.6) 74-51 131 H San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 82-87 204 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 56-71 207 A Pepperdine WC ( 9-24, 94.6) 92-59 211 A Loyola Marym WC (14-18, 95.6) 65-59 214 H Saint Marys WC (27- 6, 97.8) 61-72 218 H Wash St WC (12-20, 95.6) 70-87 221 H Gonzaga WC (31- 4, 98.5) 62-71 228 H San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 61-72 307 A Seattle WC (21-14, 96.2) 61-58 308 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 68-76
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 H Nevada 77-78 -1 -1 -0.13
1112 A LB St 69-66 3 1 0.68
1115 A CS Fullerton 85-73 12 0 1.56
1120 H Florida Atl 59-82 -23 0 -1.98
1124 A Stony Brook 86-58 28 1 0.97
1125 A Jacksonville 68-53 15 2 0.23
1129 A Sacra St 68-54 14 2 0.44
1203 A Air Force 80-65 15 2 0.00
1206 H California 61-67 -6 -1 -0.92
1216 H BYU 57-93 -36 -2 0.00
1221 A Nicholls 95-82 13 1 0.74
1228 H San Diego 54-66 -12 1 - -2.97
1230 H Loyola Marym 71-80 -9 0 - -2.49
102 A Oregon State 84-53 31 0 + 2.01
104 A Pepperdine 74-69 5 1 0.54
108 H Portland 89-90 -1 1 -1.51
110 A San Diego 77-70 7 1 1.05
114 H Santa Clara 69-85 -16 -1 -0.57
117 A Oregon State 81-64 17 0 + 2.01
124 A Seattle 56-54 2 0 + 2.20
128 A Portland 74-51 23 0 1.51
131 H San Fran 82-87 -5 0 -1.90
204 H Santa Clara 56-71 -15 -1 -0.57
207 A Pepperdine 92-59 33 1 0.54
211 A Loyola Marym 65-59 6 0 1.53
214 H Saint Marys 61-72 -11 -2 -0.29
218 H Wash St 70-87 -17 0 - -2.44
221 H Gonzaga 62-71 -9 -2 0.00
228 H San Fran 61-72 -11 0 -1.90
307 A Seattle 61-58 3 0 + 2.20
308 H Santa Clara 68-76 -8 -1 -0.57
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1228 H San Diego 54-66 -12 1 - -2.97 1230 H Loyola Marym 71-80 -9 0 - -2.49 218 H Wash St 70-87 -17 0 - -2.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 102 A Oregon State 84-53 31 0 + 2.01 117 A Oregon State 81-64 17 0 + 2.01 124 A Seattle 56-54 2 0 + 2.20 307 A Seattle 61-58 3 0 + 2.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 77-78 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 1.06 -1.58
3 A LB St (11-22, 94.7) 69-66 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.06 4.92
3 A CS Fullerton (16-17, 95.6) 85-73 -4.30 3.18 0.01 1.06 6.79
3 H Florida Atl (18-14, 96.1) 59-82 -3.82 3.66 -0.01 1.06 -2.04
3 A Stony Brook (17-15, 95.0) 86-58 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.06 5.54
3 A Jacksonville (11-21, 94.3) 68-53 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.06 3.95
3 A Sacra St (10-21, 94.5) 68-54 -5.41 2.06 0.01 1.06 4.41
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 80-65 -5.87 1.61 0.01 1.06 3.45
3 H California (22-12, 97.1) 61-67 -2.76 4.72 -0.01 1.06 -1.47
3 H BYU (23-12, 98.2) 57-93 -1.73 5.74 -0.01 1.06 -0.93
3 A Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 95-82 -5.12 2.36 0.01 1.06 5.05
3 H San Diego (11-21, 95.1) 54-66 -4.81 2.67 -0.01 1.06 -2.56
3 H Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 71-80 -4.32 3.15 -0.01 1.06 -2.31
3 A Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 84-53 -3.85 3.63 0.01 1.06 7.76
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 74-69 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.06 4.61
3 H Portland (15-19, 95.6) 89-90 -4.35 3.13 -0.01 1.06 -2.32
3 A San Diego (11-21, 95.1) 77-70 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.06 5.71
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 69-85 -2.40 5.07 -0.01 1.06 -1.28
3 A Oregon State (17-16, 96.1) 81-64 -3.85 3.63 0.01 1.06 7.76
3 A Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 56-54 -3.65 3.82 0.01 1.06 8.16
3 A Portland (15-19, 95.6) 74-51 -4.35 3.13 0.01 1.06 6.69
3 H San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 82-87 -3.74 3.74 -0.01 1.06 -1.99
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 56-71 -2.40 5.07 -0.01 1.06 -1.28
3 A Pepperdine ( 9-24, 94.6) 92-59 -5.32 2.16 0.01 1.06 4.61
3 A Loyola Marym (14-18, 95.6) 65-59 -4.32 3.15 0.01 1.06 6.74
3 H Saint Marys (27- 6, 97.8) 61-72 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.06 -1.14
3 H Wash St (12-20, 95.6) 70-87 -4.28 3.20 -0.01 1.06 -2.28
3 H Gonzaga (31- 4, 98.5) 62-71 -1.37 6.10 -0.01 1.06 -0.74
3 H San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 61-72 -3.74 3.74 -0.01 1.06 -1.99
3 A Seattle (21-14, 96.2) 61-58 -3.65 3.82 0.01 1.06 8.16
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 68-76 -2.40 5.07 -0.01 1.06 -1.28
------
69.09
|
winning pts = 94.3073 losing points = -25.2134
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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