UC San Diego
W-L: (24- 9) PR = 94.4940Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 66-69 1107 A Denver SM ( 9-18, 93.1) 72-54 1112 H Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 60-71 1116 H San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 69-80 1122 A Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 55-43 1124 A OCCID 87-39 1128 H Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 50-67 1130 A Portland St BS ( 5-25, 92.0) 94-64 1206 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 75-45 1215 A Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 67-59 1220 H No Arizona BS ( 9-22, 92.9) 68-71 101 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 75-54 104 A Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 65-54 108 A CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 81-69 110 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 70-54 115 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 60-48 117 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 84-66 122 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 62-66 124 A UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 68-66 129 A Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 52-49 131 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 82-67 205 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 64-53 207 A Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 59-46 212 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 35-88 214 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 79-68 221 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 68-70 226 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 85-79 228 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 85-61 305 A CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 77-69 307 A Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 72-65 313 A UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 84-79 314 A Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 60-48 320 H TCU B12 (33- 5, 97.6) 40-86
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Pacific 66-69 -3 1 - -2.77
1107 A Denver 72-54 18 1 0.58
1112 H Sacra St 60-71 -11 1 - -3.14
1116 H San Fran 69-80 -11 0 - -2.04
1122 A Air Force 55-43 12 1 1.26
1128 H Washington 50-67 -17 -2 0.00
1130 A Portland St 94-64 30 2 0.00
1206 A LB St 75-45 30 3 0.00
1215 A Cal Baptist 67-59 8 0 1.89
1220 H No Arizona 68-71 -3 2 - -3.63
101 A Cal Poly 75-54 21 3 0.00
104 A Hawaii 65-54 11 0 1.74
108 A CS Fullerton 81-69 12 1 0.84
110 A Ca Riverside 70-54 16 2 0.31
115 A Northridge 60-48 12 2 0.06
117 A CS Baker 84-66 18 2 0.00
122 H UC Davis 62-66 -4 0 - -2.32
124 A UC Irvine 68-66 2 0 + 2.14
129 A Santa Barbara 52-49 3 1 1.45
131 A Northridge 82-67 15 2 0.06
205 A LB St 64-53 11 3 0.00
207 A Hawaii 59-46 13 0 1.74
212 H UC Davis 35-88 -53 0 - -2.32
214 A Ca Riverside 79-68 11 2 0.31
221 H UC Irvine 68-70 -2 0 -1.88
226 A CS Baker 85-79 6 2 0.00
228 A Cal Poly 85-61 24 3 0.00
305 A CS Fullerton 77-69 8 1 0.84
307 A Santa Barbara 72-65 7 1 1.45
313 A UC Davis 84-79 5 0 1.70
314 A Hawaii 60-48 12 0 1.74
320 H TCU 40-86 -46 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 H Pacific 66-69 -3 1 - -2.77 1112 H Sacra St 60-71 -11 1 - -3.14 1116 H San Fran 69-80 -11 0 - -2.04 1220 H No Arizona 68-71 -3 2 - -3.63 122 H UC Davis 62-66 -4 0 - -2.32 212 H UC Davis 35-88 -53 0 - -2.32 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 124 A UC Irvine 68-66 2 0 + 2.14 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 66-69 -6.17 4.79 -0.01 0.95 -2.93
3 A Denver ( 9-18, 93.1) 72-54 -6.83 4.13 0.01 0.95 7.85
3 H Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 60-71 -6.53 4.43 -0.01 0.95 -3.10
3 H San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 69-80 -5.44 5.52 -0.01 0.95 -2.58
3 A Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 55-43 -6.16 4.80 0.01 0.95 9.13
3 H Washington (23-11, 97.0) 50-67 -2.91 8.05 -0.01 0.95 -1.39
3 A Portland St ( 5-25, 92.0) 94-64 -7.87 3.09 0.01 0.95 5.88
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 75-45 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.95 5.39
3 A Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 67-59 -5.52 5.44 0.01 0.95 10.33
3 H No Arizona ( 9-22, 92.9) 68-71 -7.02 3.94 -0.01 0.95 -3.34
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 75-54 -8.78 2.18 0.01 0.95 4.15
3 A Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 65-54 -5.68 5.28 0.01 0.95 10.04
3 A CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 81-69 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.95 8.33
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 70-54 -7.11 3.86 0.01 0.95 7.33
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 60-48 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.95 6.86
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 84-66 -7.86 3.10 0.01 0.95 5.90
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 62-66 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 0.95 -2.72
3 A UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 68-66 -5.27 5.69 0.01 0.95 10.81
3 A Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 52-49 -5.97 4.99 0.01 0.95 9.48
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 82-67 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.95 6.86
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 64-53 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.95 5.39
3 A Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 59-46 -5.68 5.28 0.01 0.95 10.04
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 35-88 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 0.95 -2.72
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 79-68 -7.11 3.86 0.01 0.95 7.33
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 68-70 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 0.95 -2.50
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 85-79 -7.86 3.10 0.01 0.95 5.90
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 85-61 -8.78 2.18 0.01 0.95 4.15
3 A CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 77-69 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.95 8.33
3 A Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 72-65 -5.97 4.99 0.01 0.95 9.48
3 A UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 84-79 -5.72 5.24 0.01 0.95 9.96
3 A Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 60-48 -5.68 5.28 0.01 0.95 10.04
3 H TCU (33- 5, 97.6) 40-86 -2.28 8.68 -0.01 0.95 -1.09
------
156.58
|
winning pts = 178.9446 losing points = -22.3606
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------