Ball St
W-L: (26- 7) PR = 95.1402Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 68-66 1109 A IUI HL (12-17, 93.4) 81-72 1112 A No Kentucky HL (15-17, 93.7) 95-64 1115 A Memphis AME (10-21, 93.3) 83-59 1120 A Cincinnati B12 (11-20, 94.8) 83-63 1124 H Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 64-66 1128 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 55-41 1129 A Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 70-38 1207 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 65-87 1210 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 62-93 1214 H So Dakota St SM (25- 7, 96.2) 59-78 1220 A Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 78-74 1231 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) **-73 103 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 74-56 107 A Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 72-68 114 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) **-61 114 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) **-61 117 A We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 78-57 121 A Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 78-60 124 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 52-72 128 A Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 76-70 201 A Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) **-91 204 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 83-48 207 A Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 87-86 210 A Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 83-68 214 A Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 82-67 218 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 88-55 221 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 64-68 225 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 88-55 228 A Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 86-85 307 A Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 78-71 311 A Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 75-63 313 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 65-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Arkansas St 68-66 2 0 1.80
1109 A IUI 81-72 9 2 0.28
1112 A No Kentucky 95-64 31 1 0.56
1115 A Memphis 83-59 24 2 0.15
1120 A Cincinnati 83-63 20 0 1.63
1124 H Ill-Chicago 64-66 -2 2 - -3.63
1128 A Pittsburgh 55-41 14 2 0.00
1129 A Alabama A&M 70-38 32 2 0.41
1207 H Davidson 65-87 -22 0 - -2.13
1210 H Louisville 62-93 -31 -2 0.00
1214 H So Dakota St 59-78 -19 -1 -0.94
1220 A Ea Michigan 78-74 4 2 0.33
1231 A Akron **-73 29 3 0.00
103 A No Illinois 74-56 18 3 0.00
107 A Toledo 72-68 4 1 0.82
114 A Buffalo **-61 42 4 0.00
114 A Buffalo **-61 42 4 0.00
117 A We Michigan 78-57 21 2 0.00
121 A Mass 78-60 18 0 1.71
124 H Miami (OH) 52-72 -20 0 -1.76
128 A Ce Michigan 76-70 6 1 1.21
201 A Kent State **-91 10 1 0.84
204 A No Illinois 83-48 35 3 0.00
207 A Troy 87-86 1 0 1.25
210 A Ea Michigan 83-68 15 2 0.33
214 A Bowling Grn 82-67 15 1 0.72
218 A Buffalo 88-55 33 4 0.00
221 H Miami (OH) 64-68 -4 0 -1.76
225 A Akron 88-55 33 3 0.00
228 A Ohio 86-85 1 1 -0.14
307 A Toledo 78-71 7 1 0.82
311 A Bowling Grn 75-63 12 1 0.72
313 H Toledo 65-69 -4 1 - -3.20
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1124 H Ill-Chicago 64-66 -2 2 - -3.63 1207 H Davidson 65-87 -22 0 - -2.13 313 H Toledo 65-69 -4 1 - -3.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 68-66 -4.97 5.99 0.01 0.92 11.04
3 A IUI (12-17, 93.4) 81-72 -6.49 4.47 0.01 0.92 8.23
3 A No Kentucky (15-17, 93.7) 95-64 -6.21 4.75 0.01 0.92 8.75
3 A Memphis (10-21, 93.3) 83-59 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.92 8.01
3 A Cincinnati (11-20, 94.8) 83-63 -5.14 5.82 0.01 0.92 10.72
3 H Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 64-66 -6.38 4.58 -0.01 0.92 -2.94
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 55-41 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.92 7.42
3 A Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 70-38 -6.36 4.60 0.01 0.92 8.48
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 65-87 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 0.92 -2.25
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 62-93 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 0.92 -1.10
3 H So Dakota St (25- 7, 96.2) 59-78 -3.69 7.27 -0.01 0.92 -1.70
3 A Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 78-74 -6.44 4.52 0.01 0.92 8.34
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) **-73 -7.52 3.44 0.01 0.92 6.34
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 74-56 -7.57 3.39 0.01 0.92 6.25
3 A Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 72-68 -5.95 5.01 0.01 0.92 9.23
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) **-61 -8.29 2.67 0.01 0.92 4.93
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) **-61 -8.29 2.67 0.01 0.92 4.93
3 A We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 78-57 -7.06 3.90 0.01 0.92 7.19
3 A Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 78-60 -5.06 5.90 0.01 0.92 10.87
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 52-72 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 0.92 -2.08
3 A Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 76-70 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.92 9.95
3 A Kent State (14-16, 94.0) **-91 -5.93 5.03 0.01 0.92 9.28
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 83-48 -7.57 3.39 0.01 0.92 6.25
3 A Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 87-86 -4.52 6.44 0.01 0.92 11.86
3 A Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 83-68 -6.44 4.52 0.01 0.92 8.34
3 A Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 82-67 -6.05 4.91 0.01 0.92 9.04
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 88-55 -8.29 2.67 0.01 0.92 4.93
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 64-68 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 0.92 -2.08
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 88-55 -7.52 3.44 0.01 0.92 6.34
3 A Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 86-85 -5.91 5.05 0.01 0.92 9.31
3 A Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 78-71 -5.95 5.01 0.01 0.92 9.23
3 A Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 75-63 -6.05 4.91 0.01 0.92 9.04
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 65-69 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 0.92 -2.74
------
199.41
|
winning pts = 214.2926 losing points = -14.8827
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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