Will&Mary
W-L: (21-12) PR = 95.6712Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A GEOCT **-63 1108 A Norfolk St MEAC N (14-19, 93.7) 81-78 1111 H Richmond A10 (15-17, 95.5) 86-90 1115 H St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 60-93 1119 A Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 82-74 1121 A REGEN **-57 1124 A TX-El Paso CUSA (11-20, 94.7) 74-63 1125 A Abilene Chr WAC A (14-18, 95.1) 92-58 1130 A Old Dominion SB (12-21, 94.7) 88-75 1202 A Duquesne A10 (18-15, 95.9) 83-79 1206 H George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 86-99 1218 A Radford BSO (16-17, 94.5) 96-83 1218 A Radford BSO (16-17, 94.5) 96-83 1229 A Towson CA (19-15, 95.5) 84-70 1231 A Stony Brook CA (17-15, 95.0) 76-57 105 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 79-88 108 H Monmouth CA (19-15, 95.3) 70-81 110 H Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 58-64 115 A NC A&T CA (11-19, 94.3) 97-89 122 A UNC-Wilm CA (27- 7, 96.3) 77-70 124 A Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 89-82 129 H Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 76-79 131 H Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 96-** 205 A UNC-Wilm CA (27- 7, 96.3) 85-78 207 H Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 74-77 212 A Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) 94-67 214 H Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 78-81 219 H Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 83-84 226 A Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) 84-77 228 A NC A&T CA (11-19, 94.3) 91-88 303 A Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 94-85 307 A Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 72-62 308 H Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 61-92
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 A Norfolk St 81-78 3 2 0.07
1111 H Richmond 86-90 -4 0 - -2.16
1115 H St. John's 60-93 -33 -3 0.00
1119 A Bowling Grn 82-74 8 0 1.80
1124 A TX-El Paso 74-63 11 1 1.04
1125 A Abilene Chr 92-58 34 1 1.44
1130 A Old Dominion 88-75 13 1 1.01
1202 A Duquesne 83-79 4 0 + 2.28
1206 H George Wash 86-99 -13 0 -1.65
1218 A Radford 96-83 13 1 0.87
1218 A Radford 96-83 13 1 0.87
1229 A Towson 84-70 14 0 1.82
1231 A Stony Brook 76-57 19 1 1.35
105 H Charlotte 79-88 -9 0 -1.78
108 H Monmouth 70-81 -11 0 - -2.37
110 H Drexel 58-64 -6 1 - -2.61
115 A NC A&T 97-89 8 1 0.68
122 A UNC-Wilm 77-70 7 -1 + 2.62
124 A Hofstra 89-82 7 0 + 2.46
129 H Elon 76-79 -3 1 - -2.79
131 H Campbell 96-** -8 0 - -2.34
205 A UNC-Wilm 85-78 7 -1 + 2.62
207 H Hampton 74-77 -3 1 - -3.18
212 A Northeastern 94-67 27 2 0.45
214 H Elon 78-81 -3 1 - -2.79
219 H Campbell 83-84 -1 0 -1.34
226 A Northeastern 84-77 7 2 0.45
228 A NC A&T 91-88 3 1 0.68
303 A Hampton 94-85 9 1 0.84
307 A Elon 72-62 10 1 1.23
308 H Hofstra 61-92 -31 0 -1.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 H Richmond 86-90 -4 0 - -2.16 108 H Monmouth 70-81 -11 0 - -2.37 110 H Drexel 58-64 -6 1 - -2.61 129 H Elon 76-79 -3 1 - -2.79 131 H Campbell 96-** -8 0 - -2.34 207 H Hampton 74-77 -3 1 - -3.18 214 H Elon 78-81 -3 1 - -2.79 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1202 A Duquesne 83-79 4 0 + 2.28 122 A UNC-Wilm 77-70 7 -1 + 2.62 124 A Hofstra 89-82 7 0 + 2.46 205 A UNC-Wilm 85-78 7 -1 + 2.62 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Norfolk St (14-19, 93.7) 81-78 -6.17 1.31 0.01 1.06 2.80
3 H Richmond (15-17, 95.5) 86-90 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.06 -2.34
3 H St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 60-93 -1.20 6.27 -0.01 1.06 -0.65
3 A Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 82-74 -4.44 3.03 0.01 1.06 6.48
3 A TX-El Paso (11-20, 94.7) 74-63 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.06 4.87
3 A Abilene Chr (14-18, 95.1) 92-58 -4.80 2.68 0.01 1.06 5.73
3 A Old Dominion (12-21, 94.7) 88-75 -5.22 2.25 0.01 1.06 4.82
3 A Duquesne (18-15, 95.9) 83-79 -3.95 3.52 0.01 1.06 7.52
3 H George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 86-99 -3.86 3.61 -0.01 1.06 -2.06
3 A Radford (16-17, 94.5) 96-83 -5.37 2.10 0.01 1.06 4.50
3 A Radford (16-17, 94.5) 96-83 -5.37 2.10 0.01 1.06 4.50
3 A Towson (19-15, 95.5) 84-70 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.06 6.54
3 A Stony Brook (17-15, 95.0) 76-57 -4.89 2.59 0.01 1.06 5.54
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 79-88 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.06 -2.13
3 H Monmouth (19-15, 95.3) 70-81 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 1.06 -2.45
3 H Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 58-64 -4.83 2.64 -0.01 1.06 -2.58
3 A NC A&T (11-19, 94.3) 97-89 -5.56 1.92 0.01 1.06 4.11
3 A UNC-Wilm (27- 7, 96.3) 77-70 -3.61 3.86 0.01 1.06 8.25
3 A Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 89-82 -3.78 3.70 0.01 1.06 7.89
3 H Elon (14-18, 94.9) 76-79 -5.01 2.46 -0.01 1.06 -2.67
3 H Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 96-** -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.06 -2.43
3 A UNC-Wilm (27- 7, 96.3) 85-78 -3.61 3.86 0.01 1.06 8.25
3 H Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 74-77 -5.40 2.08 -0.01 1.06 -2.88
3 A Northeastern ( 7-24, 94.1) 94-67 -5.79 1.68 0.01 1.06 3.61
3 H Elon (14-18, 94.9) 78-81 -5.01 2.46 -0.01 1.06 -2.67
3 H Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 83-84 -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.06 -2.43
3 A Northeastern ( 7-24, 94.1) 84-77 -5.79 1.68 0.01 1.06 3.61
3 A NC A&T (11-19, 94.3) 91-88 -5.56 1.92 0.01 1.06 4.11
3 A Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 94-85 -5.40 2.08 0.01 1.06 4.44
3 A Elon (14-18, 94.9) 72-62 -5.01 2.46 0.01 1.06 5.27
3 H Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 61-92 -3.78 3.70 -0.01 1.06 -2.02
------
75.52
|
winning pts = 102.8343 losing points = -27.3163
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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