UAlbany
W-L: (12-17) PR = 93.0075Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Marist MAAC (11-21, 92.1) 74-46 1107 H Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 45-64 1110 A Dartmouth IVY ( 7-17, 92.5) 65-41 1115 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 52-64 1119 A Siena MAAC (13-18, 91.8) 67-42 1122 A St. Bonnies A10 (16-16, 93.8) 62-53 1201 A Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 65-62 1203 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-18, 92.0) 60-57 1208 A Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 55-41 1213 A Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 62-46 1218 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 35-64 1221 A Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 52-43 101 H Vermont AE (25- 8, 94.7) 56-72 103 A UMass Lowell AE ( 6-21, 91.8) 74-62 110 H Bryant AE (17-11, 93.5) 55-62 115 H Binghamton AE (17-13, 93.8) 61-63 117 H Vermont AE (25- 8, 94.7) 49-60 122 H Maine AE (18-13, 94.1) 60-65 124 H New Hamp. AE ( 9-20, 92.4) 51-56 129 A NJ Tech AE (19-13, 93.7) 71-54 131 H UMBC AE (15-15, 93.5) 46-55 205 H Bryant AE (17-11, 93.5) 44-50 207 H UMass Lowell AE ( 6-21, 91.8) 45-58 214 A Binghamton AE (17-13, 93.8) 52-41 219 H NJ Tech AE (19-13, 93.7) 64-70 221 A UMBC AE (15-15, 93.5) 69-** 226 H Maine AE (18-13, 94.1) 59-60 228 H New Hamp. AE ( 9-20, 92.4) 42-45 305 H Vermont AE (25- 8, 94.7) 40-55
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Marist 74-46 28 1 1.10
1107 H Syracuse 45-64 -19 -3 0.00
1110 A Dartmouth 65-41 24 0 1.51
1115 H Rhode Island 52-64 -12 -3 0.00
1119 A Siena 67-42 25 1 0.82
1122 A St. Bonnies 62-53 9 -1 + 2.75
1201 A Bucknell 65-62 3 1 1.41
1203 A Sacred Heart 60-57 3 1 1.02
1208 A Colgate 55-41 14 1 0.87
1213 A Boston Univ 62-46 16 0 1.56
1218 H Vanderbilt 35-64 -29 -5 0.00
1221 A Hofstra 52-43 9 0 1.54
101 H Vermont 56-72 -16 -2 -0.32
103 A UMass Lowell 74-62 12 1 0.77
110 H Bryant 55-62 -7 -1 -1.48
115 H Binghamton 61-63 -2 -1 -1.23
117 H Vermont 49-60 -11 -2 -0.32
122 H Maine 60-65 -5 -1 -0.96
124 H New Hamp. 51-56 -5 1 - -2.59
129 A NJ Tech 71-54 17 -1 + 2.66
131 H UMBC 46-55 -9 -1 -1.49
205 H Bryant 44-50 -6 -1 -1.48
207 H UMass Lowell 45-58 -13 1 - -3.25
214 A Binghamton 52-41 11 -1 + 2.79
219 H NJ Tech 64-70 -6 -1 -1.36
221 A UMBC 69-** -51 -1 -1.47
226 H Maine 59-60 -1 -1 0.04
228 H New Hamp. 42-45 -3 1 - -2.59
305 H Vermont 40-55 -15 -2 -0.32
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 124 H New Hamp. 51-56 -5 1 - -2.59 207 H UMass Lowell 45-58 -13 1 - -3.25 228 H New Hamp. 42-45 -3 1 - -2.59 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1122 A St. Bonnies 62-53 9 -1 + 2.75 129 A NJ Tech 71-54 17 -1 + 2.66 214 A Binghamton 52-41 11 -1 + 2.79 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Marist (11-21, 92.1) 74-46 -7.80 3.16 0.01 1.05 6.64
0 H Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 45-64 -3.41 7.55 -0.01 1.05 -1.79
0 A Dartmouth ( 7-17, 92.5) 65-41 -7.39 3.57 0.01 1.05 7.49
0 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 52-64 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 1.05 -2.01
0 A Siena (13-18, 91.8) 67-42 -8.08 2.88 0.01 1.05 6.05
0 A St. Bonnies (16-16, 93.8) 62-53 -6.15 4.81 0.01 1.05 10.09
0 A Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 65-62 -7.49 3.47 0.01 1.05 7.28
0 A Sacred Heart (14-18, 92.0) 60-57 -7.88 3.08 0.01 1.05 6.46
0 A Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 55-41 -8.03 2.93 0.01 1.05 6.15
0 A Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 62-46 -7.34 3.62 0.01 1.05 7.59
0 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 35-64 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 1.05 -0.97
0 A Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 52-43 -7.36 3.60 0.01 1.05 7.55
0 H Vermont (25- 8, 94.7) 56-72 -5.20 5.76 -0.01 1.05 -2.73
0 A UMass Lowell ( 6-21, 91.8) 74-62 -8.14 2.82 0.01 1.05 5.93
0 H Bryant (17-11, 93.5) 55-62 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 1.05 -3.33
0 H Binghamton (17-13, 93.8) 61-63 -6.12 4.84 -0.01 1.05 -3.21
0 H Vermont (25- 8, 94.7) 49-60 -5.20 5.76 -0.01 1.05 -2.73
0 H Maine (18-13, 94.1) 60-65 -5.84 5.12 -0.01 1.05 -3.06
0 H New Hamp. ( 9-20, 92.4) 51-56 -7.47 3.49 -0.01 1.05 -3.91
0 A NJ Tech (19-13, 93.7) 71-54 -6.24 4.72 0.01 1.05 9.89
0 H UMBC (15-15, 93.5) 46-55 -6.37 4.59 -0.01 1.05 -3.34
0 H Bryant (17-11, 93.5) 44-50 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 1.05 -3.33
0 H UMass Lowell ( 6-21, 91.8) 45-58 -8.14 2.82 -0.01 1.05 -4.26
0 A Binghamton (17-13, 93.8) 52-41 -6.12 4.84 0.01 1.05 10.16
0 H NJ Tech (19-13, 93.7) 64-70 -6.24 4.72 -0.01 1.05 -3.27
0 A UMBC (15-15, 93.5) 69-** -6.37 4.59 0.01 1.05 -3.33
0 H Maine (18-13, 94.1) 59-60 -5.84 5.12 -0.01 1.05 -3.06
0 H New Hamp. ( 9-20, 92.4) 42-45 -7.47 3.49 -0.01 1.05 -3.91
0 H Vermont (25- 8, 94.7) 40-55 -5.20 5.76 -0.01 1.05 -2.73
------
40.32
|
winning pts = 91.2951 losing points = -50.9726
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------