Valparaiso
W-L: (18-15) PR = 95.6405Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Ea Illinois OV (14-20, 94.1) 66-63 1107 H Kentucky SEC (22-14, 98.0) 59-** 1112 A Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 68-63 1116 A Bryant AE (10-25, 93.3) 68-50 1119 A Cleveland St HL (11-22, 94.3) 90-75 1126 H So Indiana OV ( 7-24, 93.2) 56-64 1129 A We Michigan MA (10-21, 94.6) 84-55 1202 H Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 72-75 1206 A CALUM 98-58 1213 H UNC-Wilm CA (27- 7, 96.3) 70-73 1216 H Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 70-86 1221 H Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 79-85 1229 H No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 48-58 101 H So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 70-75 104 A Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 66-59 107 A Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 77-71 110 H Murray St MV (21-13, 96.0) 79-92 113 H Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 74-78 117 A No Iowa MV (23-13, 96.2) 54-44 121 A So Illinois MV (16-16, 95.5) 69-63 128 H Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 77-78 131 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 76-72 203 H Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 65-72 206 A Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 70-63 209 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 81-76 212 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 64-86 215 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 76-75 218 A Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 79-72 221 A Ill-Chicago MV (17-17, 95.6) 71-67 225 A Drake MV (14-20, 95.1) 74-71 228 H Evansville MV ( 7-25, 94.5) 79-80 305 A Indiana St MV (11-22, 94.7) 63-62 306 H Bradley MV (23-12, 96.1) 74-90
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Ea Illinois 66-63 3 2 0.44
1107 H Kentucky 59-** -48 -2 0.00
1112 A Nicholls 68-63 5 1 1.15
1116 A Bryant 68-50 18 2 0.00
1119 A Cleveland St 90-75 15 1 0.68
1126 H So Indiana 56-64 -8 2 -- -4.00
1129 A We Michigan 84-55 29 1 0.98
1202 H Marquette 72-75 -3 -1 -1.18
1213 H UNC-Wilm 70-73 -3 -1 -1.36
1216 H Northwestern 70-86 -16 -1 -0.77
1221 H Murray St 79-85 -6 0 -1.62
1229 H No Iowa 48-58 -10 -1 -1.41
101 H So Illinois 70-75 -5 0 - -2.17
104 A Ill-Chicago 66-59 7 0 1.94
107 A Illinois St 77-71 6 -1 + 2.69
110 H Murray St 79-92 -13 0 -1.62
113 H Belmont 74-78 -4 -1 -0.90
117 A No Iowa 54-44 10 -1 + 2.61
121 A So Illinois 69-63 6 0 1.85
128 H Belmont 77-78 -1 -1 0.10
131 A Indiana St 76-72 4 1 1.09
203 H Bradley 65-72 -7 0 -1.54
206 A Evansville 70-63 7 1 0.88
209 A Drake 81-76 5 0 1.51
212 H Illinois St 64-86 -22 -1 -1.33
215 A Indiana St 76-75 1 1 0.09
218 A Bradley 79-72 7 0 + 2.48
221 A Ill-Chicago 71-67 4 0 1.94
225 A Drake 74-71 3 0 1.51
228 H Evansville 79-80 -1 1 - -2.14
305 A Indiana St 63-62 1 1 0.09
306 H Bradley 74-90 -16 0 -1.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 H So Indiana 56-64 -8 2 -- -4.00 101 H So Illinois 70-75 -5 0 - -2.17 228 H Evansville 79-80 -1 1 - -2.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 107 A Illinois St 77-71 6 -1 + 2.69 117 A No Iowa 54-44 10 -1 + 2.61 218 A Bradley 79-72 7 0 + 2.48 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Ea Illinois (14-20, 94.1) 66-63 -5.82 1.65 0.01 1.03 3.43
3 H Kentucky (22-14, 98.0) 59-** -1.91 5.57 -0.01 1.03 -0.99
3 A Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 68-63 -5.12 2.36 0.01 1.03 4.89
3 A Bryant (10-25, 93.3) 68-50 -6.57 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Cleveland St (11-22, 94.3) 90-75 -5.59 1.89 0.01 1.03 3.92
3 H So Indiana ( 7-24, 93.2) 56-64 -6.73 1.00 -0.01 1.03 -3.48
3 A We Michigan (10-21, 94.6) 84-55 -5.29 2.19 0.01 1.03 4.53
3 H Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 72-75 -3.43 4.05 -0.01 1.03 -1.77
3 H UNC-Wilm (27- 7, 96.3) 70-73 -3.61 3.86 -0.01 1.03 -1.87
3 H Northwestern (15-19, 96.9) 70-86 -3.02 4.46 -0.01 1.03 -1.56
3 H Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 79-85 -3.87 3.61 -0.01 1.03 -2.00
3 H No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 48-58 -3.66 3.82 -0.01 1.03 -1.89
3 H So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 70-75 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.03 -2.28
3 A Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 66-59 -4.33 3.15 0.01 1.03 6.52
3 A Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 77-71 -3.58 3.90 0.01 1.03 8.07
3 H Murray St (21-13, 96.0) 79-92 -3.87 3.61 -0.01 1.03 -2.00
3 H Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 74-78 -3.15 4.32 -0.01 1.03 -1.63
3 A No Iowa (23-13, 96.2) 54-44 -3.66 3.82 0.01 1.03 7.90
3 A So Illinois (16-16, 95.5) 69-63 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.03 6.34
3 H Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 77-78 -3.15 4.32 -0.01 1.03 -1.63
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 76-72 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.03 4.76
3 H Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 65-72 -3.79 3.69 -0.01 1.03 -1.96
3 A Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 70-63 -5.39 2.09 0.01 1.03 4.32
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) 81-76 -4.76 2.72 0.01 1.03 5.63
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 64-86 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 1.03 -1.85
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 76-75 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.03 4.76
3 A Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 79-72 -3.79 3.69 0.01 1.03 7.64
3 A Ill-Chicago (17-17, 95.6) 71-67 -4.33 3.15 0.01 1.03 6.52
3 A Drake (14-20, 95.1) 74-71 -4.76 2.72 0.01 1.03 5.63
3 H Evansville ( 7-25, 94.5) 79-80 -5.39 2.09 -0.01 1.03 -2.79
3 A Indiana St (11-22, 94.7) 63-62 -5.18 2.30 0.01 1.03 4.76
3 H Bradley (23-12, 96.1) 74-90 -3.79 3.69 -0.01 1.03 -1.96
------
62.02
|
winning pts = 91.6787 losing points = -29.6583
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------