Utah State
W-L: (29- 7) PR = 97.8968Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A WSTMU **-54 1107 A VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 80-77 1112 A Weber St BS (15-17, 95.1) 83-73 1115 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-20, 94.7) 75-51 1121 A Tulane AME (18-15, 96.0) 96-75 1123 A Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 94-60 1129 A Montana St BS (18-14, 95.5) 84-81 1204 H So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) 61-74 1207 A Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 79-53 1213 A Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 83-78 1220 A Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) **-58 1230 A Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 72-63 103 A San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 96-78 106 A Air Force MW ( 3-29, 94.0) 99-62 110 A Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 93-68 114 A Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 71-62 117 H Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 74-84 120 H UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 76-86 123 A Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 65-61 128 A Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 94-62 131 A San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 71-66 204 A New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 86-66 207 A Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 85-83 210 A Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 91-78 214 A Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 99-75 218 A Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 75-56 221 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 77-80 225 H San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 72-89 228 A Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 74-69 303 H UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 65-92 307 A New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 94-90 312 A UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 80-60 313 A Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 79-66 314 A San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 73-62 320 A Villanova BE (24- 9, 98.1) 86-76 322 H Arizona B12 (36- 3, 99.9) 66-78
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A VCU 80-77 3 0 1.69
1112 A Weber St 83-73 10 3 0.00
1115 A TX-El Paso 75-51 24 3 0.00
1121 A Tulane 96-75 21 2 0.07
1123 A Davidson 94-60 34 2 0.26
1129 A Montana St 84-81 3 2 0.00
1204 H So Florida 61-74 -13 1 - -2.81
1207 A Charlotte 79-53 26 2 0.02
1213 A Illinois St 83-78 5 2 0.44
1220 A Colorado St **-58 42 1 0.80
1230 A Fresno St 72-63 9 2 0.00
103 A San Jose St 96-78 18 3 0.00
106 A Air Force 99-62 37 4 0.00
110 A Boise St 93-68 25 1 1.16
114 A Nevada 71-62 9 1 1.05
117 H Grand Canyon 74-84 -10 1 - -3.20
120 H UNLV 76-86 -10 2 - -3.51
123 A Colorado St 65-61 4 1 0.80
128 A Wyoming 94-62 32 2 0.39
131 A San Diego St 71-66 5 0 1.50
204 A New Mexico 86-66 20 1 1.35
207 A Wyoming 85-83 2 2 0.39
210 A Fresno St 91-78 13 2 0.00
214 A Memphis 99-75 24 2 0.04
218 A Boise St 75-56 19 1 1.16
221 H Nevada 77-80 -3 1 - -2.97
225 H San Diego St 72-89 -17 1 - -2.52
228 A Grand Canyon 74-69 5 1 0.82
303 H UNLV 65-92 -27 2 - -3.51
307 A New Mexico 94-90 4 1 1.35
312 A UNLV 80-60 20 1 0.51
313 A Nevada 79-66 13 1 1.05
314 A San Diego St 73-62 11 0 1.50
320 A Villanova 86-76 10 0 + 2.18
322 H Arizona 66-78 -12 -2 -0.01
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1204 H So Florida 61-74 -13 1 - -2.81 117 H Grand Canyon 74-84 -10 1 - -3.20 120 H UNLV 76-86 -10 2 - -3.51 221 H Nevada 77-80 -3 1 - -2.97 225 H San Diego St 72-89 -17 1 - -2.52 303 H UNLV 65-92 -27 2 - -3.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A Villanova 86-76 10 0 + 2.18 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 80-77 -2.32 5.16 0.01 0.94 9.75
3 A Weber St (15-17, 95.1) 83-73 -4.79 2.68 0.01 0.94 5.08
3 A TX-El Paso (11-20, 94.7) 75-51 -5.20 2.28 0.01 0.94 4.32
3 A Tulane (18-15, 96.0) 96-75 -3.94 3.53 0.01 0.94 6.68
3 A Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 94-60 -3.75 3.73 0.01 0.94 7.05
3 A Montana St (18-14, 95.5) 84-81 -4.39 3.08 0.01 0.94 5.84
3 H So Florida (24-10, 97.1) 61-74 -2.80 4.67 -0.01 0.94 -1.33
3 A Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 79-53 -4.00 3.48 0.01 0.94 6.58
3 A Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 83-78 -3.58 3.90 0.01 0.94 7.38
3 A Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) **-58 -3.21 4.26 0.01 0.94 8.06
3 A Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 72-63 -4.16 3.32 0.01 0.94 6.28
3 A San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 96-78 -4.59 2.88 0.01 0.94 5.46
3 A Air Force ( 3-29, 94.0) 99-62 -5.87 1.61 0.01 0.94 3.05
3 A Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 93-68 -2.85 4.62 0.01 0.94 8.74
3 A Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 71-62 -2.96 4.51 0.01 0.94 8.53
3 H Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 74-84 -3.19 4.29 -0.01 0.94 -1.51
3 H UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 76-86 -3.50 3.97 -0.01 0.94 -1.66
3 A Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 65-61 -3.21 4.26 0.01 0.94 8.06
3 A Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 94-62 -3.63 3.85 0.01 0.94 7.28
3 A San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 71-66 -2.51 4.96 0.01 0.94 9.38
3 A New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 86-66 -2.67 4.81 0.01 0.94 9.09
3 A Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 85-83 -3.63 3.85 0.01 0.94 7.28
3 A Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 91-78 -4.16 3.32 0.01 0.94 6.28
3 A Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 99-75 -3.98 3.50 0.01 0.94 6.62
3 A Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 75-56 -2.85 4.62 0.01 0.94 8.74
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 77-80 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 0.94 -1.40
3 H San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 72-89 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 0.94 -1.19
3 A Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 74-69 -3.19 4.29 0.01 0.94 8.11
3 H UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 65-92 -3.50 3.97 -0.01 0.94 -1.66
3 A New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 94-90 -2.67 4.81 0.01 0.94 9.09
3 A UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 80-60 -3.50 3.97 0.01 0.94 7.51
3 A Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 79-66 -2.96 4.51 0.01 0.94 8.53
3 A San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 73-62 -2.51 4.96 0.01 0.94 9.38
3 A Villanova (24- 9, 98.1) 86-76 -1.83 5.65 0.01 0.94 10.67
3 H Arizona (36- 3, 99.9) 66-78 -0.00 7.48 -0.01 0.94 -0.00
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200.08
|
winning pts = 208.8265 losing points = -8.7465
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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