Arizona St
W-L: (24-11) PR = 96.1907Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 67-53 1108 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 73-58 1113 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 79-47 1116 A Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 82-77 1122 A UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 56-53 1125 A Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 81-54 1128 A Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 59-41 1129 A SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 85-56 1205 A McNeese SL (27- 6, 95.1) 57-47 1206 A San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 67-44 1209 A Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 74-60 1214 A Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 55-53 1216 A Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 68-66 1221 A Colorado B12 (23-12, 96.4) 79-63 1231 A Utah B12 (17-14, 95.8) 69-68 103 H BYU B12 (24-12, 96.1) 62-71 107 A UCF B12 (11-20, 94.4) 68-45 111 H TCU B12 (33- 5, 97.6) 46-77 117 A Kansas B12 (22-14, 96.0) 67-51 121 H West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 43-53 124 H Cincinnati B12 (11-20, 94.8) 64-66 128 A Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 68-61 201 H Kansas St B12 (18-18, 95.8) 67-74 204 A Oklahoma St B12 (23-11, 96.6) 74-69 207 H Baylor B12 (25- 9, 97.0) 64-67 211 A Utah B12 (17-14, 95.8) 71-61 214 A Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 75-69 218 H Iowa St B12 (21-11, 96.2) 64-90 221 A Houston B12 ( 7-23, 94.2) 81-56 225 H BYU B12 (24-12, 96.1) 61-66 301 H Texas Tech B12 (26- 8, 96.6) 51-58 304 A Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 54-51 305 A Iowa St B12 (21-11, 96.2) 77-68 306 H West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 54-67 319 H Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 55-57
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Coppin St 67-53 14 4 0.00
1108 A Ea Wash 73-58 15 3 0.00
1113 A San Diego 79-47 32 3 0.00
1116 A Santa Clara 82-77 5 1 0.96
1122 A UNLV 56-53 3 1 0.82
1125 A Utah Tech 81-54 27 4 0.00
1128 A Little Rock 59-41 18 3 0.00
1129 A SE MO St 85-56 29 3 0.00
1205 A McNeese 57-47 10 1 0.93
1206 A San Fran 67-44 23 2 0.28
1209 A Penn St 74-60 14 1 1.29
1214 A Oregon State 55-53 2 1 1.11
1216 A Gonzaga 68-66 2 1 1.41
1221 A Colorado 79-63 16 0 + 2.20
1231 A Utah 69-68 1 0 0.63
103 H BYU 62-71 -9 0 - -2.09
107 A UCF 68-45 23 2 0.25
111 H TCU 46-77 -31 -1 -0.58
117 A Kansas 67-51 16 0 1.86
121 H West Va 43-53 -10 -1 -0.90
124 H Cincinnati 64-66 -2 1 - -3.45
128 A Arizona 68-61 7 2 0.49
201 H Kansas St 67-74 -7 0 - -2.43
204 A Oklahoma St 74-69 5 0 + 2.43
207 H Baylor 64-67 -3 -1 -1.17
211 A Utah 71-61 10 0 1.63
214 A Arizona 75-69 6 2 0.49
218 H Iowa St 64-90 -26 0 -1.99
221 A Houston 81-56 25 2 0.00
225 H BYU 61-66 -5 0 - -2.09
301 H Texas Tech 51-58 -7 0 -1.61
304 A Arizona 54-51 3 2 0.49
305 A Iowa St 77-68 9 0 + 2.03
306 H West Va 54-67 -13 -1 -0.90
319 H Virginia 55-57 -2 0 - -2.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H BYU 62-71 -9 0 - -2.09 124 H Cincinnati 64-66 -2 1 - -3.45 201 H Kansas St 67-74 -7 0 - -2.43 225 H BYU 61-66 -5 0 - -2.09 319 H Virginia 55-57 -2 0 - -2.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1221 A Colorado 79-63 16 0 + 2.20 204 A Oklahoma St 74-69 5 0 + 2.43 305 A Iowa St 77-68 9 0 + 2.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 67-53 -8.14 2.82 0.01 0.87 4.90
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 73-58 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.87 7.61
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 79-47 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.87 7.54
3 A Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 82-77 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.87 10.76
3 A UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 56-53 -4.90 6.06 0.01 0.87 10.53
3 A Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 81-54 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.87 6.28
3 A Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 59-41 -6.30 4.66 0.01 0.87 8.10
3 A SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 85-56 -6.59 4.37 0.01 0.87 7.60
3 A McNeese (27- 6, 95.1) 57-47 -4.79 6.17 0.01 0.87 10.72
3 A San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 67-44 -5.44 5.52 0.01 0.87 9.59
3 A Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 74-60 -4.43 6.53 0.01 0.87 11.35
3 A Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 55-53 -4.61 6.35 0.01 0.87 11.03
3 A Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 68-66 -4.31 6.65 0.01 0.87 11.55
3 A Colorado (23-12, 96.4) 79-63 -3.52 7.44 0.01 0.87 12.92
3 A Utah (17-14, 95.8) 69-68 -4.09 6.87 0.01 0.87 11.94
3 H BYU (24-12, 96.1) 62-71 -3.79 7.17 -0.01 0.87 -1.65
3 A UCF (11-20, 94.4) 68-45 -5.47 5.49 0.01 0.87 9.53
3 H TCU (33- 5, 97.6) 46-77 -2.28 8.68 -0.01 0.87 -0.99
3 A Kansas (22-14, 96.0) 67-51 -3.86 7.10 0.01 0.87 12.34
3 H West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 43-53 -2.60 8.36 -0.01 0.87 -1.13
3 H Cincinnati (11-20, 94.8) 64-66 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 0.87 -2.23
3 A Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 68-61 -5.23 5.73 0.01 0.87 9.95
3 H Kansas St (18-18, 95.8) 67-74 -4.13 6.84 -0.01 0.87 -1.79
3 A Oklahoma St (23-11, 96.6) 74-69 -3.29 7.67 0.01 0.87 13.31
3 H Baylor (25- 9, 97.0) 64-67 -2.87 8.09 -0.01 0.87 -1.25
3 A Utah (17-14, 95.8) 71-61 -4.09 6.87 0.01 0.87 11.94
3 A Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 75-69 -5.23 5.73 0.01 0.87 9.95
3 H Iowa St (21-11, 96.2) 64-90 -3.69 7.27 -0.01 0.87 -1.61
3 A Houston ( 7-23, 94.2) 81-56 -5.74 5.22 0.01 0.87 9.07
3 H BYU (24-12, 96.1) 61-66 -3.79 7.17 -0.01 0.87 -1.65
3 H Texas Tech (26- 8, 96.6) 51-58 -3.31 7.65 -0.01 0.87 -1.44
3 A Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 54-51 -5.23 5.73 0.01 0.87 9.95
3 A Iowa St (21-11, 96.2) 77-68 -3.69 7.27 0.01 0.87 12.62
3 H West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 54-67 -2.60 8.36 -0.01 0.87 -1.13
3 H Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 55-57 -3.77 7.19 -0.01 0.87 -1.64
------
224.57
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winning pts = 241.0858 losing points = -16.5111
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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