Arkansas St
W-L: (25-10) PR = 94.9305Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 66-68 1107 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-17, 93.2) 87-77 1111 H Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) 75-97 1115 A Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 76-67 1119 H Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 58-81 1123 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 75-69 1128 A Houston B12 ( 7-23, 94.2) 83-66 1130 A Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 74-54 1203 A Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 68-58 1206 A UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 78-66 1217 A LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 79-58 1220 A So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 74-61 1228 A Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 81-72 101 A So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 91-83 103 A LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 89-71 108 A So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) **-67 110 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 64-86 115 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 75-34 117 A So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 81-71 121 A Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 84-55 125 A Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 74-67 129 A Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 69-61 204 A Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 78-70 207 H Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 73-76 211 H Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 60-69 214 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 54-62 218 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 75-61 221 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 92-66 224 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 54-61 227 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 87-53 307 A LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 76-68 308 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 73-83 323 A Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 83-52 327 A PFW HL (21-15, 94.1) 83-72 401 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 62-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Ball St 66-68 -2 0 -1.80
1107 A Tarleton St 87-77 10 2 0.33
1111 H Missouri 75-97 -22 -1 -1.31
1115 A Little Rock 76-67 9 1 0.68
1119 H Ce Arkansas 58-81 -23 1 - -2.83
1123 A Jackson St 75-69 6 3 0.00
1128 A Houston 83-66 17 1 1.24
1130 A Kent State 74-54 20 1 1.05
1203 A Fl Gulf Co 68-58 10 1 0.88
1206 A UT Martin 78-66 12 2 0.09
1217 A LA-Monroe 79-58 21 1 1.06
1220 A So Alabama 74-61 13 1 0.76
1228 A Arkansas 81-72 9 0 1.82
101 A So Miss 91-83 8 1 0.84
103 A LA-Monroe 89-71 18 1 1.06
108 A So Alabama **-67 40 1 0.76
110 H Troy 64-86 -22 0 -1.56
115 A Louisiana 75-34 41 3 0.00
117 A So Miss 81-71 10 1 0.84
121 A Old Dominion 84-55 29 0 1.56
125 A Jam Madison 74-67 7 -1 + 2.73
129 A Georgia St 69-61 8 2 0.28
204 A Coastal Car 78-70 8 1 0.65
207 H Ea Michigan 73-76 -3 1 - -3.48
211 H Georgia So 60-69 -9 0 -1.68
214 H Marshall 54-62 -8 0 -1.84
218 A TX St-SM 75-61 14 2 0.04
221 A Louisiana 92-66 26 3 0.00
224 H Troy 54-61 -7 0 -1.56
227 A TX St-SM 87-53 34 2 0.04
307 A LA-Monroe 76-68 8 1 1.06
308 H Troy 73-83 -10 0 -1.56
323 A Radford 83-52 31 1 0.56
327 A PFW 83-72 11 1 1.16
401 H Marshall 62-69 -7 0 -1.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1119 H Ce Arkansas 58-81 -23 1 - -2.83 207 H Ea Michigan 73-76 -3 1 - -3.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 125 A Jam Madison 74-67 7 -1 + 2.73 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 66-68 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.87 -2.07
3 A Tarleton St (13-17, 93.2) 87-77 -6.65 4.31 0.01 0.87 7.49
3 H Missouri (17-17, 95.6) 75-97 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 0.87 -1.86
3 A Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 76-67 -6.30 4.66 0.01 0.87 8.10
3 H Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 58-81 -5.79 5.17 -0.01 0.87 -2.52
3 A Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 75-69 -7.97 2.99 0.01 0.87 5.20
3 A Houston ( 7-23, 94.2) 83-66 -5.74 5.22 0.01 0.87 9.07
3 A Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 74-54 -5.93 5.03 0.01 0.87 8.75
3 A Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 68-58 -6.10 4.86 0.01 0.87 8.45
3 A UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 78-66 -6.89 4.07 0.01 0.87 7.08
3 A LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 79-58 -5.92 5.04 0.01 0.87 8.75
3 A So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 74-61 -6.22 4.74 0.01 0.87 8.24
3 A Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 81-72 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.87 10.08
3 A So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 91-83 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.87 8.37
3 A LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 89-71 -5.92 5.04 0.01 0.87 8.75
3 A So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) **-67 -6.22 4.74 0.01 0.87 8.24
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 64-86 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 0.87 -1.96
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 75-34 -7.72 3.24 0.01 0.87 5.64
3 A So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 81-71 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.87 8.37
3 A Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 84-55 -5.42 5.54 0.01 0.87 9.63
3 A Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 74-67 -4.25 6.71 0.01 0.87 11.65
3 A Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 69-61 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.87 7.40
3 A Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 78-70 -6.33 4.63 0.01 0.87 8.04
3 H Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 73-76 -6.44 4.52 -0.01 0.87 -2.80
3 H Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 60-69 -4.64 6.32 -0.01 0.87 -2.02
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 54-62 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 0.87 -2.08
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 75-61 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.87 6.99
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 92-66 -7.72 3.24 0.01 0.87 5.64
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 54-61 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 0.87 -1.96
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 87-53 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.87 6.99
3 A LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 76-68 -5.92 5.04 0.01 0.87 8.75
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 73-83 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 0.87 -1.96
3 A Radford (23-13, 93.5) 83-52 -6.42 4.54 0.01 0.87 7.89
3 A PFW (21-15, 94.1) 83-72 -5.82 5.14 0.01 0.87 8.93
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 62-69 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 0.87 -2.08
------
181.18
|
winning pts = 202.4947 losing points = -21.3143
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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