Boise St
W-L: (24- 9) PR = 94.7506Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1109 A San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 83-68 1114 A UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 91-77 1118 H Colorado B12 (23-12, 96.4) 53-83 1121 A Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 86-65 1123 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 67-56 1127 A No Dakota SM ( 5-23, 91.9) 65-45 1128 A Tulane AME (11-20, 93.5) 81-76 1206 A Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 82-80 1210 H Utah B12 (17-14, 95.8) 58-91 1213 A So Utah WAC S (15-12, 93.8) 81-66 1217 H New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 63-70 1220 H San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 54-83 1231 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 74-62 103 H Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 76-87 107 A Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 70-59 114 A Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 77-40 114 A Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 77-40 117 A Utah State MW ( 4-24, 92.5) 76-60 121 A Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 60-52 124 A Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 75-65 131 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 96-62 204 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 70-61 207 A New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 63-35 211 H Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 69-75 214 A Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 56-54 218 A Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 70-62 221 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 71-48 225 H San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 64-66 228 A Utah State MW ( 4-24, 92.5) 75-59 304 H UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 47-76 307 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 68-51 308 A New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 62-61 309 H Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 66-68
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1109 A San Fran 83-68 15 0 1.72
1114 A UC Davis 91-77 14 1 1.44
1118 H Colorado 53-83 -30 -2 -0.38
1121 A Seattle 86-65 21 3 0.00
1123 A Ca Riverside 67-56 11 2 0.05
1127 A No Dakota 65-45 20 3 0.00
1128 A Tulane 81-76 5 1 0.80
1206 A Cal Baptist 82-80 2 0 1.63
1210 H Utah 58-91 -33 -1 -0.95
1213 A So Utah 81-66 15 1 1.08
1217 H New Mexico 63-70 -7 0 - -2.10
1220 H San Diego St 54-83 -29 -1 -1.28
1231 A Nevada 74-62 12 2 0.50
103 H Grand Canyon 76-87 -11 1 - -2.64
107 A Air Force 70-59 11 1 1.00
114 A Wyoming 77-40 37 1 0.55
114 A Wyoming 77-40 37 1 0.55
117 A Utah State 76-60 16 2 0.00
121 A Fresno St 60-52 8 1 0.91
124 A Grand Canyon 75-65 10 1 1.38
131 A San Jose St 96-62 34 3 0.00
204 A Nevada 70-61 9 2 0.50
207 A New Mexico 63-35 28 0 1.92
211 H Fresno St 69-75 -6 1 - -3.11
214 A Wyoming 56-54 2 1 0.55
218 A Air Force 70-62 8 1 1.00
221 A San Jose St 71-48 23 3 0.00
225 H San Diego St 64-66 -2 -1 -1.28
228 A Utah State 75-59 16 2 0.00
304 H UNLV 47-76 -29 0 -1.76
307 A San Jose St 68-51 17 3 0.00
308 A New Mexico 62-61 1 0 0.92
309 H Air Force 66-68 -2 1 - -3.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1217 H New Mexico 63-70 -7 0 - -2.10 103 H Grand Canyon 76-87 -11 1 - -2.64 211 H Fresno St 69-75 -6 1 - -3.11 309 H Air Force 66-68 -2 1 - -3.02 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 83-68 -5.44 5.52 0.01 0.92 10.17
3 A UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 91-77 -5.72 5.24 0.01 0.92 9.66
3 H Colorado (23-12, 96.4) 53-83 -3.52 7.44 -0.01 0.92 -1.62
3 A Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 86-65 -8.10 2.86 0.01 0.92 5.28
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 67-56 -7.11 3.86 0.01 0.92 7.11
3 A No Dakota ( 5-23, 91.9) 65-45 -8.01 2.95 0.01 0.92 5.45
3 A Tulane (11-20, 93.5) 81-76 -6.36 4.60 0.01 0.92 8.48
3 A Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 82-80 -5.52 5.44 0.01 0.92 10.02
3 H Utah (17-14, 95.8) 58-91 -4.09 6.87 -0.01 0.92 -1.88
3 A So Utah (15-12, 93.8) 81-66 -6.08 4.88 0.01 0.92 8.99
3 H New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 63-70 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 0.92 -2.41
3 H San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 54-83 -4.42 6.54 -0.01 0.92 -2.04
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 74-62 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.92 7.92
3 H Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 76-87 -5.77 5.19 -0.01 0.92 -2.66
3 A Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 70-59 -6.16 4.80 0.01 0.92 8.85
3 A Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 77-40 -6.61 4.35 0.01 0.92 8.02
3 A Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 77-40 -6.61 4.35 0.01 0.92 8.02
3 A Utah State ( 4-24, 92.5) 76-60 -7.42 3.54 0.01 0.92 6.53
3 A Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 60-52 -6.25 4.71 0.01 0.92 8.69
3 A Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 75-65 -5.77 5.19 0.01 0.92 9.56
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 96-62 -7.82 3.14 0.01 0.92 5.80
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 70-61 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.92 7.92
3 A New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 63-35 -5.24 5.72 0.01 0.92 10.54
3 H Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 69-75 -6.25 4.71 -0.01 0.92 -2.88
3 A Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 56-54 -6.61 4.35 0.01 0.92 8.02
3 A Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 70-62 -6.16 4.80 0.01 0.92 8.85
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 71-48 -7.82 3.14 0.01 0.92 5.80
3 H San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 64-66 -4.42 6.54 -0.01 0.92 -2.04
3 A Utah State ( 4-24, 92.5) 75-59 -7.42 3.54 0.01 0.92 6.53
3 H UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 47-76 -4.90 6.06 -0.01 0.92 -2.26
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 68-51 -7.82 3.14 0.01 0.92 5.80
3 A New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 62-61 -5.24 5.72 0.01 0.92 10.54
3 H Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 66-68 -6.16 4.80 -0.01 0.92 -2.84
------
171.95
|
winning pts = 192.5721 losing points = -20.6242
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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