VCU
W-L: (29- 8) PR = 97.5817Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Wagner NE W (14-17, 93.9) **-74 1107 H Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 77-80 1112 A St Peters MAAC (17-12, 95.1) 78-61 1117 H NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 79-85 1122 A Coppin St MEAC C ( 7-24, 93.0) **-58 1126 A So Florida AME (24-10, 97.1) 78-66 1127 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 74-89 1128 A Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 86-68 1205 A Samford SO S (18-14, 95.1) 83-57 1210 H New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 78-81 1215 A Niagara MAAC ( 8-22, 93.7) 84-58 1218 A American PAT (16-17, 94.5) **-83 1218 A American PAT (16-17, 94.5) **-83 1222 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) **-79 1231 A St. Bonnies A10 (17-17, 95.8) 89-82 103 A Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 93-80 107 H St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 62-71 110 H George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 80-86 114 A Rhode Island A10 (16-16, 95.6) 84-75 119 A St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 79-72 124 A Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 75-69 127 A Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 77-69 130 A Loyola Chic A10 ( 9-23, 94.9) 89-75 203 A Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 63-59 206 A Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 99-73 211 A La Salle A10 ( 9-23, 95.0) 77-68 214 A Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 78-67 217 A George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 89-75 220 H St Louis A10 (29- 6, 97.6) 75-88 228 A Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 82-63 303 A George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 70-65 306 A Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 68-62 313 A Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 71-66 314 A St Joseph's A10 (25-12, 96.5) 77-64 315 H Dayton A10 (24-12, 96.9) 70-62 319 A No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 82-78 321 H Illinois B10 (28- 9, 98.7) 55-76
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Wagner **-74 29 4 0.00
1107 H Utah State 77-80 -3 0 -1.69
1112 A St Peters 78-61 17 2 0.00
1117 H NC State 79-85 -6 0 -1.99
1122 A Coppin St **-58 43 5 0.00
1126 A So Florida 78-66 12 0 1.52
1127 H Vanderbilt 74-89 -15 -1 -1.06
1128 A Va Tech 86-68 18 0 1.80
1205 A Samford 83-57 26 2 0.00
1210 H New Mexico 78-81 -3 0 - -2.36
1215 A Niagara 84-58 26 4 0.00
1218 A American **-83 22 3 0.00
1218 A American **-83 22 3 0.00
1222 A Rider **-79 21 4 0.00
1231 A St. Bonnies 89-82 7 2 0.20
103 A Duquesne 93-80 13 2 0.37
107 H St Louis 62-71 -9 0 -1.96
110 H George Mason 80-86 -6 1 - -3.01
114 A Rhode Island 84-75 9 2 0.05
119 A St Joseph's 79-72 7 1 0.92
124 A Davidson 75-69 6 1 0.58
127 A Richmond 77-69 8 2 0.00
130 A Loyola Chic 89-75 14 3 0.00
203 A Fordham 63-59 4 2 0.00
206 A Dayton 99-73 26 1 1.38
211 A La Salle 77-68 9 3 0.00
214 A Richmond 78-67 11 2 0.00
217 A George Wash 89-75 14 2 0.46
220 H St Louis 75-88 -13 0 -1.96
228 A Fordham 82-63 19 2 0.00
303 A George Mason 70-65 5 1 1.01
306 A Dayton 68-62 6 1 1.38
313 A Duquesne 71-66 5 2 0.37
314 A St Joseph's 77-64 13 1 0.92
315 H Dayton 70-62 8 1 1.36
319 A No Carolina 82-78 4 -1 + 2.62
321 H Illinois 55-76 -21 -1 -0.92
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1210 H New Mexico 78-81 -3 0 - -2.36 110 H George Mason 80-86 -6 1 - -3.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A No Carolina 82-78 4 -1 + 2.62 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Wagner (14-17, 93.9) **-74 -6.04 1.44 0.01 0.89 2.58
3 H Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 77-80 -2.00 5.47 -0.01 0.89 -0.90
3 A St Peters (17-12, 95.1) 78-61 -4.77 2.71 0.01 0.89 4.85
3 H NC State (20-14, 97.6) 79-85 -2.30 5.17 -0.01 0.89 -1.03
3 A Coppin St ( 7-24, 93.0) **-58 -6.94 1.00 0.01 0.89 1.80
3 A So Florida (24-10, 97.1) 78-66 -2.80 4.67 0.01 0.89 8.35
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 74-89 -1.37 6.11 -0.01 0.89 -0.62
3 A Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 86-68 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.89 8.85
3 A Samford (18-14, 95.1) 83-57 -4.81 2.67 0.01 0.89 4.77
3 H New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 78-81 -2.67 4.81 -0.01 0.89 -1.19
3 A Niagara ( 8-22, 93.7) 84-58 -6.20 1.28 0.01 0.89 2.30
3 A American (16-17, 94.5) **-83 -5.42 2.06 0.01 0.89 3.69
3 A American (16-17, 94.5) **-83 -5.42 2.06 0.01 0.89 3.69
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) **-79 -6.73 1.00 0.01 0.89 1.80
3 A St. Bonnies (17-17, 95.8) 89-82 -4.13 3.35 0.01 0.89 5.99
3 A Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 93-80 -3.95 3.52 0.01 0.89 6.30
3 H St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 62-71 -2.27 5.21 -0.01 0.89 -1.02
3 H George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 80-86 -3.31 4.16 -0.01 0.89 -1.48
3 A Rhode Island (16-16, 95.6) 84-75 -4.28 3.20 0.01 0.89 5.72
3 A St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 79-72 -3.41 4.07 0.01 0.89 7.28
3 A Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 75-69 -3.75 3.73 0.01 0.89 6.67
3 A Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 77-69 -4.38 3.09 0.01 0.89 5.54
3 A Loyola Chic ( 9-23, 94.9) 89-75 -4.97 2.50 0.01 0.89 4.49
3 A Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 63-59 -4.51 2.97 0.01 0.89 5.31
3 A Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 99-73 -2.95 4.52 0.01 0.89 8.09
3 A La Salle ( 9-23, 95.0) 77-68 -4.91 2.57 0.01 0.89 4.60
3 A Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 78-67 -4.38 3.09 0.01 0.89 5.54
3 A George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 89-75 -3.86 3.61 0.01 0.89 6.46
3 H St Louis (29- 6, 97.6) 75-88 -2.27 5.21 -0.01 0.89 -1.02
3 A Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 82-63 -4.51 2.97 0.01 0.89 5.31
3 A George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 70-65 -3.31 4.16 0.01 0.89 7.45
3 A Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 68-62 -2.95 4.52 0.01 0.89 8.09
3 A Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 71-66 -3.95 3.52 0.01 0.89 6.30
3 A St Joseph's (25-12, 96.5) 77-64 -3.41 4.07 0.01 0.89 7.28
3 H Dayton (24-12, 96.9) 70-62 -2.95 4.52 -0.01 0.89 8.06
3 A No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 82-78 -1.71 5.77 0.01 0.89 10.31
3 H Illinois (28- 9, 98.7) 55-76 -1.23 6.25 -0.01 0.89 -0.55
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159.66
|
winning pts = 167.4642 losing points = -7.8080
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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