Wagner
W-L: (14-17) PR = 93.8588Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 74-** 1107 H Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 61-68 1111 H Fordham A10 (17-15, 95.4) 61-63 1116 H UMBC AE (24- 9, 94.9) 70-71 1122 H Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 75-92 1126 A Manhattan MAAC (12-21, 94.1) **-** 1202 H Maryland B10 (12-21, 96.6) 63-89 1206 A BSB 92-36 1211 A BLMFL 95-93 1217 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC ( 9-23, 93.0) 78-64 1222 A MBKBA 74-57 102 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 79-72 104 H Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 60-69 108 H St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 69-71 110 H Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 69-70 117 H New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 74-80 119 H FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 61-68 123 H Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 67-69 129 H Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 55-62 131 A FDU NE (11-21, 93.3) 75-72 205 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 79-78 207 H Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 67-84 212 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 57-67 214 A Stonehill NE S (12-21, 93.4) 68-57 216 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 65-83 219 A Mercyhurst NE M (17-18, 94.0) 83-80 221 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 65-56 226 A New Haven NE N (14-17, 93.8) 65-62 228 A Chicago St NE C ( 7-25, 93.2) 80-61 304 A Ce Connecticut NE C (18-13, 94.3) 70-60 307 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 56-64
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H VCU 74-** -29 -4 0.00
1107 H Seton Hall 61-68 -7 -4 0.00
1111 H Fordham 61-63 -2 -2 -0.48
1116 H UMBC 70-71 -1 -1 0.03
1122 H Georgetown 75-92 -17 -3 0.00
1126 A Manhattan **-** 2 0 + 2.24
1202 H Maryland 63-89 -26 -3 0.00
1217 A MD-Ea Shore 78-64 14 1 1.15
102 A Chicago St 79-72 7 1 1.38
104 H Stonehill 60-69 -9 0 - -2.47
108 H St Francis 69-71 -2 1 - -2.93
110 H Mercyhurst 69-70 -1 0 -0.86
117 H New Haven 74-80 -6 0 - -2.05
119 H FDU 61-68 -7 1 - -2.53
123 H Le Moyne 67-69 -2 0 -1.80
129 H Ce Connecticut 55-62 -7 0 -1.52
131 A FDU 75-72 3 1 1.49
205 A Le Moyne 79-78 1 0 1.22
207 H Ce Connecticut 67-84 -17 0 -1.52
212 H LIU 57-67 -10 -1 -0.67
214 A Stonehill 68-57 11 0 1.55
216 H LIU 65-83 -18 -1 -0.67
219 A Mercyhurst 83-80 3 0 + 2.16
221 A St Francis 65-56 9 1 1.09
226 A New Haven 65-62 3 0 1.97
228 A Chicago St 80-61 19 1 1.38
304 A Ce Connecticut 70-60 10 0 + 2.50
307 H LIU 56-64 -8 -1 -0.67
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 104 H Stonehill 60-69 -9 0 - -2.47 108 H St Francis 69-71 -2 1 - -2.93 117 H New Haven 74-80 -6 0 - -2.05 119 H FDU 61-68 -7 1 - -2.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 A Manhattan **-** 2 0 + 2.24 219 A Mercyhurst 83-80 3 0 + 2.16 304 A Ce Connecticut 70-60 10 0 + 2.50 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 74-** -2.32 5.16 -0.01 1.18 -1.37
3 H Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 61-68 -2.35 5.13 -0.01 1.18 -1.39
3 H Fordham (17-15, 95.4) 61-63 -4.51 2.97 -0.01 1.18 -2.66
3 H UMBC (24- 9, 94.9) 70-71 -5.00 2.47 -0.01 1.18 -2.96
3 H Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 75-92 -3.02 4.46 -0.01 1.18 -1.79
3 A Manhattan (12-21, 94.1) **-** -5.81 1.67 0.01 1.18 3.96
3 H Maryland (12-21, 96.6) 63-89 -3.32 4.15 -0.01 1.18 -1.97
3 A MD-Ea Shore ( 9-23, 93.0) 78-64 -6.90 1.00 0.01 1.18 2.38
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 79-72 -6.68 1.00 0.01 1.18 2.38
3 H Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 60-69 -6.50 1.00 -0.01 1.18 -3.84
3 H St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 69-71 -6.96 1.00 -0.01 1.18 -4.11
3 H Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 69-70 -5.89 1.59 -0.01 1.18 -3.48
3 H New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 74-80 -6.08 1.40 -0.01 1.18 -3.59
3 H FDU (11-21, 93.3) 61-68 -6.56 1.00 -0.01 1.18 -3.87
3 H Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 67-69 -5.83 1.64 -0.01 1.18 -3.44
3 H Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 55-62 -5.55 1.92 -0.01 1.18 -3.28
3 A FDU (11-21, 93.3) 75-72 -6.56 1.00 0.01 1.18 2.38
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 79-78 -5.83 1.64 0.01 1.18 3.90
3 H Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 67-84 -5.55 1.92 -0.01 1.18 -3.28
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 57-67 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.18 -2.78
3 A Stonehill (12-21, 93.4) 68-57 -6.50 1.00 0.01 1.18 2.38
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 65-83 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.18 -2.78
3 A Mercyhurst (17-18, 94.0) 83-80 -5.89 1.59 0.01 1.18 3.76
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 65-56 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.18 2.38
3 A New Haven (14-17, 93.8) 65-62 -6.08 1.40 0.01 1.18 3.32
3 A Chicago St ( 7-25, 93.2) 80-61 -6.68 1.00 0.01 1.18 2.38
3 A Ce Connecticut (18-13, 94.3) 70-60 -5.55 1.92 0.01 1.18 4.56
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 56-64 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.18 -2.78
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-15.55
|
winning pts = 33.7970 losing points = -49.3488
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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