Cincinnati
W-L: (11-20) PR = 94.7555Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 85-88 1107 H Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 77-82 1111 H St Joseph's A10 (17-12, 94.8) 65-70 1120 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 63-83 1123 A Canisius MAAC ( 5-24, 90.8) 96-57 1128 A Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 72-49 1129 A New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 63-60 1203 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 71-75 1207 H Xavier BE (11-19, 93.8) 70-77 1213 A UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 65-48 1216 H Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 64-66 1221 H Oklahoma St B12 (23-11, 96.6) 63-91 1231 H Kansas St B12 (18-18, 95.8) 52-79 103 H Colorado B12 (23-12, 96.4) 68-79 107 A Iowa St B12 (21-11, 96.2) 71-63 110 H Texas Tech B12 (26- 8, 96.6) 60-71 114 A UCF B12 (11-20, 94.4) 63-59 114 A UCF B12 (11-20, 94.4) 63-59 118 H West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 76-84 121 H Iowa St B12 (21-11, 96.2) 68-93 124 A Arizona St B12 (24-11, 96.2) 66-64 201 H Houston B12 ( 7-23, 94.2) 70-72 204 H Baylor B12 (25- 9, 97.0) 70-76 207 H Kansas B12 (22-14, 96.0) 71-80 210 A Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 77-61 214 H Utah B12 (17-14, 95.8) 59-67 217 A BYU B12 (24-12, 96.1) 76-67 221 A UCF B12 (11-20, 94.4) 73-60 225 H TCU B12 (33- 5, 97.6) 70-83 301 H West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 60-** 304 H Kansas St B12 (18-18, 95.8) 66-91
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Lehigh 85-88 -3 1 - -3.36
1107 H Penn St 77-82 -5 -1 -1.29
1111 H St Joseph's 65-70 -5 0 -1.93
1120 H Ball St 63-83 -20 0 -1.63
1123 A Canisius 96-57 39 4 0.00
1128 A Alabama A&M 72-49 23 1 0.80
1129 A New Mexico 63-60 3 0 1.91
1203 H Miami (OH) 71-75 -4 -1 -1.37
1207 H Xavier 70-77 -7 1 - -2.94
1213 A UNLV 65-48 17 0 + 2.25
1216 H Howard 64-66 -2 0 - -2.13
1221 H Oklahoma St 63-91 -28 -2 -0.16
1231 H Kansas St 52-79 -27 -1 -0.99
103 H Colorado 68-79 -11 -2 -0.39
107 A Iowa St 71-63 8 -1 + 3.46
110 H Texas Tech 60-71 -11 -2 -0.18
114 A UCF 63-59 4 0 1.68
114 A UCF 63-59 4 0 1.68
118 H West Va 76-84 -8 -3 0.00
121 H Iowa St 68-93 -25 -1 -0.56
124 A Arizona St 66-64 2 -1 + 3.45
201 H Houston 70-72 -2 1 - -2.61
204 H Baylor 70-76 -6 -2 0.00
207 H Kansas 71-80 -9 -1 -0.72
210 A Arizona 77-61 16 0 1.92
214 H Utah 59-67 -8 -1 -0.95
217 A BYU 76-67 9 -1 + 3.36
221 A UCF 73-60 13 0 1.68
225 H TCU 70-83 -13 -3 0.00
301 H West Va 60-** -58 -3 0.00
304 H Kansas St 66-91 -25 -1 -0.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1104 H Lehigh 85-88 -3 1 - -3.36 1207 H Xavier 70-77 -7 1 - -2.94 1216 H Howard 64-66 -2 0 - -2.13 201 H Houston 70-72 -2 1 - -2.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1213 A UNLV 65-48 17 0 + 2.25 107 A Iowa St 71-63 8 -1 + 3.46 124 A Arizona St 66-64 2 -1 + 3.45 217 A BYU 76-67 9 -1 + 3.36 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 85-88 -6.49 4.47 -0.01 0.98 -3.18
3 H Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 77-82 -4.43 6.53 -0.01 0.98 -2.17
3 H St Joseph's (17-12, 94.8) 65-70 -5.07 5.89 -0.01 0.98 -2.49
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 63-83 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.98 -2.33
3 A Canisius ( 5-24, 90.8) 96-57 -9.06 1.90 0.01 0.98 3.73
3 A Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 72-49 -6.36 4.60 0.01 0.98 9.03
3 A New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 63-60 -5.24 5.72 0.01 0.98 11.22
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 71-75 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 0.98 -2.21
3 H Xavier (11-19, 93.8) 70-77 -6.08 4.88 -0.01 0.98 -2.98
3 A UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 65-48 -4.90 6.06 0.01 0.98 11.89
3 H Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 64-66 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 0.98 -2.58
3 H Oklahoma St (23-11, 96.6) 63-91 -3.29 7.67 -0.01 0.98 -1.62
3 H Kansas St (18-18, 95.8) 52-79 -4.13 6.84 -0.01 0.98 -2.02
3 H Colorado (23-12, 96.4) 68-79 -3.52 7.44 -0.01 0.98 -1.73
3 A Iowa St (21-11, 96.2) 71-63 -3.69 7.27 0.01 0.98 14.25
3 H Texas Tech (26- 8, 96.6) 60-71 -3.31 7.65 -0.01 0.98 -1.63
3 A UCF (11-20, 94.4) 63-59 -5.47 5.49 0.01 0.98 10.77
3 A UCF (11-20, 94.4) 63-59 -5.47 5.49 0.01 0.98 10.77
3 H West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 76-84 -2.60 8.36 -0.01 0.98 -1.28
3 H Iowa St (21-11, 96.2) 68-93 -3.69 7.27 -0.01 0.98 -1.81
3 A Arizona St (24-11, 96.2) 66-64 -3.71 7.25 0.01 0.98 14.22
3 H Houston ( 7-23, 94.2) 70-72 -5.74 5.22 -0.01 0.98 -2.82
3 H Baylor (25- 9, 97.0) 70-76 -2.87 8.09 -0.01 0.98 -1.41
3 H Kansas (22-14, 96.0) 71-80 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 0.98 -1.89
3 A Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 77-61 -5.23 5.73 0.01 0.98 11.23
3 H Utah (17-14, 95.8) 59-67 -4.09 6.87 -0.01 0.98 -2.01
3 A BYU (24-12, 96.1) 76-67 -3.79 7.17 0.01 0.98 14.05
3 A UCF (11-20, 94.4) 73-60 -5.47 5.49 0.01 0.98 10.77
3 H TCU (33- 5, 97.6) 70-83 -2.28 8.68 -0.01 0.98 -1.12
3 H West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 60-** -2.60 8.36 -0.01 0.98 -1.28
3 H Kansas St (18-18, 95.8) 66-91 -4.13 6.84 -0.01 0.98 -2.02
------
81.34
|
winning pts = 121.9151 losing points = -40.5769
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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