Virginia
W-L: (30- 6) PR = 98.6365Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) 87-53 1107 A NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) 81-62 1111 A Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 91-53 1115 A Marshall SB M (19-13, 95.6) **-78 1121 A Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 83-78 1123 H Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 73-80 1128 A Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 94-69 1203 A Texas SEC T (21-15, 97.8) 88-69 1206 A Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 86-73 1209 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC ( 9-23, 93.0) 84-60 1220 A Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) 80-72 1222 A American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 95-51 1231 H Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 85-95 103 A NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 76-61 107 A California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 84-60 110 A Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 70-55 113 A Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 79-70 117 A SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 72-68 124 H No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 80-85 127 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) **-** 131 A Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 73-66 203 A Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 67-47 207 A Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 72-59 210 A Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 61-58 214 A Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 70-66 218 A Georgia Tech ACC (11-20, 95.8) 94-68 221 A Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 86-83 224 A NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 90-61 228 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 51-77 303 A Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 75-70 307 A Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 76-72 312 A NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 81-74 313 A Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 84-62 314 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 70-74 320 A Wright St HL (23-12, 95.8) 82-73 322 H Tennessee SEC (25-12, 98.3) 72-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Rider 87-53 34 5 0.00
1107 A NC Center 81-62 19 5 0.00
1111 A Hampton 91-53 38 4 0.00
1115 A Marshall **-78 26 3 0.00
1121 A Northwestern 83-78 5 2 0.26
1123 H Butler 73-80 -7 2 - -3.71
1128 A Queens Univ 94-69 25 3 0.00
1203 A Texas 88-69 19 1 1.16
1206 A Dayton 86-73 13 2 0.32
1209 A MD-Ea Shore 84-60 24 6 0.00
1220 A Maryland 80-72 8 2 0.00
1222 A American 95-51 44 4 0.00
1231 H Va Tech 85-95 -10 1 - -3.27
103 A NC State 76-61 15 1 0.97
107 A California 84-60 24 1 0.52
110 A Stanford 70-55 15 1 0.56
113 A Louisville 79-70 9 1 1.40
117 A SMU 72-68 4 1 0.74
124 H No Carolina 80-85 -5 0 - -2.45
127 A Notre D **-** 152 2 0.00
131 A Boston Col 73-66 7 3 0.00
203 A Pittsburgh 67-47 20 2 0.00
207 A Syracuse 72-59 13 2 0.14
210 A Florida St 61-58 3 1 0.59
214 A Ohio St 70-66 4 1 1.16
218 A Georgia Tech 94-68 26 3 0.00
221 A Miami (Fl) 86-83 3 1 1.34
224 A NC State 90-61 29 1 0.97
228 H Duke 51-77 -26 -1 -0.92
303 A Wake Forest 75-70 5 2 0.42
307 A Va Tech 76-72 4 1 0.75
312 A NC State 81-74 7 1 0.97
313 A Miami (Fl) 84-62 22 1 1.34
314 H Duke 70-74 -4 -1 -0.92
320 A Wright St 82-73 9 3 0.00
322 H Tennessee 72-79 -7 0 - -2.34
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1123 H Butler 73-80 -7 2 - -3.71 1231 H Va Tech 85-95 -10 1 - -3.27 124 H No Carolina 80-85 -5 0 - -2.45 322 H Tennessee 72-79 -7 0 - -2.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) 87-53 -6.73 1.00 0.01 0.92 1.85
3 A NC Center (14-18, 93.6) 81-62 -6.34 1.14 0.01 0.92 2.10
3 A Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 91-53 -5.40 2.08 0.01 0.92 3.83
3 A Marshall (19-13, 95.6) **-78 -4.26 3.22 0.01 0.92 5.92
3 A Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 83-78 -3.02 4.46 0.01 0.92 8.20
3 H Butler (16-16, 96.9) 73-80 -2.96 4.52 -0.01 0.92 -1.36
3 A Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 94-69 -4.48 3.00 0.01 0.92 5.51
3 A Texas (21-15, 97.8) 88-69 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.92 9.85
3 A Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 86-73 -2.95 4.52 0.01 0.92 8.32
3 A MD-Ea Shore ( 9-23, 93.0) 84-60 -6.90 1.00 0.01 0.92 1.85
3 A Maryland (12-21, 96.6) 80-72 -3.32 4.15 0.01 0.92 7.63
3 A American (16-17, 94.5) 95-51 -5.42 2.06 0.01 0.92 3.79
3 H Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 85-95 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 0.92 -1.16
3 A NC State (20-14, 97.6) 76-61 -2.30 5.17 0.01 0.92 9.51
3 A California (22-12, 97.1) 84-60 -2.76 4.72 0.01 0.92 8.68
3 A Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 70-55 -2.71 4.76 0.01 0.92 8.75
3 A Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 79-70 -1.87 5.61 0.01 0.92 10.30
3 A SMU (20-14, 97.4) 72-68 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.92 9.09
3 H No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 80-85 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 0.92 -0.79
3 A Notre D (13-18, 96.6) **-** -3.32 4.16 0.01 0.92 7.65
3 A Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 73-66 -4.19 3.29 0.01 0.92 6.04
3 A Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 67-47 -3.52 3.96 0.01 0.92 7.28
3 A Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 72-59 -3.13 4.34 0.01 0.92 7.99
3 A Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 61-58 -2.68 4.79 0.01 0.92 8.81
3 A Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 70-66 -2.12 5.36 0.01 0.92 9.85
3 A Georgia Tech (11-20, 95.8) 94-68 -4.13 3.35 0.01 0.92 6.16
3 A Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 86-83 -1.93 5.54 0.01 0.92 10.18
3 A NC State (20-14, 97.6) 90-61 -2.30 5.17 0.01 0.92 9.51
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 51-77 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.92 -0.08
3 A Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 75-70 -2.85 4.63 0.01 0.92 8.50
3 A Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 76-72 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.92 9.09
3 A NC State (20-14, 97.6) 81-74 -2.30 5.17 0.01 0.92 9.51
3 A Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 84-62 -1.93 5.54 0.01 0.92 10.18
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 70-74 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.92 -0.08
3 A Wright St (23-12, 95.8) 82-73 -4.07 3.41 0.01 0.92 6.27
3 H Tennessee (25-12, 98.3) 72-79 -1.59 5.88 -0.01 0.92 -0.73
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217.97
|
winning pts = 222.1863 losing points = -4.2154
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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