We Michigan 
W-L: (10-21) PR = 94.6097
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1103 A Coastal Car SB C (19-14, 95.3) 76-71
1106 H NORWO 81-85
1109 H Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 82-91
1112 A PFW HL (16-16, 95.2) 83-71
1116 H So Dakota SM (16-15, 94.8) 78-83
1120 H Ohio St B10 (20-14, 97.8) 58-91
1123 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 83-60
1129 H Valparaiso MV (18-15, 95.6) 55-84
1203 A So Indiana OV ( 7-24, 93.2) 88-74
1206 A SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 83-73
1214 H Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 51-91
1220 H Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 71-88
1222 A DEFIA 94-57
1230 H Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 79-84
106 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 76-87
110 A Ea Michigan MA (10-21, 94.7) 79-62
113 H Mass MA (17-16, 95.5) 82-85
117 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 89-**
120 H Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 54-72
124 A Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 77-65
127 H No Illinois MA ( 9-21, 94.2) 65-85
203 H Ohio MA (15-17, 95.2) 71-91
207 H TX St-SM SB T (19-13, 95.4) 61-77
211 H Toledo MA (19-15, 95.7) 79-90
214 A Ea Michigan MA (10-21, 94.7) 76-62
217 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 73-90
221 H Ce Michigan MA (10-21, 94.5) 70-83
224 A Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 88-79
227 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 67-69
303 H Ball St MA (12-19, 94.3) 71-74
306 H Kent State MA (24-10, 96.2) 78-86
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Coastal Car 76-71 5 -1 + 2.71
1109 H Campbell 82-91 -9 -1 -1.28
1112 A PFW 83-71 12 -1 + 2.56
1116 H So Dakota 78-83 -5 0 -1.81
1120 H Ohio St 58-91 -33 -3 0.00
1123 A Mt St Marys 83-60 23 0 1.95
1129 H Valparaiso 55-84 -29 -1 -0.98
1203 A So Indiana 88-74 14 1 0.57
1206 A SIUE 83-73 10 0 1.89
1214 H Iowa 51-91 -40 -3 0.00
1220 H Buffalo 71-88 -17 -1 -1.27
1230 H Toledo 79-84 -5 -1 -0.92
106 H Miami (OH) 76-87 -11 -3 0.00
110 A Ea Michigan 79-62 17 0 + 2.09
113 H Mass 82-85 -3 -1 -1.14
117 H Akron 89-** -15 -2 0.00
120 H Bowling Grn 54-72 -18 -1 -1.16
124 A Ce Michigan 77-65 12 0 1.88
127 H No Illinois 65-85 -20 0 - -2.45
203 H Ohio 71-91 -20 -1 -1.38
207 H TX St-SM 61-77 -16 -1 -1.25
211 H Toledo 79-90 -11 -1 -0.92
214 A Ea Michigan 76-62 14 0 + 2.09
217 H Akron 73-90 -17 -2 0.00
221 H Ce Michigan 70-83 -13 0 - -2.14
224 A Bowling Grn 88-79 9 -1 + 2.86
227 H Miami (OH) 67-69 -2 -3 0.00
303 H Ball St 71-74 -3 0 - -2.29
306 H Kent State 78-86 -8 -2 -0.38
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
127 H No Illinois 65-85 -20 0 - -2.45
221 H Ce Michigan 70-83 -13 0 - -2.14
303 H Ball St 71-74 -3 0 - -2.29
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Coastal Car 76-71 5 -1 + 2.71
1112 A PFW 83-71 12 -1 + 2.56
110 A Ea Michigan 79-62 17 0 + 2.09
214 A Ea Michigan 76-62 14 0 + 2.09
224 A Bowling Grn 88-79 9 -1 + 2.86
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Coastal Car (19-14, 95.3) 76-71 -4.59 2.89 0.01 1.14 6.59
3 H Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 82-91 -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.14 -2.60
3 A PFW (16-16, 95.2) 83-71 -4.74 2.74 0.01 1.14 6.26
3 H So Dakota (16-15, 94.8) 78-83 -5.09 2.39 -0.01 1.14 -2.90
3 H Ohio St (20-14, 97.8) 58-91 -2.12 5.36 -0.01 1.14 -1.21
3 A Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 83-60 -5.35 2.12 0.01 1.14 4.86
3 H Valparaiso (18-15, 95.6) 55-84 -4.26 3.22 -0.01 1.14 -2.43
3 A So Indiana ( 7-24, 93.2) 88-74 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.14 2.30
3 A SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 83-73 -5.41 2.07 0.01 1.14 4.73
3 H Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 51-91 -2.00 5.48 -0.01 1.14 -1.14
3 H Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 71-88 -4.55 2.93 -0.01 1.14 -2.59
3 H Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 79-84 -4.20 3.27 -0.01 1.14 -2.40
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 76-87 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.14 -1.43
3 A Ea Michigan (10-21, 94.7) 79-62 -5.21 2.26 0.01 1.14 5.17
3 H Mass (17-16, 95.5) 82-85 -4.42 3.06 -0.01 1.14 -2.52
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 89-** -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.14 -1.73
3 H Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 54-72 -4.44 3.03 -0.01 1.14 -2.53
3 A Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 77-65 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.14 4.71
3 H No Illinois ( 9-21, 94.2) 65-85 -5.73 1.75 -0.01 1.14 -3.27
3 H Ohio (15-17, 95.2) 71-91 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.14 -2.66
3 H TX St-SM (19-13, 95.4) 61-77 -4.53 2.94 -0.01 1.14 -2.59
3 H Toledo (19-15, 95.7) 79-90 -4.20 3.27 -0.01 1.14 -2.40
3 A Ea Michigan (10-21, 94.7) 76-62 -5.21 2.26 0.01 1.14 5.17
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 73-90 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.14 -1.73
3 H Ce Michigan (10-21, 94.5) 70-83 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.14 -3.09
3 A Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 88-79 -4.44 3.03 0.01 1.14 6.93
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 67-69 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.14 -1.43
3 H Ball St (12-19, 94.3) 71-74 -5.57 1.90 -0.01 1.14 -3.18
3 H Kent State (24-10, 96.2) 78-86 -3.66 3.81 -0.01 1.14 -2.09
------
0.80
|
winning pts = 46.7229 losing points = -45.9200
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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