AK-Pine Bl
W-L: (15-16) PR = 92.4793Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Memphis AME (10-21, 93.3) 69-64 1107 H Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 49-** 1112 H Sam Houston CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 44-78 1116 H LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 50-79 1118 H La Tech CUSA (24- 7, 95.1) 49-73 1125 H So Dakota SM (24-10, 94.6) 41-73 1201 A No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 50-48 1204 A ARKBA 85-51 1216 H TCU B12 (33- 5, 97.6) 54-** 1218 H Tulsa AME (19-12, 94.6) 43-67 101 H Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) 65-71 103 H Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 49-72 108 A Prairie View SWAC ( 0-28, 88.9) 53-49 110 H TX Southern SWAC T ( 6-20, 91.0) 57-80 115 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 77-54 117 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 63-53 122 H Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 54-65 124 H Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) 65-80 131 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 68-66 205 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 74-68 207 A Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) 64-60 212 H Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 54-82 214 H Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) 71-79 219 A TX Southern SWAC T ( 6-20, 91.0) 68-62 221 A Prairie View SWAC ( 0-28, 88.9) 81-56 228 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 68-48 303 H Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 59-63 305 A Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) 66-61 310 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 81-74 311 A Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) 64-60 313 H Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) 59-72
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Memphis 69-64 5 -1 + 2.81
1107 H Arkansas 49-** -52 -2 0.00
1112 H Sam Houston 44-78 -34 -2 -0.32
1116 H LA-Monroe 50-79 -29 -1 -0.51
1118 H La Tech 49-73 -24 -3 0.00
1125 H So Dakota 41-73 -32 -2 0.00
1201 A No Alabama 50-48 2 -1 + 2.93
1216 H TCU 54-** -55 -5 0.00
1218 H Tulsa 43-67 -24 -2 0.00
101 H Alabama St 65-71 -6 0 -1.83
103 H Alabama A&M 49-72 -23 -1 -0.95
108 A Prairie View 53-49 4 4 0.00
110 H TX Southern 57-80 -23 1 - -3.50
115 A Beth-Cook 77-54 23 2 0.48
117 A Florida A&M 63-53 10 1 1.20
122 H Grambling St 54-65 -11 1 - -2.50
124 H Southern 65-80 -15 -1 -1.25
131 A Miss Val St 68-66 2 1 0.84
205 A Jackson St 74-68 6 1 1.46
207 A Alcorn St 64-60 4 0 + 2.04
212 H Alabama A&M 54-82 -28 -1 -0.95
214 H Alabama St 71-79 -8 0 -1.83
219 A TX Southern 68-62 6 1 0.52
221 A Prairie View 81-56 25 4 0.00
228 A Miss Val St 68-48 20 1 0.84
303 H Jackson St 59-63 -4 1 - -2.56
305 A Alcorn St 66-61 5 0 + 2.04
310 A Miss Val St 81-74 7 1 0.84
311 A Alcorn St 64-60 4 0 + 2.04
313 H Alabama St 59-72 -13 0 -1.83
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 H TX Southern 57-80 -23 1 - -3.50 122 H Grambling St 54-65 -11 1 - -2.50 303 H Jackson St 59-63 -4 1 - -2.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 A Memphis 69-64 5 -1 + 2.81 1201 A No Alabama 50-48 2 -1 + 2.93 207 A Alcorn St 64-60 4 0 + 2.04 305 A Alcorn St 66-61 5 0 + 2.04 311 A Alcorn St 64-60 4 0 + 2.04 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Memphis (10-21, 93.3) 69-64 -6.62 4.34 0.01 1.01 8.81
3 H Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 49-** -5.16 5.80 -0.01 1.01 -2.61
3 H Sam Houston (16-13, 94.2) 44-78 -5.73 5.23 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
3 H LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 50-79 -5.92 5.04 -0.01 1.01 -3.00
3 H La Tech (24- 7, 95.1) 49-73 -4.82 6.14 -0.01 1.01 -2.45
3 H So Dakota (24-10, 94.6) 41-73 -5.31 5.65 -0.01 1.01 -2.69
3 A No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 50-48 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.01 9.05
3 H TCU (33- 5, 97.6) 54-** -2.28 8.68 -0.01 1.01 -1.16
3 H Tulsa (19-12, 94.6) 43-67 -5.34 5.62 -0.01 1.01 -2.70
3 H Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) 65-71 -7.24 3.72 -0.01 1.01 -3.67
3 H Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 49-72 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 1.01 -3.22
3 A Prairie View ( 0-28, 88.9) 53-49 -10.96 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 H TX Southern ( 6-20, 91.0) 57-80 -8.91 2.05 -0.01 1.01 -4.51
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 77-54 -8.95 2.01 0.01 1.01 4.09
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 63-53 -8.23 2.73 0.01 1.01 5.55
3 H Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 54-65 -7.92 3.04 -0.01 1.01 -4.01
3 H Southern (18-14, 93.2) 65-80 -6.66 4.30 -0.01 1.01 -3.37
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 68-66 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.01 4.82
3 A Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 74-68 -7.97 2.99 0.01 1.01 6.06
3 A Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) 64-60 -7.39 3.57 0.01 1.01 7.24
3 H Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 54-82 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 1.01 -3.22
3 H Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) 71-79 -7.24 3.72 -0.01 1.01 -3.67
3 A TX Southern ( 6-20, 91.0) 68-62 -8.91 2.05 0.01 1.01 4.17
3 A Prairie View ( 0-28, 88.9) 81-56 -10.96 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 68-48 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.01 4.82
3 H Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 59-63 -7.97 2.99 -0.01 1.01 -4.04
3 A Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) 66-61 -7.39 3.57 0.01 1.01 7.24
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 81-74 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.01 4.82
3 A Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) 64-60 -7.39 3.57 0.01 1.01 7.24
3 H Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) 59-72 -7.24 3.72 -0.01 1.01 -3.67
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27.07
|
winning pts = 77.9697 losing points = -50.8973
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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