Chicago St
W-L: ( 6-20) PR = 91.0758Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Cleveland St HL (25- 9, 94.3) 49-71 1105 A Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 59-54 1109 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 58-** 1112 H Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 52-** 1117 H We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 75-86 1124 H No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 57-67 1128 H New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 53-80 1129 H Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 53-67 1207 H Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 57-85 1213 H Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 62-81 1215 H Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 70-89 1217 H Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 55-69 1228 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 44-97 102 H Wagner NE W ( 9-12, 91.8) 51-62 104 H LIU NE (14-10, 92.3) 51-60 108 H FDU NE (22- 5, 94.1) 64-91 115 H New Haven NE N ( 4-17, 90.4) 56-63 122 A St Francis NE S ( 3-20, 90.5) 73-64 129 A St Francis NE S ( 3-20, 90.5) 70-61 205 A Ce Connecticut NE C ( 2-21, 89.9) 75-69 207 A New Haven NE N ( 4-17, 90.4) 60-57 219 H FDU NE (22- 5, 94.1) 52-66 221 H Ce Connecticut NE C ( 2-21, 89.9) 75-86 226 H LIU NE (14-10, 92.3) 68-83 228 A Wagner NE W ( 9-12, 91.8) 84-75 309 H LIU NE (14-10, 92.3) 77-99
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Cleveland St 49-71 -22 -3 0.00
1105 A Winthrop 59-54 5 -1 + 3.14
1109 H Notre Dame 58-** -58 -6 0.00
1112 H Illinois St 52-** -49 -3 0.00
1117 H We Illinois 75-86 -11 -4 0.00
1124 H No Illinois 57-67 -10 -1 -0.76
1128 H New Mexico 53-80 -27 -4 0.00
1129 H Pittsburgh 53-67 -14 -2 -0.12
1207 H Bradley 57-85 -28 -3 0.00
1213 H Fresno St 62-81 -19 -3 0.00
1215 H Arizona 70-89 -19 -4 0.00
1217 H Utah Tech 55-69 -14 -1 -0.53
1228 H Clemson 44-97 -53 -5 0.00
102 H Wagner 51-62 -11 -1 -1.27
104 H LIU 51-60 -9 -1 -0.79
108 H FDU 64-91 -27 -3 0.00
115 H New Haven 56-63 -7 1 - -2.69
122 A St Francis 73-64 9 1 1.43
129 A St Francis 70-61 9 1 1.43
205 A Ce Connecticut 75-69 6 1 0.84
207 A New Haven 60-57 3 1 1.33
219 H FDU 52-66 -14 -3 0.00
221 H Ce Connecticut 75-86 -11 1 - -3.18
226 H LIU 68-83 -15 -1 -0.79
228 A Wagner 84-75 9 -1 + 2.75
309 H LIU 77-99 -22 -1 -0.79
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 H New Haven 56-63 -7 1 - -2.69 221 H Ce Connecticut 75-86 -11 1 - -3.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1105 A Winthrop 59-54 5 -1 + 3.14 228 A Wagner 84-75 9 -1 + 2.75 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Cleveland St (25- 9, 94.3) 49-71 -5.62 5.34 -0.01 1.17 -3.29
3 A Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 59-54 -7.69 3.27 0.01 1.17 7.66
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 58-** -2.80 8.16 -0.01 1.17 -1.64
3 H Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 52-** -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.17 -3.22
3 H We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 75-86 -5.09 5.87 -0.01 1.17 -2.98
3 H No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 57-67 -7.57 3.39 -0.01 1.17 -4.43
3 H New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 53-80 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 1.17 -3.06
3 H Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 53-67 -6.94 4.02 -0.01 1.17 -4.05
3 H Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 57-85 -5.70 5.27 -0.01 1.17 -3.33
3 H Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 62-81 -6.25 4.71 -0.01 1.17 -3.65
3 H Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 70-89 -5.23 5.73 -0.01 1.17 -3.06
3 H Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 55-69 -7.35 3.61 -0.01 1.17 -4.29
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 44-97 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 1.17 -2.24
3 H Wagner ( 9-12, 91.8) 51-62 -8.08 2.88 -0.01 1.17 -4.72
3 H LIU (14-10, 92.3) 51-60 -7.60 3.36 -0.01 1.17 -4.44
3 H FDU (22- 5, 94.1) 64-91 -5.81 5.15 -0.01 1.17 -3.40
3 H New Haven ( 4-17, 90.4) 56-63 -9.51 1.45 -0.01 1.17 -5.55
3 A St Francis ( 3-20, 90.5) 73-64 -9.41 1.55 0.01 1.17 3.65
3 A St Francis ( 3-20, 90.5) 70-61 -9.41 1.55 0.01 1.17 3.65
3 A Ce Connecticut ( 2-21, 89.9) 75-69 -9.99 1.00 0.01 1.17 2.36
3 A New Haven ( 4-17, 90.4) 60-57 -9.51 1.45 0.01 1.17 3.42
3 H FDU (22- 5, 94.1) 52-66 -5.81 5.15 -0.01 1.17 -3.40
3 H Ce Connecticut ( 2-21, 89.9) 75-86 -9.99 1.00 -0.01 1.17 -5.84
3 H LIU (14-10, 92.3) 68-83 -7.60 3.36 -0.01 1.17 -4.44
3 A Wagner ( 9-12, 91.8) 84-75 -8.08 2.88 0.01 1.17 6.74
3 H LIU (14-10, 92.3) 77-99 -7.60 3.36 -0.01 1.17 -4.44
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-48.01
|
winning pts = 27.4763 losing points = -75.4844
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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