Winthrop 
W-L: (23-12) PR = 95.5535
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1103 A Queens Univ AS (21-14, 95.4) 81-74
1107 H George Mason A10 (23-10, 96.6) 90-96
1111 H Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 66-72
1115 A Mercer SO M (19-13, 95.2) **-69
1118 H Arkansas SEC (28- 9, 98.5) 83-84
1123 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-22, 94.0) 80-62
1125 H Nebraska B10 (28- 7, 98.6) 73-80
1129 A SC St MEAC (10-22, 93.3) **-79
1202 A LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 94-92
1206 H Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 84-88
1209 A TOCFA **-62
1213 A BJU **-55
1218 H No Dakota SM (17-18, 94.9) 88-90
1218 H No Dakota SM (17-18, 94.9) 88-90
1221 A CLINT **-41
1228 H Texas Tech B12 (23-11, 98.2) 57-87
1231 H Longwood BSO (16-16, 94.3) 70-82
103 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 5-29, 92.9) 88-77
107 A Charlotte So BSO (16-17, 94.4) 81-77
110 A SC Upstate BSO (13-19, 94.1) 71-50
114 A High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 92-75
117 A UNC-Ash BSO (16-17, 94.8) 69-67
121 A Radford BSO (16-17, 94.5) 76-75
124 A Presbyterian BSO (15-18, 94.4) 82-72
131 A UNC-Ash BSO (16-17, 94.8) 84-71
204 A Radford BSO (16-17, 94.5) 80-78
207 A Longwood BSO (16-16, 94.3) 79-74
212 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 5-29, 92.9) **-85
219 A SC Upstate BSO (13-19, 94.1) 68-64
221 H High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 87-89
226 H Charlotte So BSO (16-17, 94.4) 84-86
228 A Presbyterian BSO (15-18, 94.4) 74-70
306 A Charlotte So BSO (16-17, 94.4) 86-81
307 A Presbyterian BSO (15-18, 94.4) 73-71
308 H High Point BSO (30- 6, 96.3) 76-91
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Queens Univ 81-74 7 0 1.88
1107 H George Mason 90-96 -6 -1 -0.98
1111 H Coastal Car 66-72 -6 0 - -2.25
1115 A Mercer **-69 36 0 1.65
1118 H Arkansas 83-84 -1 -3 1.00
1123 A Jackson St 80-62 18 2 0.43
1125 H Nebraska 73-80 -7 -3 0.00
1129 A SC St **-79 22 2 0.00
1202 A LIU 94-92 2 0 1.66
1206 H Coastal Car 84-88 -4 0 - -2.25
1218 H No Dakota 88-90 -2 1 - -2.67
1218 H No Dakota 88-90 -2 1 - -2.67
1228 H Texas Tech 57-87 -30 -3 0.00
1231 H Longwood 70-82 -12 1 - -3.29
103 A Gardner-Webb 88-77 11 3 0.00
107 A Charlotte So 81-77 4 1 0.84
110 A SC Upstate 71-50 21 1 0.55
114 A High Point 92-75 17 -1 + 2.80
117 A UNC-Ash 69-67 2 1 1.21
121 A Radford 76-75 1 1 -0.02
124 A Presbyterian 82-72 10 1 0.83
131 A UNC-Ash 84-71 13 1 1.21
204 A Radford 80-78 2 1 0.98
207 A Longwood 79-74 5 1 0.73
212 A Gardner-Webb **-85 18 3 0.00
219 A SC Upstate 68-64 4 1 0.55
221 H High Point 87-89 -2 -1 -1.22
226 H Charlotte So 84-86 -2 1 - -3.18
228 A Presbyterian 74-70 4 1 0.83
306 A Charlotte So 86-81 5 1 0.84
307 A Presbyterian 73-71 2 1 0.83
308 H High Point 76-91 -15 -1 -1.22
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1111 H Coastal Car 66-72 -6 0 - -2.25
1206 H Coastal Car 84-88 -4 0 - -2.25
1218 H No Dakota 88-90 -2 1 - -2.67
1218 H No Dakota 88-90 -2 1 - -2.67
1231 H Longwood 70-82 -12 1 - -3.29
226 H Charlotte So 84-86 -2 1 - -3.18
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
114 A High Point 92-75 17 -1 + 2.80
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Queens Univ (21-14, 95.4) 81-74 -4.48 3.00 0.01 1.03 6.20
3 H George Mason (23-10, 96.6) 90-96 -3.31 4.16 -0.01 1.03 -1.71
3 H Coastal Car (19-14, 95.3) 66-72 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 1.03 -2.37
3 A Mercer (19-13, 95.2) **-69 -4.70 2.77 0.01 1.03 5.75
3 H Arkansas (28- 9, 98.5) 83-84 -1.40 6.07 -0.01 1.03 -0.73
3 A Jackson St (11-22, 94.0) 80-62 -5.93 1.55 0.01 1.03 3.21
3 H Nebraska (28- 7, 98.6) 73-80 -1.33 6.15 -0.01 1.03 -0.69
3 A SC St (10-22, 93.3) **-79 -6.62 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A LIU (24-11, 95.2) 94-92 -4.70 2.78 0.01 1.03 5.75
3 H Coastal Car (19-14, 95.3) 84-88 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 1.03 -2.37
3 H No Dakota (17-18, 94.9) 88-90 -5.01 2.47 -0.01 1.03 -2.59
3 H No Dakota (17-18, 94.9) 88-90 -5.01 2.47 -0.01 1.03 -2.59
3 H Texas Tech (23-11, 98.2) 57-87 -1.65 5.83 -0.01 1.03 -0.86
3 H Longwood (16-16, 94.3) 70-82 -5.63 1.85 -0.01 1.03 -2.91
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 5-29, 92.9) 88-77 -7.05 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A Charlotte So (16-17, 94.4) 81-77 -5.51 1.96 0.01 1.03 4.07
3 A SC Upstate (13-19, 94.1) 71-50 -5.80 1.67 0.01 1.03 3.48
3 A High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 92-75 -3.56 3.92 0.01 1.03 8.10
3 A UNC-Ash (16-17, 94.8) 69-67 -5.15 2.33 0.01 1.03 4.83
3 A Radford (16-17, 94.5) 76-75 -5.37 2.10 0.01 1.03 4.36
3 A Presbyterian (15-18, 94.4) 82-72 -5.53 1.95 0.01 1.03 4.04
3 A UNC-Ash (16-17, 94.8) 84-71 -5.15 2.33 0.01 1.03 4.83
3 A Radford (16-17, 94.5) 80-78 -5.37 2.10 0.01 1.03 4.36
3 A Longwood (16-16, 94.3) 79-74 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.03 3.83
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 5-29, 92.9) **-85 -7.05 1.00 0.01 1.03 2.08
3 A SC Upstate (13-19, 94.1) 68-64 -5.80 1.67 0.01 1.03 3.48
3 H High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 87-89 -3.56 3.92 -0.01 1.03 -1.84
3 H Charlotte So (16-17, 94.4) 84-86 -5.51 1.96 -0.01 1.03 -2.85
3 A Presbyterian (15-18, 94.4) 74-70 -5.53 1.95 0.01 1.03 4.04
3 A Charlotte So (16-17, 94.4) 86-81 -5.51 1.96 0.01 1.03 4.07
3 A Presbyterian (15-18, 94.4) 73-71 -5.53 1.95 0.01 1.03 4.04
3 H High Point (30- 6, 96.3) 76-91 -3.56 3.92 -0.01 1.03 -1.84
------
61.34
|
winning pts = 84.6857 losing points = -23.3502
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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