Little Rock
W-L: (13-14) PR = 93.5987Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 H Memphis AME (10-21, 93.3) 62-64 1115 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 67-76 1120 H Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 57-96 1128 H Arizona St B12 (24-11, 96.2) 41-59 1129 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 51-37 1202 H UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 55-62 1206 A Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 57-48 1211 H Oklahoma SEC O (26- 8, 97.8) 48-** 1216 A Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 76-63 101 A Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 51-44 103 A Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 76-39 108 A SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 48-45 110 H Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 43-71 115 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 55-47 117 H We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 59-75 122 H SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 57-67 129 A Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 60-54 131 H Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 47-72 203 A UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 68-53 205 H Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 54-92 207 A SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 73-64 212 H We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 73-84 214 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 73-53 219 A UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 65-57 221 H SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 62-71 226 A Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 73-68 304 H SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 65-68
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Memphis 62-64 -2 0 - -2.33
1115 H Arkansas St 67-76 -9 -1 -0.68
1120 H Arkansas 57-96 -39 -1 -0.87
1128 H Arizona St 41-59 -18 -3 0.00
1129 A San Diego 51-37 14 0 1.69
1202 H UT Arlington 55-62 -7 0 - -2.45
1206 A Ce Arkansas 57-48 9 -1 + 2.52
1211 H Oklahoma 48-** -55 -4 0.00
1216 A Morehead St 76-63 13 0 + 2.13
101 A Tenn Tech 51-44 7 0 1.98
103 A Tenn St 76-39 37 1 0.60
108 A SIUE 48-45 3 0 1.81
110 H Lindenwood 43-71 -28 -1 -0.96
115 A Ea Illinois 55-47 8 2 0.32
117 H We Illinois 59-75 -16 -1 -0.80
122 H SE MO St 57-67 -10 0 - -2.30
129 A Tenn St 60-54 6 1 0.60
131 H Tenn Tech 47-72 -25 0 - -2.04
203 A UT Martin 68-53 15 1 1.42
205 H Lindenwood 54-92 -38 -1 -0.96
207 A SIUE 73-64 9 0 1.81
212 H We Illinois 73-84 -11 -1 -0.80
214 A Ea Illinois 73-53 20 2 0.32
219 A UT Martin 65-57 8 1 1.42
221 H SE MO St 62-71 -9 0 - -2.30
226 A Morehead St 73-68 5 0 + 2.13
304 H SE MO St 65-68 -3 0 - -2.30
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 H Memphis 62-64 -2 0 - -2.33 1202 H UT Arlington 55-62 -7 0 - -2.45 122 H SE MO St 57-67 -10 0 - -2.30 131 H Tenn Tech 47-72 -25 0 - -2.04 221 H SE MO St 62-71 -9 0 - -2.30 304 H SE MO St 65-68 -3 0 - -2.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1206 A Ce Arkansas 57-48 9 -1 + 2.52 1216 A Morehead St 76-63 13 0 + 2.13 226 A Morehead St 73-68 5 0 + 2.13 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Memphis (10-21, 93.3) 62-64 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.12 -3.72
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 67-76 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 1.12 -2.80
3 H Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 57-96 -5.16 5.80 -0.01 1.12 -2.90
3 H Arizona St (24-11, 96.2) 41-59 -3.71 7.25 -0.01 1.12 -2.09
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 51-37 -6.62 4.34 0.01 1.12 9.78
3 H UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 55-62 -6.75 4.21 -0.01 1.12 -3.80
3 A Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 57-48 -5.79 5.17 0.01 1.12 11.64
3 H Oklahoma (26- 8, 97.8) 48-** -2.14 8.82 -0.01 1.12 -1.21
3 A Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 76-63 -6.18 4.78 0.01 1.12 10.78
3 A Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 51-44 -6.33 4.63 0.01 1.12 10.44
3 A Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 76-39 -7.71 3.25 0.01 1.12 7.33
3 A SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 48-45 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.12 10.04
3 H Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 43-71 -5.26 5.70 -0.01 1.12 -2.96
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 55-47 -7.99 2.97 0.01 1.12 6.71
3 H We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 59-75 -5.09 5.87 -0.01 1.12 -2.87
3 H SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 57-67 -6.59 4.37 -0.01 1.12 -3.71
3 A Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 60-54 -7.71 3.25 0.01 1.12 7.33
3 H Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 47-72 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.12 -3.56
3 A UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 68-53 -6.89 4.07 0.01 1.12 9.18
3 H Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 54-92 -5.26 5.70 -0.01 1.12 -2.96
3 A SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 73-64 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.12 10.04
3 H We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 73-84 -5.09 5.87 -0.01 1.12 -2.87
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 73-53 -7.99 2.97 0.01 1.12 6.71
3 A UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 65-57 -6.89 4.07 0.01 1.12 9.18
3 H SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 62-71 -6.59 4.37 -0.01 1.12 -3.71
3 A Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 73-68 -6.18 4.78 0.01 1.12 10.78
3 H SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 65-68 -6.59 4.37 -0.01 1.12 -3.71
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77.06
|
winning pts = 119.9228 losing points = -42.8621
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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