Auburn
W-L: (15-17) PR = 95.6093Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 71-58 1108 A Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) 82-41 1110 A UNCG SO (10-16, 92.2) 64-57 1113 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) **-50 1117 A Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 69-65 1120 A Rutgers B10 ( 9-20, 94.6) 51-46 1124 A Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 59-42 1126 A California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 58-50 1130 H Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 53-58 1203 H Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 60-66 1214 H Seton Hall BE (20-13, 95.4) 63-69 1216 A Middle Tenn CUSA (17-15, 94.1) 68-52 1218 A Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) 62-50 1229 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 64-48 101 H Miss St SEC M (18-13, 96.0) 53-75 104 H Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 56-73 108 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 36-97 111 A Florida SEC (18-15, 95.8) 60-50 115 A Alabama SEC A (24-11, 97.1) 58-54 122 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 53-81 125 H Oklahoma SEC O (26- 8, 97.8) 65-72 129 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 51-81 202 H Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 45-71 205 H Florida SEC (18-15, 95.8) 53-61 208 H LSU SEC (29- 6, 98.2) 44-77 215 H Texas A&M SEC T (14-13, 96.3) 63-81 219 A Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) 71-58 223 H Georgia SEC (22-10, 96.8) 52-74 226 H Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 56-63 301 H Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 41-70 304 A Texas A&M SEC T (14-13, 96.3) 50-49 305 H Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 57-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Charlotte 71-58 13 1 0.73
1108 A Alabama St 82-41 41 3 0.00
1110 A UNCG 64-57 7 3 0.00
1113 A Miss Val St **-50 60 4 0.00
1117 A Georgia St 69-65 4 2 0.00
1120 A Rutgers 51-46 5 1 0.95
1124 A Texas-SA 59-42 17 1 0.96
1126 A California 58-50 8 0 + 2.31
1130 H Oregon 53-58 -5 -1 -0.60
1203 H Syracuse 60-66 -6 -1 -1.13
1214 H Seton Hall 63-69 -6 0 - -2.17
1216 A Middle Tenn 68-52 16 2 0.45
1218 A Alcorn St 62-50 12 3 0.00
1229 A Jackson St 64-48 16 4 0.00
101 H Miss St 53-75 -22 0 -1.65
104 H Tennessee 56-73 -17 -1 -1.06
108 H Texas 36-97 -61 -3 0.00
111 A Florida 60-50 10 0 + 2.19
115 A Alabama 58-54 4 -2 + 3.53
122 H Vanderbilt 53-81 -28 -2 0.00
125 H Oklahoma 65-72 -7 -2 0.00
129 H So Carolina 51-81 -30 -4 0.00
202 H Ole Miss 45-71 -26 -1 -0.54
205 H Florida 53-61 -8 0 -1.83
208 H LSU 44-77 -33 -3 0.00
215 H Texas A&M 63-81 -18 -1 -1.30
219 A Missouri 71-58 13 0 + 2.03
223 H Georgia 52-74 -22 -1 -0.85
226 H Kentucky 56-63 -7 -2 -0.32
301 H Arkansas 41-70 -29 1 - -2.88
304 A Texas A&M 50-49 1 -1 1.72
305 H Ole Miss 57-73 -16 -1 -0.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1214 H Seton Hall 63-69 -6 0 - -2.17 301 H Arkansas 41-70 -29 1 - -2.88 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 A California 58-50 8 0 + 2.31 111 A Florida 60-50 10 0 + 2.19 115 A Alabama 58-54 4 -2 + 3.53 219 A Missouri 71-58 13 0 + 2.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 71-58 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.95 10.23
3 A Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) 82-41 -7.24 3.72 0.01 0.95 7.07
3 A UNCG (10-16, 92.2) 64-57 -7.66 3.30 0.01 0.95 6.28
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) **-50 -8.59 2.37 0.01 0.95 4.52
3 A Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 69-65 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.95 8.09
3 A Rutgers ( 9-20, 94.6) 51-46 -5.35 5.61 0.01 0.95 10.67
3 A Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 59-42 -5.34 5.62 0.01 0.95 10.68
3 A California (22-14, 95.9) 58-50 -3.99 6.97 0.01 0.95 13.24
3 H Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 53-58 -2.88 8.08 -0.01 0.95 -1.37
3 H Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 60-66 -3.41 7.55 -0.01 0.95 -1.62
3 H Seton Hall (20-13, 95.4) 63-69 -4.46 6.51 -0.01 0.95 -2.12
3 A Middle Tenn (17-15, 94.1) 68-52 -5.85 5.11 0.01 0.95 9.71
3 A Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) 62-50 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.95 6.78
3 A Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 64-48 -7.97 2.99 0.01 0.95 5.68
3 H Miss St (18-13, 96.0) 53-75 -3.94 7.02 -0.01 0.95 -1.87
3 H Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 56-73 -3.34 7.62 -0.01 0.95 -1.59
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 36-97 -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.95 -0.39
3 A Florida (18-15, 95.8) 60-50 -4.11 6.85 0.01 0.95 13.00
3 A Alabama (24-11, 97.1) 58-54 -2.77 8.19 0.01 0.95 15.56
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 53-81 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.95 -0.88
3 H Oklahoma (26- 8, 97.8) 65-72 -2.14 8.82 -0.01 0.95 -1.02
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 51-81 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.95 -0.36
3 H Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 45-71 -2.82 8.14 -0.01 0.95 -1.34
3 H Florida (18-15, 95.8) 53-61 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.95 -1.96
3 H LSU (29- 6, 98.2) 44-77 -1.71 9.25 -0.01 0.95 -0.82
3 H Texas A&M (14-13, 96.3) 63-81 -3.58 7.38 -0.01 0.95 -1.70
3 A Missouri (17-17, 95.6) 71-58 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.95 12.70
3 H Georgia (22-10, 96.8) 52-74 -3.13 7.83 -0.01 0.95 -1.49
3 H Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 56-63 -2.61 8.36 -0.01 0.95 -1.24
3 H Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 41-70 -5.16 5.80 -0.01 0.95 -2.45
3 A Texas A&M (14-13, 96.3) 50-49 -3.58 7.38 0.01 0.95 14.03
3 H Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 57-73 -2.82 8.14 -0.01 0.95 -1.34
------
124.70
|
winning pts = 148.2551 losing points = -23.5509
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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