Alcorn St
W-L: (16-14) PR = 92.5061Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Nicholls SL (14-16, 92.6) 66-72 1110 H Alabama SEC A (24-11, 97.1) 39-92 1112 A ARKBA 81-65 1120 H LSU SEC (29- 6, 98.2) 49-** 1124 H Miss St SEC M (18-13, 96.0) 51-65 1125 H Providence BE (14-19, 94.2) 33-64 1201 A RUST 72-32 1215 H UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 32-70 1218 H Auburn SEC A (15-17, 95.6) 50-62 1228 H Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 44-64 103 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 49-45 108 A Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) 49-40 110 H Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 34-76 115 A Prairie View SWAC ( 0-28, 88.9) 59-43 117 A TX Southern SWAC T ( 6-20, 91.0) 66-51 122 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 56-51 124 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 61-48 131 A Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) 69-56 202 A Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 61-58 205 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 75-72 207 H AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 60-64 212 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 62-50 214 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 66-57 221 H Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 49-52 226 A TX Southern SWAC T ( 6-20, 91.0) 68-54 228 A Prairie View SWAC ( 0-28, 88.9) 48-38 303 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 67-56 305 H AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 61-66 311 H AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 60-64 321 H So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 65-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Nicholls 66-72 -6 0 -1.88
1110 H Alabama 39-92 -53 -5 0.00
1120 H LSU 49-** -63 -6 0.00
1124 H Miss St 51-65 -14 -3 0.00
1125 H Providence 33-64 -31 -2 -0.28
1215 H UAB 32-70 -38 -1 -1.03
1218 H Auburn 50-62 -12 -3 0.00
1228 H Ole Miss 44-64 -20 -5 0.00
103 A Jackson St 49-45 4 1 1.43
108 A Alabama St 49-40 9 0 + 2.16
110 H Alabama A&M 34-76 -42 -1 -0.97
115 A Prairie View 59-43 16 4 0.00
117 A TX Southern 66-51 15 2 0.50
122 A Beth-Cook 56-51 5 2 0.45
124 A Florida A&M 61-48 13 1 1.18
131 A Southern 69-56 13 -1 + 2.74
202 A Grambling St 61-58 3 1 1.49
205 A Miss Val St 75-72 3 1 0.81
207 H AK-Pine Bl 60-64 -4 0 - -2.04
212 A Florida A&M 62-50 12 1 1.18
214 A Beth-Cook 66-57 9 2 0.45
221 H Jackson St 49-52 -3 1 - -2.59
226 A TX Southern 68-54 14 2 0.50
228 A Prairie View 48-38 10 4 0.00
303 A Miss Val St 67-56 11 1 0.81
305 H AK-Pine Bl 61-66 -5 0 - -2.04
311 H AK-Pine Bl 60-64 -4 0 - -2.04
321 H So Alabama 65-73 -8 -1 -0.83
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H AK-Pine Bl 60-64 -4 0 - -2.04 221 H Jackson St 49-52 -3 1 - -2.59 305 H AK-Pine Bl 61-66 -5 0 - -2.04 311 H AK-Pine Bl 60-64 -4 0 - -2.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 108 A Alabama St 49-40 9 0 + 2.16 131 A Southern 69-56 13 -1 + 2.74 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Nicholls (14-16, 92.6) 66-72 -7.27 3.69 -0.01 1.08 -3.94
3 H Alabama (24-11, 97.1) 39-92 -2.77 8.19 -0.01 1.08 -1.51
3 H LSU (29- 6, 98.2) 49-** -1.71 9.25 -0.01 1.08 -0.93
3 H Miss St (18-13, 96.0) 51-65 -3.94 7.02 -0.01 1.08 -2.14
3 H Providence (14-19, 94.2) 33-64 -5.67 5.29 -0.01 1.08 -3.08
3 H UAB (11-19, 93.5) 32-70 -6.41 4.55 -0.01 1.08 -3.48
3 H Auburn (15-17, 95.6) 50-62 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 1.08 -2.33
3 H Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 44-64 -2.82 8.14 -0.01 1.08 -1.54
3 A Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 49-45 -7.97 2.99 0.01 1.08 6.50
3 A Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) 49-40 -7.24 3.72 0.01 1.08 8.08
3 H Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 34-76 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 1.08 -3.45
3 A Prairie View ( 0-28, 88.9) 59-43 -10.96 1.00 0.01 1.08 2.19
3 A TX Southern ( 6-20, 91.0) 66-51 -8.91 2.05 0.01 1.08 4.47
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 56-51 -8.95 2.01 0.01 1.08 4.38
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 61-48 -8.23 2.73 0.01 1.08 5.95
3 A Southern (18-14, 93.2) 69-56 -6.66 4.30 0.01 1.08 9.34
3 A Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 61-58 -7.92 3.04 0.01 1.08 6.62
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 75-72 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.08 5.16
3 H AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 60-64 -7.42 3.54 -0.01 1.08 -4.03
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 62-50 -8.23 2.73 0.01 1.08 5.95
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 66-57 -8.95 2.01 0.01 1.08 4.38
3 H Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 49-52 -7.97 2.99 -0.01 1.08 -4.33
3 A TX Southern ( 6-20, 91.0) 68-54 -8.91 2.05 0.01 1.08 4.47
3 A Prairie View ( 0-28, 88.9) 48-38 -10.96 1.00 0.01 1.08 2.19
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 67-56 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.08 5.16
3 H AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 61-66 -7.42 3.54 -0.01 1.08 -4.03
3 H AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 60-64 -7.42 3.54 -0.01 1.08 -4.03
3 H So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 65-73 -6.22 4.74 -0.01 1.08 -3.38
------
32.65
|
winning pts = 74.8285 losing points = -42.1758
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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