App State
W-L: ( 9-20) PR = 93.2543Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 65-45 1112 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 55-74 1116 A Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 77-50 1120 H West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 51-80 1122 A UNC-Ash BSO (11-19, 91.5) 64-40 1125 A Norfolk St MEAC (17-15, 92.8) 66-38 1201 A Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 63-53 1207 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 59-78 1217 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 62-75 1220 H Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 54-67 103 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 48-53 107 H Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 53-69 110 A So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 82-59 114 H Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 54-65 114 H Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 54-65 117 H Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 57-79 121 H TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 49-63 123 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 68-48 129 A So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 60-57 130 H LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 70-78 204 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 59-69 207 H Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 63-68 211 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 53-60 214 A Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 73-67 218 H Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 64-65 221 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 48-74 225 H Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 48-62 227 H Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 65-75 303 H So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 57-68
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A We Michigan 65-45 20 0 1.59
1112 H Davidson 55-74 -19 -2 -0.24
1116 A Wofford 77-50 27 0 1.92
1120 H West Va 51-80 -29 -4 0.00
1122 A UNC-Ash 64-40 24 2 0.29
1125 A Norfolk St 66-38 28 0 1.53
1201 A Gardner-Webb 63-53 10 1 0.67
1207 H Clemson 59-78 -19 -3 0.00
1217 H Marshall 62-75 -13 -2 -0.16
1220 H Georgia So 54-67 -13 -2 -0.01
103 H Marshall 48-53 -5 -2 -0.16
107 H Coastal Car 53-69 -16 0 -1.70
110 A So Miss 82-59 23 -1 + 2.51
114 H Old Dominion 54-65 -11 -1 -0.78
114 H Old Dominion 54-65 -11 -1 -0.78
117 H Georgia St 57-79 -22 0 - -2.07
121 H TX St-SM 49-63 -14 0 - -2.30
123 A Louisiana 68-48 20 1 0.94
129 A So Alabama 60-57 3 0 + 2.44
130 H LA-Monroe 70-78 -8 -1 -1.29
204 H Troy 59-69 -10 -2 0.00
207 H Kent State 63-68 -5 -1 -1.29
211 H Jam Madison 53-60 -7 -2 0.00
214 A Georgia St 73-67 6 0 1.95
218 H Coastal Car 64-65 -1 0 -0.70
221 H Jam Madison 48-74 -26 -2 0.00
225 H Georgia So 48-62 -14 -2 -0.01
227 H Old Dominion 65-75 -10 -1 -0.78
303 H So Alabama 57-68 -11 0 -1.58
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 117 H Georgia St 57-79 -22 0 - -2.07 121 H TX St-SM 49-63 -14 0 - -2.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 A So Miss 82-59 23 -1 + 2.51 129 A So Alabama 60-57 3 0 + 2.44 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 65-45 -7.06 3.90 0.01 1.05 8.18
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 55-74 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 1.05 -2.56
3 A Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 77-50 -6.73 4.23 0.01 1.05 8.87
3 H West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 51-80 -2.60 8.36 -0.01 1.05 -1.36
3 A UNC-Ash (11-19, 91.5) 64-40 -8.37 2.59 0.01 1.05 5.45
3 A Norfolk St (17-15, 92.8) 66-38 -7.12 3.84 0.01 1.05 8.05
3 A Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 63-53 -7.98 2.98 0.01 1.05 6.25
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 59-78 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 1.05 -2.00
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 62-75 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 1.05 -2.52
3 H Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 54-67 -4.64 6.32 -0.01 1.05 -2.43
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 48-53 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 1.05 -2.52
3 H Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 53-69 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.05 -3.32
3 A So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 82-59 -6.14 4.82 0.01 1.05 10.11
3 H Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 54-65 -5.42 5.54 -0.01 1.05 -2.84
3 H Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 54-65 -5.42 5.54 -0.01 1.05 -2.84
3 H Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 57-79 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 1.05 -3.51
3 H TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 49-63 -6.94 4.02 -0.01 1.05 -3.64
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 68-48 -7.72 3.24 0.01 1.05 6.81
3 A So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 60-57 -6.22 4.74 0.01 1.05 9.95
3 H LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 70-78 -5.92 5.04 -0.01 1.05 -3.11
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 59-69 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 1.05 -2.37
3 H Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 63-68 -5.93 5.03 -0.01 1.05 -3.11
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 53-60 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 1.05 -2.23
3 A Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 73-67 -6.70 4.26 0.01 1.05 8.93
3 H Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 64-65 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.05 -3.32
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 48-74 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 1.05 -2.23
3 H Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 48-62 -4.64 6.32 -0.01 1.05 -2.43
3 H Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 65-75 -5.42 5.54 -0.01 1.05 -2.84
3 H So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 57-68 -6.22 4.74 -0.01 1.05 -3.26
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18.16
|
winning pts = 72.5888 losing points = -54.4330
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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