Utah Valley
W-L: (25- 8) PR = 96.5639Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A WCBA **-35 1108 H Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 77-** 1112 A WSTMU 91-60 1115 H Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 74-75 1119 A UC Irvine BW (22-13, 96.1) 79-72 1125 A So Dakota St SM (13-18, 94.7) 75-52 1126 A Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 89-45 1203 H San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 66-77 1206 A Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 82-71 1210 A Idaho St BS (14-20, 94.7) 73-69 1213 A Santa Barbara BW (18-14, 95.7) 68-53 1217 A Weber St BS (15-17, 95.1) 90-74 1220 A BTHSD **-48 1229 A Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 73-66 101 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 91-85 103 H Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 68-85 108 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 89-72 110 A Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 92-76 117 A UT Arlington WAC U (18-14, 95.7) 86-74 121 H So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 70-84 124 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 71-78 129 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 83-55 205 A Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 68-55 207 A UT Arlington WAC U (18-14, 95.7) 81-60 212 H Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) 77-81 219 A Cal Baptist WAC C (23- 9, 96.4) 65-46 221 A UT Arlington WAC U (18-14, 95.7) 66-54 226 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-18, 95.2) 79-72 228 A Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 74-67 305 A So Utah WAC S (10-23, 94.6) 92-88 307 A Utah Tech WAC U (18-15, 95.7) **-72 313 A UT Arlington WAC U (18-14, 95.7) 67-65 318 H George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 78-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 H Boise St 77-** -24 0 -1.53
1115 H Fresno St 74-75 -1 1 -1.83
1119 A UC Irvine 79-72 7 0 1.56
1125 A So Dakota St 75-52 23 2 0.18
1126 A Samford 89-45 44 1 0.53
1203 H San Diego St 66-77 -11 -1 -1.19
1206 A Bowling Grn 82-71 11 1 0.90
1210 A Idaho St 73-69 4 2 0.11
1213 A Santa Barbara 68-53 15 1 1.14
1217 A Weber St 90-74 16 1 0.55
1229 A Cal Baptist 73-66 7 0 1.87
101 A Tarleton St 91-85 6 1 0.63
103 H Abilene Chr 68-85 -17 1 - -3.47
108 A So Utah 89-72 17 2 0.00
110 A Utah Tech 92-76 16 1 1.15
117 A UT Arlington 86-74 12 1 1.15
121 H So Utah 70-84 -14 2 -- -4.00
124 H Cal Baptist 71-78 -7 0 - -2.15
129 A Tarleton St 83-55 28 1 0.63
205 A Abilene Chr 68-55 13 1 0.55
207 A UT Arlington 81-60 21 1 1.15
212 H Utah Tech 77-81 -4 1 - -2.87
219 A Cal Baptist 65-46 19 0 1.87
221 A UT Arlington 66-54 12 1 1.15
226 A Tarleton St 79-72 7 1 0.63
228 A Abilene Chr 74-67 7 1 0.55
305 A So Utah 92-88 4 2 0.00
307 A Utah Tech **-72 32 1 1.15
313 A UT Arlington 67-65 2 1 1.15
318 H George Wash 78-79 -1 1 -1.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 121 H So Utah 70-84 -14 2 -- -4.00 103 H Abilene Chr 68-85 -17 1 - -3.47 124 H Cal Baptist 71-78 -7 0 - -2.15 212 H Utah Tech 77-81 -4 1 - -2.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 77-** -2.85 4.62 -0.01 1.10 -1.57
3 H Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 74-75 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 1.10 -2.29
3 A UC Irvine (22-13, 96.1) 79-72 -3.78 3.69 0.01 1.10 8.15
3 A So Dakota St (13-18, 94.7) 75-52 -5.17 2.31 0.01 1.10 5.10
3 A Samford (18-14, 95.1) 89-45 -4.81 2.67 0.01 1.10 5.89
3 H San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 66-77 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 1.10 -1.39
3 A Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 82-71 -4.44 3.03 0.01 1.10 6.70
3 A Idaho St (14-20, 94.7) 73-69 -5.24 2.24 0.01 1.10 4.95
3 A Santa Barbara (18-14, 95.7) 68-53 -4.21 3.27 0.01 1.10 7.21
3 A Weber St (15-17, 95.1) 90-74 -4.79 2.68 0.01 1.10 5.93
3 A Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 73-66 -3.48 4.00 0.01 1.10 8.82
3 A Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 91-85 -4.72 2.76 0.01 1.10 6.10
3 H Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 68-85 -4.80 2.68 -0.01 1.10 -2.64
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 89-72 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.10 4.72
3 A Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 92-76 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.10 7.23
3 A UT Arlington (18-14, 95.7) 86-74 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.10 7.23
3 H So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 70-84 -5.34 2.14 -0.01 1.10 -2.94
3 H Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 71-78 -3.48 4.00 -0.01 1.10 -1.92
3 A Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 83-55 -4.72 2.76 0.01 1.10 6.10
3 A Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 68-55 -4.80 2.68 0.01 1.10 5.92
3 A UT Arlington (18-14, 95.7) 81-60 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.10 7.23
3 H Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) 77-81 -4.20 3.28 -0.01 1.10 -2.32
3 A Cal Baptist (23- 9, 96.4) 65-46 -3.48 4.00 0.01 1.10 8.82
3 A UT Arlington (18-14, 95.7) 66-54 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.10 7.23
3 A Tarleton St (13-18, 95.2) 79-72 -4.72 2.76 0.01 1.10 6.10
3 A Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 74-67 -4.80 2.68 0.01 1.10 5.92
3 A So Utah (10-23, 94.6) 92-88 -5.34 2.14 0.01 1.10 4.72
3 A Utah Tech (18-15, 95.7) **-72 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.10 7.23
3 A UT Arlington (18-14, 95.7) 67-65 -4.20 3.28 0.01 1.10 7.23
3 H George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 78-79 -3.86 3.61 -0.01 1.10 -2.13
------
127.33
|
winning pts = 144.5464 losing points = -17.2124
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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