Xavier
W-L: (15-18) PR = 96.9541Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Marist MAAC (19-12, 95.2) 66-62 1106 A Le Moyne NE L (15-17, 94.1) 74-69 1110 H Santa Clara WC (26- 9, 97.5) 68-87 1114 H Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 62-81 1118 A Old Dominion SB (12-21, 94.7) 99-69 1121 H Georgia SEC (23-11, 97.8) 77-78 1123 A West Va B12 (22-13, 97.7) 78-68 1128 A TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 88-67 1201 A St Francis NE S ( 7-24, 92.9) 96-74 1205 A Cincinnati B12 (18-15, 97.4) 79-74 1212 A Missouri St CUSA (17-17, 95.3) 75-57 1217 H Creighton BE (16-18, 97.0) 57-98 1220 A Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 80-77 1231 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 67-90 103 H DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 77-86 107 H Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 65-66 110 A Providence BE (15-18, 96.9) 97-84 114 A Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 89-75 121 H Creighton BE (16-18, 97.0) 93-94 124 H St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 83-88 128 H Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 68-86 131 A DePaul BE (16-16, 96.7) 68-66 203 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 60-92 209 H St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 82-87 214 A Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 96-88 217 H Villanova BE (24- 9, 98.1) 89-92 221 H Butler BE (16-16, 96.9) 75-80 225 H Providence BE (15-18, 96.9) 84-94 228 A Georgetown BE (16-17, 96.9) 91-84 303 H Seton Hall BE (21-12, 97.6) 68-77 307 H Villanova BE (24- 9, 98.1) 78-91 311 A Marquette BE (12-20, 96.5) 89-87 312 H Connecticut BE (33- 6, 99.1) 68-93
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Marist 66-62 4 2 0.23
1106 A Le Moyne 74-69 5 3 0.00
1110 H Santa Clara 68-87 -19 -1 -1.47
1114 H Iowa 62-81 -19 -1 -1.06
1118 A Old Dominion 99-69 30 2 0.00
1121 H Georgia 77-78 -1 -1 -0.19
1123 A West Va 78-68 10 -1 + 2.72
1128 A TX A&M-CC 88-67 21 2 0.30
1201 A St Francis 96-74 22 4 0.00
1205 A Cincinnati 79-74 5 0 + 2.43
1212 A Missouri St 75-57 18 2 0.35
1217 H Creighton 57-98 -41 0 -1.96
1220 A Georgetown 80-77 3 0 1.94
1231 H Connecticut 67-90 -23 -2 0.00
103 H DePaul 77-86 -9 0 - -2.31
107 H Marquette 65-66 -1 0 -1.49
110 A Providence 97-84 13 0 1.99
114 A Butler 89-75 14 0 2.00
121 H Creighton 93-94 -1 0 -0.96
124 H St. John's 83-88 -5 -2 -0.27
128 H Seton Hall 68-86 -18 -1 -1.41
131 A DePaul 68-66 2 0 1.71
203 H Connecticut 60-92 -32 -2 0.00
209 H St. John's 82-87 -5 -2 -0.27
214 A Marquette 96-88 8 0 1.53
217 H Villanova 89-92 -3 -1 -0.89
221 H Butler 75-80 -5 0 - -2.02
225 H Providence 84-94 -10 0 - -2.03
228 A Georgetown 91-84 7 0 1.94
303 H Seton Hall 68-77 -9 -1 -1.41
307 H Villanova 78-91 -13 -1 -0.89
311 A Marquette 89-87 2 0 1.53
312 H Connecticut 68-93 -25 -2 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H DePaul 77-86 -9 0 - -2.31 221 H Butler 75-80 -5 0 - -2.02 225 H Providence 84-94 -10 0 - -2.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1123 A West Va 78-68 10 -1 + 2.72 1205 A Cincinnati 79-74 5 0 + 2.43 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Marist (19-12, 95.2) 66-62 -4.73 2.75 0.01 1.00 5.52
3 A Le Moyne (15-17, 94.1) 74-69 -5.83 1.64 0.01 1.00 3.31
3 H Santa Clara (26- 9, 97.5) 68-87 -2.40 5.07 -0.01 1.00 -1.21
3 H Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 62-81 -2.00 5.48 -0.01 1.00 -1.01
3 A Old Dominion (12-21, 94.7) 99-69 -5.22 2.25 0.01 1.00 4.53
3 H Georgia (23-11, 97.8) 77-78 -2.13 5.35 -0.01 1.00 -1.07
3 A West Va (22-13, 97.7) 78-68 -2.24 5.24 0.01 1.00 10.50
3 A TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 88-67 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.00 5.66
3 A St Francis ( 7-24, 92.9) 96-74 -6.96 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 A Cincinnati (18-15, 97.4) 79-74 -2.53 4.95 0.01 1.00 9.92
3 A Missouri St (17-17, 95.3) 75-57 -4.61 2.87 0.01 1.00 5.76
3 H Creighton (16-18, 97.0) 57-98 -2.90 4.58 -0.01 1.00 -1.45
3 A Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 80-77 -3.02 4.46 0.01 1.00 8.94
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 67-90 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 1.00 -0.39
3 H DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 77-86 -3.24 4.24 -0.01 1.00 -1.63
3 H Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 65-66 -3.43 4.05 -0.01 1.00 -1.72
3 A Providence (15-18, 96.9) 97-84 -2.97 4.51 0.01 1.00 9.04
3 A Butler (16-16, 96.9) 89-75 -2.96 4.52 0.01 1.00 9.05
3 H Creighton (16-18, 97.0) 93-94 -2.90 4.58 -0.01 1.00 -1.45
3 H St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 83-88 -1.20 6.27 -0.01 1.00 -0.61
3 H Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 68-86 -2.35 5.13 -0.01 1.00 -1.18
3 A DePaul (16-16, 96.7) 68-66 -3.24 4.24 0.01 1.00 8.49
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 60-92 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 1.00 -0.39
3 H St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 82-87 -1.20 6.27 -0.01 1.00 -0.61
3 A Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 96-88 -3.43 4.05 0.01 1.00 8.12
3 H Villanova (24- 9, 98.1) 89-92 -1.83 5.65 -0.01 1.00 -0.92
3 H Butler (16-16, 96.9) 75-80 -2.96 4.52 -0.01 1.00 -1.49
3 H Providence (15-18, 96.9) 84-94 -2.97 4.51 -0.01 1.00 -1.49
3 A Georgetown (16-17, 96.9) 91-84 -3.02 4.46 0.01 1.00 8.94
3 H Seton Hall (21-12, 97.6) 68-77 -2.35 5.13 -0.01 1.00 -1.18
3 H Villanova (24- 9, 98.1) 78-91 -1.83 5.65 -0.01 1.00 -0.92
3 A Marquette (12-20, 96.5) 89-87 -3.43 4.05 0.01 1.00 8.12
3 H Connecticut (33- 6, 99.1) 68-93 -0.77 6.71 -0.01 1.00 -0.39
------
88.83
|
winning pts = 107.9212 losing points = -19.0960
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------