Wake Forest
W-L: (18-17) PR = 97.0492Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 88-74 1107 A Morehead St OV (20-14, 94.8) 81-65 1111 H Michigan B10 (37- 3, 99.8) 84-85 1116 A UMass Lowell AE (15-18, 93.9) **-75 1120 H Texas Tech B12 (23-11, 98.2) 83-84 1121 A Memphis AME (13-19, 95.9) 69-68 1125 A Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 99-51 1128 A Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) 86-73 1202 H Oklahoma SEC O (21-16, 97.5) 68-86 1206 A West Va B12 (22-13, 97.7) 75-66 1214 A Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) **-73 1217 A Longwood BSO (16-16, 94.3) 71-68 1221 H Vanderbilt SEC V (27- 9, 98.5) 67-98 1231 H NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 57-70 103 A Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 81-78 107 H Miami (Fl) ACC (26- 9, 98.0) 77-81 110 H No Carolina ACC (24- 9, 98.2) 84-87 117 A Florida St ACC (18-15, 97.2) 69-68 120 H SMU ACC (20-14, 97.4) 79-91 124 H Duke ACC (35- 3, 99.7) 69-90 127 H Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 76-80 131 H NC State ACC (20-14, 97.6) 78-96 207 H Louisville ACC (24-11, 98.0) 80-88 211 A Georgia Tech ACC (11-20, 95.8) 83-67 214 A Stanford ACC (20-13, 97.2) 68-63 218 A Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 85-77 221 H Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 63-82 225 H Boston Col ACC (11-20, 95.7) 67-68 228 A Syracuse ACC (15-17, 96.8) 88-83 303 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 70-75 307 A California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 80-73 310 A Va Tech ACC (19-13, 97.4) 95-89 311 H Clemson ACC (24-11, 97.8) 62-71 318 A Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 82-72 322 H Illinois St MV (24-13, 96.3) 75-78
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A American 88-74 14 3 0.00
1107 A Morehead St 81-65 16 2 0.00
1111 H Michigan 84-85 -1 -3 1.00
1116 A UMass Lowell **-75 34 3 0.00
1120 H Texas Tech 83-84 -1 -1 0.19
1121 A Memphis 69-68 1 1 -0.12
1125 A Campbell 99-51 48 2 0.30
1128 A Northeastern 86-73 13 3 0.00
1202 H Oklahoma 68-86 -18 0 -1.60
1206 A West Va 75-66 9 -1 + 2.62
1214 A Queens Univ **-73 38 2 0.38
1217 A Longwood 71-68 3 3 0.00
1221 H Vanderbilt 67-98 -31 -1 -0.53
1231 H NC State 57-70 -13 -1 -1.46
103 A Va Tech 81-78 3 0 + 2.33
107 H Miami (Fl) 77-81 -4 -1 -1.09
110 H No Carolina 84-87 -3 -1 -0.87
117 A Florida St 69-68 1 0 1.18
120 H SMU 79-91 -12 0 -1.69
124 H Duke 69-90 -21 -3 0.00
127 H Pittsburgh 76-80 -4 1 - -2.68
131 H NC State 78-96 -18 -1 -1.46
207 H Louisville 80-88 -8 -1 -1.03
211 A Georgia Tech 83-67 16 1 0.73
214 A Stanford 68-63 5 0 + 2.15
218 A Clemson 85-77 8 -1 + 2.79
221 H Va Tech 63-82 -19 0 -1.69
225 H Boston Col 67-68 -1 1 - -2.35
228 A Syracuse 88-83 5 0 1.73
303 H Virginia 70-75 -5 -2 -0.42
307 A California 80-73 7 0 + 2.10
310 A Va Tech 95-89 6 0 + 2.33
311 H Clemson 62-71 -9 -1 -1.23
318 A Navy 82-72 10 2 0.40
322 H Illinois St 75-78 -3 1 - -2.73
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 127 H Pittsburgh 76-80 -4 1 - -2.68 225 H Boston Col 67-68 -1 1 - -2.35 322 H Illinois St 75-78 -3 1 - -2.73 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 A West Va 75-66 9 -1 + 2.62 103 A Va Tech 81-78 3 0 + 2.33 214 A Stanford 68-63 5 0 + 2.15 218 A Clemson 85-77 8 -1 + 2.79 307 A California 80-73 7 0 + 2.10 310 A Va Tech 95-89 6 0 + 2.33 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A American (16-17, 94.5) 88-74 -5.42 2.06 0.01 0.94 3.90
3 A Morehead St (20-14, 94.8) 81-65 -5.13 2.35 0.01 0.94 4.45
3 H Michigan (37- 3, 99.8) 84-85 -0.14 7.34 -0.01 0.94 -0.07
3 A UMass Lowell (15-18, 93.9) **-75 -6.02 1.46 0.01 0.94 2.77
3 H Texas Tech (23-11, 98.2) 83-84 -1.65 5.83 -0.01 0.94 -0.78
3 A Memphis (13-19, 95.9) 69-68 -3.98 3.50 0.01 0.94 6.62
3 A Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 99-51 -4.56 2.92 0.01 0.94 5.53
3 A Northeastern ( 7-24, 94.1) 86-73 -5.79 1.68 0.01 0.94 3.19
3 H Oklahoma (21-16, 97.5) 68-86 -2.44 5.04 -0.01 0.94 -1.16
3 A West Va (22-13, 97.7) 75-66 -2.24 5.24 0.01 0.94 9.90
3 A Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) **-73 -4.48 3.00 0.01 0.94 5.67
3 A Longwood (16-16, 94.3) 71-68 -5.63 1.85 0.01 0.94 3.50
3 H Vanderbilt (27- 9, 98.5) 67-98 -1.37 6.11 -0.01 0.94 -0.65
3 H NC State (20-14, 97.6) 57-70 -2.30 5.17 -0.01 0.94 -1.09
3 A Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 81-78 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.94 9.35
3 H Miami (Fl) (26- 9, 98.0) 77-81 -1.93 5.54 -0.01 0.94 -0.92
3 H No Carolina (24- 9, 98.2) 84-87 -1.71 5.77 -0.01 0.94 -0.81
3 A Florida St (18-15, 97.2) 69-68 -2.68 4.79 0.01 0.94 9.06
3 H SMU (20-14, 97.4) 79-91 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 0.94 -1.20
3 H Duke (35- 3, 99.7) 69-90 -0.17 7.30 -0.01 0.94 -0.09
3 H Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 76-80 -3.52 3.96 -0.01 0.94 -1.66
3 H NC State (20-14, 97.6) 78-96 -2.30 5.17 -0.01 0.94 -1.09
3 H Louisville (24-11, 98.0) 80-88 -1.87 5.61 -0.01 0.94 -0.89
3 A Georgia Tech (11-20, 95.8) 83-67 -4.13 3.35 0.01 0.94 6.33
3 A Stanford (20-13, 97.2) 68-63 -2.71 4.76 0.01 0.94 9.00
3 A Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 85-77 -2.07 5.41 0.01 0.94 10.22
3 H Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 63-82 -2.53 4.95 -0.01 0.94 -1.20
3 H Boston Col (11-20, 95.7) 67-68 -4.19 3.29 -0.01 0.94 -1.98
3 A Syracuse (15-17, 96.8) 88-83 -3.13 4.34 0.01 0.94 8.21
3 H Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 70-75 -1.26 6.21 -0.01 0.94 -0.60
3 A California (22-12, 97.1) 80-73 -2.76 4.72 0.01 0.94 8.92
3 A Va Tech (19-13, 97.4) 95-89 -2.53 4.95 0.01 0.94 9.35
3 H Clemson (24-11, 97.8) 62-71 -2.07 5.41 -0.01 0.94 -0.98
3 A Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 82-72 -4.46 3.02 0.01 0.94 5.71
3 H Illinois St (24-13, 96.3) 75-78 -3.58 3.90 -0.01 0.94 -1.69
------
104.85
|
winning pts = 121.7011 losing points = -16.8510
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------